Aguilas Rojas vs Toros de Nuevo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Oct 2011

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 93-101

22-22 26-22 23-34 22-23

Position#13

Record3-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game100.2

Aguilas Rojas

Toros de Nuevo 🏆

Position#3

Record11-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game84.2

LNBPRound 19

Other2011-12

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguilas Rojas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Toros de Nuevo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aguilas Rojas Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Correcaminos

77-93

-16

A24/09

LNBP

Huracanes

73-87

-14

A26/09

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

111-86

111

+25

H30/09

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

108-99

108

H02/10

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

80-109

109

-29

A07/10

LNBP

Abejas

75-82

-7

A09/10

LNBP

Soles

96-127

127

-31

H14/10

LNBP

Soles

91-117

117

-26

H16/10

LNBP

Panteras

#12

90-102

102

-12

H21/10

LNBP

Panteras

#12

92-98

-6

H23/10

LNBP

17-24

25-19

20-22

15-28

22-25

20-14

14-24

17-24

23-25

27-25

30-13

31-23

25-27

27-37

28-21

28-14

11-30

22-27

25-31

22-21

23-23

21-17

16-23

15-19

30-34

23-26

19-34

24-33

–

22-31

24-18

20-26

26-23

189.3Avg total

89.3Scored

100.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	84.5	100.2	184.7	-15.7	17%
Season at home (8)	94.4	105.0	199.4	-10.6	25%
Season away (10)	76.6	96.3	172.9	-19.7	10%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	100.0	189.3	-10.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	105.2	194.0	-16.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	81.4	101.1	182.5	-19.8	6%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	109.5	92.5	202.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toros de Nuevo Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Volcanes

#14

90-71

+19

A22/09

LNBP

Panteras

#12

89-92

-3

A24/09

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

74-78

-4

A26/09

LNBP

Abejas

103-95

103

H01/10

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

86-82

H02/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

84-83

H10/10

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

67-86

-19

A14/10

LNBP

Xalapa

71-85

-14

A16/10

LNBP

Correcaminos

94-90

H21/10

LNBP

Huracanes

66-81

-15

H24/10

LNBP

26-15

20-19

19-23

25-14

22-27

22-19

29-22

16-24

17-24

20-15

18-19

19-20

30-21

23-21

23-24

27-29

28-16

14-21

18-24

26-21

27-26

18-15

16-15

23-27

14-20

11-17

16-30

26-19

18-19

15-22

20-25

18-19

21-28

24-22

24-20

25-20

18-24

14-23

13-14

21-20

166.7Avg total

82.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.1	84.2	172.2	+3.9	65%
Season at home (9)	90.6	85.0	175.6	+5.6	78%
Season away (8)	85.2	83.2	168.5	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	84.3	166.7	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	85.0	161.4	-8.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	88.0	166.0	-10.0	33%
vs Similar (7)	86.1	82.9	169.0	+3.3	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	94.3	83.9	178.1	+10.4	71%

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Aguilas RojasToros de Nuevo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	21.6	26.4	48.0	-4.7	7%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	25.0	29.2	54.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.3	25.2	45.5	-4.9	10%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.6	27.4	49.0	-5.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	29.0	51.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.2	26.4	47.7	-5.2	8%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	24.8	22.8	47.6	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	22.7	44.6	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	25.4	20.3	45.7	+5.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	21.6	24.2	45.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	25.2	26.5	51.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.6	22.9	46.5	+0.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.0	48.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	23.1	43.8	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	31.0	58.0	-4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.7	16.7	38.4	+5.0	86%	-

Aguilas RojasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Correcaminos

42-43

-1

A24/09

LNBP

Huracanes

42-39

A26/09

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

50-50

H30/09

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

52-64

-12

H02/10

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

33-57

-24

A07/10

LNBP

Abejas

44-40

A09/10

LNBP

Soles

53-60

-7

H14/10

LNBP

Panteras

#12

46-49

-3

H23/10

LNBP

95.5Avg total

45.2Scored

50.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	43.3	50.6	93.9	-7.3	29%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	50.2	55.8	106.0	-5.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (10)	40.5	48.5	89.0	-8.0	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	45.2	50.2	95.5	-5.0	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	54.0	99.6	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	42.0	49.5	91.5	-7.5	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	51.0	57.0	108.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toros de NuevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Volcanes

#14

46-34

+12

A22/09

LNBP

Panteras

#12

44-46

-2

A24/09

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

37-39

-2

A26/09

LNBP

Abejas

53-42

+11

H01/10

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

42-37

H02/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

45-41

H10/10

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

25-37

-12

A14/10

LNBP

Xalapa

33-41

-8

A16/10

LNBP

Correcaminos

45-50

-5

H21/10

LNBP

Huracanes

32-47

-15

H24/10

LNBP

81.6Avg total

40.2Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	43.2	40.6	83.8	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	45.6	42.0	87.6	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.5	39.1	79.6	+1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	43.2	79.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	43.0	79.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.1	43.3	85.4	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	47.1	37.0	84.1	+10.1	71%	-

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.6	24.3	43.9	-4.7	21%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	24.2	23.5	47.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.7	24.6	42.3	-6.9	10%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	24.2	45.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	27.0	48.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.0	25.5	43.5	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	29.0	17.0	46.0	+12.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.2	20.3	41.6	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.2	22.1	44.4	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	27.2	23.2	50.5	+4.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.2	23.1	45.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	18.5	48.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	23.2	22.4	45.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	23.8	22.7	46.4	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	25.1	23.9	49.0	+1.3	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	40.5	47.5	88.0	-7.0	14%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	51.5	46.8	98.2	+4.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.1	47.8	83.9	-11.7	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	43.8	47.4	91.1	-3.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	49.0	93.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.5	49.5	87.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (2)	58.5	35.5	94.0	+23.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	44.9	43.5	88.4	+1.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	45.0	43.0	88.0	+2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	44.8	44.1	88.9	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	42.9	85.1	-0.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	47.1	46.9	94.0	+0.3	29%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aguilas Rojas wins

Toros de Nuevo wins

Date	Game	Score
18/09/11	Toros de Nuevo v Aguilas Rojas	107-76

Aguilas Rojaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/10/11	H	Panteras	92-98
21/10/11	H	Panteras	90-102
16/10/11	H	Soles	91-117
14/10/11	H	Soles	96-127
09/10/11	A	Abejas	75-82
07/10/11	A	Lechugueros	80-109
02/10/11	H	Volcanes	108-99
30/09/11	H	Volcanes	111-86
26/09/11	A	Huracanes	73-87
24/09/11	A	Correcaminos	77-93

Toros de Nuevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/11	H	Huracanes	66-81
21/10/11	H	Correcaminos	94-90
16/10/11	A	Xalapa	71-85
14/10/11	A	Halcones Rojos	67-86
10/10/11	H	Fuerza Regia	84-83
02/10/11	H	Lechugueros	86-82
01/10/11	H	Abejas	103-95
26/09/11	A	Barreteros	74-78
24/09/11	A	Panteras	89-92
22/09/11	A	Volcanes	90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguilas Rojas

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	WLLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	17%	25%	10%
Points / game	84.5	94.4	76.6
Allowed / game	100.2	105.0	96.3
Point differential	-15.7	-10.6	-19.7
Avg total	184.7	199.4	172.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	12%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Toros de Nuevo

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	65%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	WLLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	65%	78%	50%
Points / game	88.1	90.6	85.2
Allowed / game	84.2	85.0	83.2
Point differential	+3.9	+5.6	+2.0
Avg total	172.2	175.6	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	33%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Halcones Rojos	16	14	2	88%	87.0	75.2	+11.8
2	Fuerza Regia	16	12	4	75%	85.0	76.0	+9.0
3	Xalapa	13	9	4	69%	94.5	81.4	+13.1
4	Toros de Nuevo	17	11	6	65%	88.1	84.2	+3.9
5	Barreteros	16	10	6	62%	79.2	77.5	+1.7
6	Soles	18	11	7	61%	89.9	83.6	+6.3
7	Pioneros	16	9	7	56%	94.4	85.8	+8.6
8	Huracanes	16	9	7	56%	83.4	78.6	+4.8
9	Correcaminos	16	8	8	50%	87.9	85.6	+2.2
10	Abejas	17	7	10	41%	83.3	83.9	-0.6
11	Panteras	16	6	10	38%	83.9	91.4	-7.5
12	Lechugueros	17	6	11	35%	88.8	86.4	+2.4
13	Aguilas Rojas	18	3	15	17%	84.5	100.2	-15.7
14	Volcanes	18	0	18	0%	76.1	108.7	-32.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aguilas Rojas	22	26	23	22	93
Toros de Nuevo	22	22	34	23	101

← all games of the day

Aguilas Rojas vs Toros de Nuevo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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