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Academica vs Penafiel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-52
17-18 14-11 16-14 19-9
Position#3
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game67.6
PortugalLPBRound 12
Other2010-11
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penafiel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H23/10
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A06/11
LPB
Barreirense
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H13/11
LPB
Illiabum
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H21/11
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H28/11
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H04/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A11/12
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H18/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A02/01
LPB
Sampaense
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H08/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
17-11
15-17
14-24
20-20
23-15
16-15
22-15
26-19
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
22-17
24-23
18-13
28-30
16-16
22-12
12-16
14-13
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-21
21-27
25-22
16-15
18-24
24-15
25-14
152.7Avg total
77.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.774.6152.4+3.155%
Season at home (7)81.175.7156.9+5.457%
Season away (4)71.872.8144.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.475.3152.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.274.6152.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.281.8164.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (6)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
This opponent (Penafiel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenafielPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#11
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A23/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H06/11
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H20/11
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A27/11
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H04/12
LPB
Sampaense
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A12/12
LPB
Barreirense
#12
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A19/12
LPB
Ginasio
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H02/01
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A08/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
18-15
30-16
16-17
15-18
15-21
12-13
20-21
–
–
–
–
18-18
12-14
13-8
9-10
–
–
–
–
23-20
12-20
23-11
6-20
–
–
–
–
16-10
14-15
20-14
18-20
24-13
7-16
14-12
13-7
15-15
14-25
23-17
16-18
130.4Avg total
64.1Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.567.6132.1-3.236%
Season at home (5)60.864.6125.4-3.840%
Season away (6)67.570.2137.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)64.166.3130.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)66.867.2134.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.574.0133.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)65.870.7136.5-4.817%
vs Weaker (3)65.057.3122.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
AcademicaPenafiel
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A06/11
LPB
Barreirense
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A11/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A02/01
LPB
Sampaense
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/01
LPB
71.5Avg total
36.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)36.734.771.4+2.071%-
Last 30 at home (3)39.736.376.0+3.367%-
Last 30 away (4)34.533.568.0+1.075%-
Last 10 (6)36.535.071.5+1.567%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.473.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.039.377.3-1.367%-
vs Weaker (4)35.831.267.0+4.575%-
This opponent (Penafiel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenafielLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#11
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A23/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/11
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
LPB
Barreirense
#12
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A19/12
LPB
Ginasio
#7
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/01
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A08/01
LPB
64.1Avg total
30.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)30.934.165.0-3.225%-
Last 30 at home (5)31.835.667.4-3.820%-
Last 30 away (3)29.331.761.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (7)30.633.664.1-3.029%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.264.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)30.836.567.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker (3)29.729.058.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Academica wins
0
Penafiel wins
DateGameScore
16/10/10Penafiel v Academica68-81
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/11HSampaense83-68
02/01/11ABenfica76-94
18/12/10HFC Porto76-71
11/12/10ALusitania64-57
04/12/10HVitoria92-83
28/11/10HCAB Madeira80-82
21/11/10HIlliabum70-81
13/11/10HBarreirense87-64
06/11/10AOvarense66-72
23/10/10HGinasio80-81
Penafiellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/11AOvarense68-75
02/01/11HGinasio58-48
19/12/10ABarreirense68-59
12/12/10ASampaense76-83
04/12/10HBenfica64-71
27/11/10AFC Porto55-77
20/11/10HLusitania52-50
13/11/10AVitoria63-64
06/11/10HCAB Madeira62-73
23/10/10AIlliabum75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
LPB 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%57%50%
Points / game77.781.171.8
Allowed / game74.675.772.8
Point differential+3.1+5.4-1.0
Avg total152.4156.9144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penafiel
LPB 2010-11
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game64.560.867.5
Allowed / game67.664.670.2
Point differential-3.2-3.8-2.7
Avg total132.1125.4137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1110191%84.764.8+19.9
2 Benfica129375%77.868.8+9.0
3 Vitoria117464%77.775.8+1.9
4 Ovarense127558%75.675.1+0.5
5 Academica116555%77.774.6+3.1
6 CAB Madeira126650%76.277.6-1.4
7 Ginasio126650%70.873.8-2.9
8 Sampaense125742%78.782.9-4.2
9 Penafiel114736%64.567.6-3.2
10 Lusitania114736%66.171.7-5.6
11 Illiabum124833%72.879.8-7.0
12 Barreirense111109%68.377.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1714161966
Penafiel181114952
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