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AEK Larnaca vs Peja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-64
11-17 25-15 13-15 32-17
Position#34
Record0-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#39
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Peja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H03/05
Division A
Cluj Napoca
#19
L
50-78
50
78
-28
H27/09
Champions League
Cluj Napoca
#19
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A29/09
Champions League
Gaziantep
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#39
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A29/10
Division A
Cluj Napoca
#15
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H05/11
Division A
Gaziantep
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A09/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A12/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
21-15
15-22
20-12
8-19
17-18
12-20
13-21
10-10
7-17
20-15
19-25
16-19
18-13
20-18
16-20
19-17
15-32
24-21
24-17
17-26
28-19
13-15
12-18
18-17
11-14
9-24
25-10
16-14
24-17
20-19
17-16
20-19
17-22
17-24
18-15
–
–
–
–
143.7Avg total
70.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.881.2157.0-5.50%
Season at home (1)86.093.0179.0-7.00%
Season away (3)72.377.3149.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)70.273.5143.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)69.467.2136.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.277.6142.9-12.40%
vs Similar (2)67.569.5137.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.866.8145.6+12.090%
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PejaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H12/10
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H15/10
Superliga
Cluj Napoca
#15
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A22/10
Superliga
AEK Larnaca
#34
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kerasan Prishtina
#7
W
99-39
99
39
+60
H29/10
Superliga
Gaziantep
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vellaznimi
#8
W
113-57
113
57
+56
H05/11
Superliga
Cluj Napoca
#15
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H09/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#2
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A12/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-16
21-18
24-26
–
–
–
–
18-22
22-15
21-19
15-29
–
–
–
–
17-19
32-15
21-24
17-24
–
–
–
–
18-23
20-12
5-25
13-14
–
–
–
–
13-21
17-30
20-24
26-24
–
–
–
–
151.7Avg total
80.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.885.0158.8-11.225%
Season at home (2)81.590.5172.0-9.050%
Season away (2)66.079.5145.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)80.371.4151.7+8.960%
Last 5 (5)84.269.4153.6+14.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.081.7157.7-5.729%
vs Similar (8)72.573.9146.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (15)88.961.9150.7+27.093%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
AEK LarnacaPeja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H03/05
Division A
Cluj Napoca
#19
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H27/09
Champions League
Cluj Napoca
#19
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A29/09
Champions League
Gaziantep
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#39
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/10
Division A
Cluj Napoca
#15
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/11
Division A
Gaziantep
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
FIBA Europe Cup
71.1Avg total
34.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.535.771.2-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.833.271.0+4.777%-
Last 30 away (15)33.537.971.5-4.427%-
Last 10 (9)34.137.071.1-2.933%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.237.268.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (2)31.034.065.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.935.273.2+2.767%-
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PejaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/10
BIBL
Cluj Napoca
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gaziantep
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cluj Napoca
#15
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H09/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.0Avg total
38.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)41.033.674.5+7.468%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.933.974.8+7.064%-
Last 30 away (11)41.033.374.3+7.773%-
Last 10 (5)38.837.276.0+1.680%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (6)36.234.871.0+1.350%-
vs Weaker (10)46.230.576.7+15.790%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Peja wins
DateGameScore
26/10/16Peja v AEK Larnaca87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16AParalimni65-47
09/11/16AGaziantep72-80
05/11/16HApoel BC77-66
02/11/16ACluj Napoca63-65
29/10/16AKeravnos70-78
26/10/16APeja82-87
19/10/16HGaziantep86-93 OT
29/09/16ACluj Napoca56-67
27/09/16HCluj Napoca50-78
03/05/16HApoel BC81-74
Pejalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16ABashkimi77-78
09/11/16HCluj Napoca76-99
05/11/16HVellaznimi113-57
02/11/16AGaziantep56-74
29/10/16HKerasan Prishtina99-39
26/10/16HAEK Larnaca87-82
22/10/16ATrepca56-54
19/10/16ACluj Napoca76-85
15/10/16HZ-Mobile Prishtina81-73
12/10/16HFeni Industries82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.886.072.3
Allowed / game81.293.077.3
Point differential-5.5-7.0-5.0
Avg total157.0179.0149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%100%0%
Peja
FIBA Europe Cup 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.881.566.0
Allowed / game85.090.579.5
Point differential-11.2-9.0-13.5
Avg total158.8172.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skycop220100%101.561.0+40.5
2 Elan Bearnais330100%82.363.3+19.0
3 Nanterre440100%86.073.5+12.5
4 Cluj Napoca440100%80.571.8+8.8
5 Gravelines-Dunkerque440100%85.877.0+8.8
6 Buyukcekmece54180%89.473.2+16.2
7 Academic54180%86.476.8+9.6
8 Minsk54180%81.075.0+6.0
9 Enisey54180%91.688.0+3.6
10 Alba Fehervar43175%90.279.5+10.8
11 Gaziantep43175%79.871.8+8.0
12 Bnei Herzliya43175%84.076.5+7.5
13 Antwerp Giants43175%80.874.0+6.8
14 Bonn32167%83.780.3+3.3
15 Oberwart Gunners32167%74.378.0-3.7
16 CSM Targu Mures32167%73.377.7-4.3
17 Donar Groningen53260%82.276.8+5.4
18 Pardubice53260%87.084.4+2.6
19 Chalon/Saone53260%82.883.0-0.2
20 Benfica53260%76.079.4-3.4
21 Apoel BC42250%82.079.0+3.0
22 Kormend42250%85.583.5+2.0
23 Sodertalje42250%80.884.0-3.2
24 Belfius Mons31233%79.078.0+1.0
25 BC Prievidza41325%72.082.5-10.5
26 Rilski Sportist41325%84.895.2-10.5
27 Peja41325%73.885.0-11.2
28 Soproni KC41325%73.586.2-12.8
29 BC Steaua Bucuresti51420%77.684.8-7.2
30 AEK Larnaca4040%75.881.2-5.5
31 Basic-Fit Brussels4040%76.082.2-6.2
32 FC Porto4040%74.080.5-6.5
33 Tartu Ulikool4040%69.280.8-11.5
34 Siauliai4040%78.292.0-13.8
35 Limburg5050%83.097.0-14.0
36 Z-Mobile Prishtina4040%82.596.8-14.2
37 Tallinna Kalev3030%65.087.7-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1125133281
Peja1715151764
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