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AIS W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Oct 2011
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 59-86
19-28 12-22 17-13 11-23
Position#10
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.2
Allowed / game86.5
AIS W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game62.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 4
Women2011-12
Meetings · AIS W v Adelaide Lightning W
28 Oct 2011
AIS 59
ADEL86
30 Oct 2010
AIS 86
ADEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIS W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIS WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H16/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H22/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
44-102
44
102
-58
H30/01
NBL W
Logan W
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H04/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A11/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#10
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A12/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A07/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H14/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
L
47-97
47
97
-50
A21/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
49-86
49
86
-37
A23/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-18
12-9
7-14
18-14
14-13
19-18
15-15
10-25
13-20
10-30
11-27
17-21
19-26
14-27
13-10
23-25
17-14
23-13
17-15
18-31
22-21
8-27
12-17
12-19
17-18
20-24
12-18
14-27
16-16
13-22
17-19
10-26
10-23
17-27
10-21
16-14
13-26
8-25
12-21
140.1Avg total
59.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)54.286.5140.8-32.20%
Season at home (1)60.084.0144.0-24.00%
Season away (3)52.387.3139.7-35.00%
Last 10 (10)59.181.0140.1-21.930%
Last 5 (5)55.488.4143.8-33.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)56.581.5138.0-25.015%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H29/01
NBL W
Logan W
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A31/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A05/02
NBL W
AIS W
#9
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H12/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A18/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
H19/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H08/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H14/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H21/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
9-13
19-21
9-21
26-12
14-19
23-29
20-25
21-23
21-25
14-19
18-14
21-20
13-26
16-22
18-16
31-18
21-22
27-8
17-12
14-24
20-21
25-18
14-10
35-20
23-30
13-17
18-22
24-21
24-14
29-14
20-21
17-12
12-20
16-22
20-16
26-10
23-10
27-17
21-10
158.0Avg total
81.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.362.3148.7+24.067%
Season at home (3)86.362.3148.7+24.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.676.4158.0+5.230%
Last 5 (5)88.074.8162.8+13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.486.2157.6-14.86%
vs Similar (3)79.781.7161.3-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.866.6153.4+20.260%
This opponent (AIS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
AIS WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIS WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H22/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H30/01
NBL W
Logan W
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H04/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#10
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A12/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A07/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A21/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/10
NBL W
73.2Avg total
32.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)28.242.270.3-14.013%-
Last 30 at home (10)28.739.968.6-11.220%-
Last 30 away (13)27.843.971.7-16.28%-
Last 10 (10)32.141.173.2-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)29.644.273.8-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.242.270.3-14.013%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H29/01
NBL W
Logan W
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/02
NBL W
AIS W
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A18/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#8
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H19/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H21/10
NBL W
79.8Avg total
41.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.142.180.3-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.239.479.6+0.842%-
Last 30 away (10)35.745.481.1-9.710%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.579.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.344.379.7-9.013%-
vs Similar (3)43.745.088.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.531.876.2+12.875%-
This opponent (AIS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AIS W wins
2
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
21/10/11Adelaide Lightning W v AIS W97-47
12/02/11Adelaide Lightning W v AIS W96-60
30/10/10AIS W v Adelaide Lightning W86-79
AIS Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/11ADandenong W49-86
21/10/11AAdelaide Lightning W47-97
14/10/11HTownsville W60-84
07/10/11ASydney W61-79
12/02/11AAdelaide Lightning W60-96
11/02/11APerth Lynx W80-67
04/02/11HLogan W63-84
30/01/11HGeelong United W44-102
22/01/11HPerth Lynx W66-60
16/01/11HSydney W61-55
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/11HAIS W97-47
14/10/11HSydney W65-70
08/10/11HPerth Lynx W97-70
19/02/11HPerth Lynx W100-103 OT
18/02/11ABendigo W81-84 OT
12/02/11HAIS W96-60
05/02/11AGeelong United W68-84
04/02/11ADandenong W74-81
31/01/11ALogan W83-85
29/01/11HSydney W55-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIS W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game54.260.052.3
Allowed / game86.584.087.3
Point differential-32.2-24.0-35.0
Avg total140.8144.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game86.386.3-
Allowed / game62.362.3-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total148.7148.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney W440100%75.562.0+13.5
2 Townsville W440100%76.062.5+13.5
3 Adelaide Lightning W32167%86.362.3+24.0
4 Dandenong W32167%77.366.3+11.0
5 Geelong United W32167%91.080.0+11.0
6 Bendigo W42250%76.867.0+9.8
7 Logan W42250%68.071.8-3.8
8 Canberra C. Acad. W51420%64.671.4-6.8
9 Perth Lynx W4040%64.090.8-26.8
10 AIS W4040%54.286.5-32.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIS W1912171159
Adelaide Lightning W2822132386
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