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Ajdovscina vs Cerknica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 110-63
28-15 24-12 31-25 27-11
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-1
FormWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game81.0
SloveniaSlovenian Cup
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajdovscina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerknica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AjdovscinaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koper
#19
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A19/10
Slovenian Cup
Koper
#19
L
73-73
73
73
+0
H26/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Slovan
#13
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H18/10
Slovenian Cup
Plama P.
#25
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H08/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
W
88-57
88
57
+31
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
95-63
95
63
+32
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-15
14-17
16-20
12-19
25-16
21-23
15-15
22-18
16-24
25-29
12-21
18-20
21-10
17-16
14-10
13-19
18-17
17-18
13-22
16-20
19-20
29-12
24-5
22-20
13-22
19-21
19-16
21-12
17-26
21-34
18-20
26-13
21-21
17-15
17-14
23-9
20-17
21-19
31-18
148.3Avg total
75.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.063.0151.0+25.0100%
Season at home (1)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.872.5148.3+3.340%
Last 5 (5)82.870.8153.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.094.0159.0-29.017%
vs Similar (4)71.583.2154.8-11.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.770.0147.7+7.733%
This opponent (Cerknica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerknicaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tolmin
#29
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Ajdovscina
#7
L
63-95
63
95
-32
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-10
21-14
24-25
9-23
17-20
19-21
18-31
156.5Avg total
75.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Season at home (2)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Last 5 (2)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)63.095.0158.0-32.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -7.0-7.0
AjdovscinaCerknica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AjdovscinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koper
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/10
Slovenian Cup
Koper
#19
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Slovan
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H18/10
Slovenian Cup
Plama P.
#25
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
73.8Avg total
37.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)35.443.178.5-7.825%-
Last 30 at home (9)36.641.177.7-4.633%-
Last 30 away (7)33.945.779.6-11.914%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.073.8+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.075.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.349.079.3-18.70%-
vs Similar (3)38.042.380.3-4.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.332.771.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Cerknica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerknicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tolmin
#29
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Ajdovscina
#7
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
70.0Avg total
34.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)26.043.069.0-17.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ajdovscina wins
0
Cerknica wins
DateGameScore
21/10/25Cerknica v Ajdovscina63-95
Ajdovscinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25ACerknica95-63
07/10/25HJezica81-63
11/12/24AHidria77-92
03/12/24HHidria73-79
05/11/24AJezica88-57
22/10/24HJezica61-76
08/10/24HPlama P.70-56
18/10/23HKK Slovan75-92
26/10/22HKoper73-73
19/10/22AKoper65-74
Cerknicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HAjdovscina63-95
07/10/25HTolmin88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ajdovscina
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.081.095.0
Allowed / game63.063.063.0
Point differential+25.0+18.0+32.0
Avg total151.0144.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cerknica
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential-5.5-5.5-
Avg total156.5156.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatorog Lasko330100%103.061.3+41.7
2 KK Triglav Kranj330100%94.059.7+34.3
3 Sencur330100%97.063.0+34.0
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek330100%102.772.3+30.3
5 Polzela330100%103.777.0+26.7
6 Ajdovscina220100%88.063.0+25.0
7 Rogaska220100%91.567.0+24.5
8 Gorica32167%84.069.7+14.3
9 Plama P.32167%73.066.7+6.3
10 Cerknica21150%75.581.0-5.5
11 Celje21150%73.082.5-9.5
12 Elektra Sostanj31233%79.794.0-14.3
13 Cedevita Olimpija mladi31233%69.384.7-15.3
14 Vrani Vransko31233%85.0101.0-16.0
15 Ipros Vrhnika31233%72.791.0-18.3
16 LTH Castings31233%64.790.0-25.3
17 Crnomelj1010%84.088.0-4.0
18 Nagode Postojna1010%81.088.0-7.0
19 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%78.087.0-9.0
20 Ljubljana1010%64.075.0-11.0
21 Branik Maribor1010%74.088.0-14.0
22 Jezica1010%63.081.0-18.0
23 Vojnik1010%63.082.0-19.0
24 Jance1010%73.093.0-20.0
25 Tolmin1010%67.088.0-21.0
26 Zoltasti Troti1010%63.086.0-23.0
27 Misel1010%50.076.0-26.0
28 Hrastnik1010%66.0100.0-34.0
29 Hidria1010%66.0102.0-36.0
30 Litija1010%61.0100.0-39.0
31 Prebold1010%45.085.0-40.0
32 Gorenja vas1010%59.0102.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ajdovscina28243127110
Cerknica1512251163
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