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Aguada Santeros vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-87
18-23 13-25 21-18 24-21
Position#11
Record11-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#6
Record16-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game87.8
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo de Multiusos Ismael Delgado
Other2025
Meetings · Aguada Santeros v Capitanes de Arecibo
28 Jun 2025
AGUA76
CAPI87
29 Mar 2025
AGUA93
CAPI97
14 Jun 2024
AGUA104
CAPI85
31 May 2024
AGUA100
CAPI96
20 Nov 2020
AGUA77
CAPI83
21 May 2020
AGUA v CAPI
upcoming
06 Mar 2020
AGUA84
CAPI75
06 May 2019
AGUA72
CAPI75
05 Mar 2019
AGUA82
CAPI81
20 Jul 2018
AGUA103
CAPI97
11 Jun 2018
AGUA93
CAPI87
24 Jul 2017
AGUA69
CAPI76
20 Jul 2017
AGUA89
CAPI82
17 Jul 2017
AGUA99
CAPI92
13 Jul 2017
AGUA87
CAPI86
09 Jun 2017
AGUA85
CAPI92
22 Apr 2017
AGUA82
CAPI67
29 Apr 2016
AGUA76
CAPI70
03 Mar 2016
AGUA83
CAPI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada Santeros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aguada SanterosPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSanteros
Date
Competition
San German
#8
W
93-91
93
91
+2
89avg 82
H01/06
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
103-82
103
82
+21
104avg 82
H05/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 82
A10/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
123-119 OT
123
119
+4
116avg 82
A14/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
89-98
89
98
-9
77avg 82
A15/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
105-120
105
120
-15
102avg 82
A19/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
108-116
108
116
-8
105avg 82
H21/06
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
100-95
100
95
+5
99avg 82
A23/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
87-109
87
109
-22
82avg 82
A25/06
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
74avg 82
H27/06
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
23-17
24-24
25-22
19-23
23-19
30-22
31-18
23-23
21-24
22-26
26-25
21-25
26-30
30-36
32-18
26-20
14-22
20-28
29-28
27-34
23-26
26-32
29-28
21-33
34-30
20-35
33-18
22-18
23-30
32-17
23-30
22-26
23-24
19-32
23-27
18-31
25-23
22-23
19-36
202.5Avg total
98.4Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.393.6183.9-3.333%
Season at home (16)91.291.1182.2+0.150%
Season away (17)89.496.0185.4-6.618%
Last 10 (10)98.4104.1202.5-5.740%
Last 5 (5)96.8110.6207.4-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)91.596.8188.3-5.317%
vs Similar ◀ (18)92.993.9186.8-1.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 80
H18/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
77avg 80
H20/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
92avg 80
H22/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
79avg 80
A01/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
66-102
66
102
-36
53avg 80
A10/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
94-77
94
77
+17
95avg 80
H15/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 80
A18/06
BSN
San German
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 80
H22/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
90avg 80
H23/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
67avg 80
H26/06
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-19
23-14
22-29
23-21
13-23
20-21
29-16
26-21
19-27
24-25
23-19
22-25
25-21
23-25
22-29
18-20
17-26
11-29
20-27
26-20
17-15
22-22
29-20
23-19
23-25
15-21
22-21
21-22
25-19
26-16
21-29
18-22
30-23
17-32
30-23
17-20
19-20
18-21
22-18
176.6Avg total
86.9Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.487.8174.2-1.550%
Season at home (16)88.687.7176.2+0.962%
Season away (16)84.288.0172.2-3.838%
Last 10 (10)86.989.7176.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)88.285.6173.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (26)87.389.2176.6-1.946%
vs Weaker (2)93.089.5182.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Aguada SanterosCapitanes de Arecibo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aguada SanterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San German
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/06
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A10/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A14/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A19/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/06
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A23/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A25/06
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H27/06
BSN
96.1Avg total
45.5Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.190.4-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.346.992.1-1.627%-
Last 30 away (15)43.345.488.7-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.550.696.1-5.10%-
Last 5 (5)47.655.0102.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.448.492.8-4.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.244.688.8-0.444%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H20/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A01/06
BSN
San German
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A10/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/06
BSN
San German
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/06
BSN
85.3Avg total
42.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.883.6+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.983.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.684.1-1.167%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.085.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.084.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)41.742.083.8-0.362%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguada Santerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada Santeros: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.4
51.9%
53.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.713.0
42.3%
36.0%39.0
🏀 Free throws21.417.4
81.3%
75.6%17.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.3
54.7%
53.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.9
28.6%
36.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
75.6%18.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada Santeros
LLWLLLWLWW
Capitanes de Arecibo
LLWLWLLLWW
#11
League position
#6
-7.7
Net rating
-2.5
119.0
Offensive rating
107.0
126.7
Defensive rating
109.5
57.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.3%
3-point %
28.6%
65.6%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 107.0Defence126.7 · 109.5Shooting57.0% · 49.9%3-point %42.3% · 28.6%Ball care14.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Aguada Santeros   ■ Capitanes de Arecibo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25HLeones De Ponce84-113
25/06/25ASan German87-109
23/06/25ACapitanes de Arecibo100-95
21/06/25HIndios de Mayaguez108-116
19/06/25ASan German105-120
15/06/25ACangrejeros89-98
14/06/25AMets de Guaynabo123-119 OT
10/06/25AIndios de Mayaguez92-98
05/06/25HLeones De Ponce103-82
01/06/25HSan German93-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/06/25HVaqueros de Bayamon76-79
23/06/25HAguada Santeros95-100
22/06/25HSan German93-86
18/06/25APiratas de Quebradillas83-86
15/06/25HPiratas de Quebradillas94-77
10/06/25ASan German66-102
01/06/25APiratas de Quebradillas92-100
22/05/25HPiratas de Quebradillas99-102 OT
20/05/25HCangrejeros85-81
18/05/25HIndios de Mayaguez86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada Santeros
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game90.391.289.4
Allowed / game93.691.196.0
Point differential-3.3+0.1-6.6
Avg total183.9182.2185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)43% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game86.488.684.2
Allowed / game87.887.788.0
Point differential-1.5+0.9-3.8
Avg total174.2176.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)70% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon34241071%91.984.9+7.0
2 Cangrejeros33211264%90.287.5+2.7
3 Indios de Mayaguez33211264%89.486.7+2.7
4 Piratas de Quebradillas34201459%90.990.6+0.3
5 Criollos de Caguas34181653%91.491.4+0.1
6 Leones De Ponce33171652%87.988.2-0.3
7 Capitanes de Arecibo32161650%86.487.8-1.5
8 Gigantes de Carolina33161748%89.790.4-0.7
9 San German33151845%90.690.2+0.4
10 Mets de Guaynabo33122136%95.197.7-2.6
11 Aguada Santeros33112233%90.393.6-3.3
12 Osos de Manati3382524%90.996.0-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada Santeros1813212476
Capitanes de Arecibo2325182187
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