PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro BRound 11· Halle de Marlioz
Aix Maurienne will host Ada Blois on 20 November 2026 in the Pro B, with the Pythia model designating Ada Blois as the favourite and predicting a close contest with a 57% chance of a win for the visitors and 43% for the hosts, a projected score of 87-89 and a total of 175.6 points, and a 5% chance of overtime. Aix Maurienne finish the season 4-5, scoring 84.3 points per game and allowing 88.2, while Ada Blois sit 5-4, averaging 93.3 points and conceding 85.9, with the latter in seventh place and the former in fourteenth. At home Aix Maurienne are 3-1, scoring 91.8 and allowing 85.8, whereas Ada Blois are 2-3 on the road, 89.6 points and 84.0 allowed. In the last five games each side has gone 3-2, with Aix Maurienne's recent results including a narrow home loss to Nantes 93-94, a win over Hyeres-Toulon 95-81 away and a 70-93 defeat to ASA away, while Ada Blois beat St. Chamond 95-70 away, lost to Quimper 96-98 away and won at home against Vichy 93-75. Historically Ada Blois have won eight of ten meetings, most recently defeating Aix Maurienne 89-82 on 21 March 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 84.3 | 88.2 | 172.6 | -3.9 | 44% |
| Season at home (4) | 91.8 | 85.8 | 177.5 | +6.0 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 78.4 | 90.2 | 168.6 | -11.8 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.6 | 87.7 | 171.3 | -4.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.4 | 86.4 | 172.8 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 85.8 | 90.8 | 176.5 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Similar (22) | 88.0 | 86.0 | 174.0 | +2.0 | 59% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 88.0 | 88.0 | 176.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 93.3 | 85.9 | 179.2 | +7.4 | 56% |
| Season at home (4) | 98.0 | 88.2 | 186.2 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 89.6 | 84.0 | 173.6 | +5.6 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.8 | 86.1 | 176.9 | +4.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.8 | 84.0 | 179.8 | +11.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 79.3 | 92.3 | 171.7 | -13.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (17) | 80.1 | 83.4 | 163.5 | -3.3 | 41% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 92.7 | 82.8 | 175.5 | +9.9 | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.8 | 42.1 | 86.9 | +2.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.1 | 39.9 | 87.0 | +7.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.5 | 44.2 | 86.7 | -1.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 41.4 | 83.9 | +1.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 36.6 | 81.4 | +8.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 40.5 | 44.5 | 85.0 | -4.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 44.9 | 42.1 | 87.0 | +2.8 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 48.5 | 39.5 | 88.0 | +9.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 41.5 | 84.0 | +1.0 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.5 | 41.1 | 85.6 | +3.4 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.2 | 42.1 | 82.3 | -1.9 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.3 | 43.6 | 89.9 | +2.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.6 | 42.6 | 92.2 | +7.0 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 41.3 | 41.7 | 83.0 | -0.3 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 40.5 | 40.9 | 81.5 | -0.4 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 46.2 | 42.5 | 88.7 | +3.7 | 70% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 22.6 | 53.9% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.6 | 6.4 | 33.4% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.6 | 17.9 | 74.0% | 17.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.7 | 23.9 | 53.9% | 47.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 7.0 | 33.4% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.1 | 17.6 | 74.0% | 17.6 |
Aix Maurienne
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 89-82 |
| 26/09/25 | Aix Maurienne v Ada Blois | 69-88 |
| 11/03/25 | Aix Maurienne v Ada Blois | 91-87 |
| 28/09/24 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 97-82 |
| 15/03/22 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 83-56 |
| 28/01/22 | Aix Maurienne v Ada Blois | 89-92 OT |
| 02/04/21 | Aix Maurienne v Ada Blois | 80-73 |
| 11/12/20 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 83-65 |
| 18/01/20 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 90-58 |
| 19/04/19 | Ada Blois v Aix Maurienne | 67-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Nantes | 93-94 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Hyeres-Toulon | 95-81 |
| 30/10/26 | A | ASA | 70-93 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Rouen | 89-86 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Levallois | 85-78 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Denain-Voltaire | 77-95 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Chalons-Reims | 59-87 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Le Havre | 100-85 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Caen | 91-95 OT |
| 15/05/26 | A | Chalons-Reims | 77-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | St. Chamond | 95-70 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Quimper | 96-98 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Vichy | 93-75 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Antibes | 92-97 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Orleans | 103-80 |
| 16/10/26 | H | La Rochelle | 102-89 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Rouen | 78-85 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Poitiers | 105-92 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Denain-Voltaire | 76-87 |
| 31/05/26 | H | Nantes | 68-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 44% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | LLLLW | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Points / game | 84.3 | 91.8 | 78.4 |
| Allowed / game | 88.2 | 85.8 | 90.2 |
| Point differential | -3.9 | +6.0 | -11.8 |
| Avg total | 172.6 | 177.5 | 168.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 56% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLWLW | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Points / game | 93.3 | 98.0 | 89.6 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 88.2 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | +7.4 | +9.8 | +5.6 |
| Avg total | 179.2 | 186.2 | 173.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denain-Voltaire | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.3 | 78.7 | +7.7 |
| 2 |  Orleans | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 88.6 | 81.3 | +7.2 |
| 3 |  Antibes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.6 | 83.0 | +3.6 |
| 4 |  Quimper | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 81.9 | 79.7 | +2.2 |
| 5 |  Chalons-Reims | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 79.2 | 80.7 | -1.4 |
| 6 |  Poitiers | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.0 | 84.3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Ada Blois | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 93.3 | 85.9 | +7.4 |
| 8 |  Evreux | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.3 | 83.7 | +0.7 |
| 9 |  Nantes | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 82.3 | 83.0 | -0.7 |
| 10 |  Hyeres-Toulon | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 87.4 | 89.3 | -1.9 |
| 11 |  Levallois | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 83.1 | 84.5 | -1.4 |
| 12 |  Caen | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 85.6 | 87.9 | -2.3 |
| 13 |  Vichy | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.6 | 87.4 | -2.9 |
| 14 | Aix Maurienne | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.3 | 88.2 | -3.9 |
| 15 |  St. Chamond | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.3 | 86.6 | -4.2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 89.4 | 88.9 | +0.6 |
| 17 |  La Rochelle | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.7 | 86.4 | -0.8 |
| 18 |  Rouen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.4 | 87.0 | -1.6 |
| 19 |  ASA | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.2 | 88.3 | -3.1 |
| 20 |  Fos-sur-Mer | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 72.0 | 80.0 | -8.0 |
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