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Akersberga vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-88
19-27 20-22 12-23 35-16
Position#13
Record6-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.9
SwedenSuperettan· Osterakers multiarena
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akersberga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkersbergaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkersberga
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
W
99-83
99
83
+16
92avg 67
A08/12
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 67
H14/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
65-63
65
63
+2
44avg 67
A21/12
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 67
A11/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
52avg 67
A15/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 67
H18/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 67
H26/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 67
H01/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
59avg 67
A09/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
86-73
86
73
+13
74avg 67
A15/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-19
32-18
23-25
18-18
20-27
21-16
25-10
20-15
9-24
17-6
19-18
20-29
14-29
27-4
18-24
16-15
22-17
18-33
19-28
21-22
21-22
22-16
22-29
18-33
21-16
21-16
19-23
19-21
23-19
15-25
21-17
12-21
18-16
17-8
17-19
21-22
21-23
22-15
22-13
160.7Avg total
80.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.583.7162.2-5.230%
Season at home (10)80.684.7165.3-4.130%
Season away (10)76.582.7159.2-6.230%
Last 10 (10)80.380.4160.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)80.281.6161.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.987.0163.9-10.118%
vs Similar (7)80.378.7159.0+1.643%
vs Weaker (2)81.583.0164.5-1.550%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 72
H08/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 72
A11/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 72
A21/12
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 72
H11/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
61avg 72
A18/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
75avg 72
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 72
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 72
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
76avg 72
A01/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
24-15
15-25
21-11
28-20
15-20
22-22
23-20
14-27
14-24
31-11
18-23
29-20
29-14
4-27
24-18
18-27
28-22
11-21
20-22
18-18
20-21
24-19
12-16
27-22
25-28
18-19
17-18
28-30
16-16
17-22
18-10
19-25
22-16
28-17
14-22
24-24
22-24
11-23
20-16
166.2Avg total
82.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.579.9159.4-0.547%
Season at home (10)78.075.0153.0+3.060%
Season away (9)81.185.4166.6-4.333%
Last 10 (10)82.683.6166.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.482.0156.4-7.620%
vs Similar (7)80.480.7161.1-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.177.7159.9+4.457%
This opponent (Akersberga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
AkersbergaAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkersbergaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/12
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A21/12
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H26/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/02
Superettan
80.7Avg total
37.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.843.781.5-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.042.782.7-2.740%-
Last 30 away (10)35.644.780.3-9.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.980.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.045.382.3-8.318%-
vs Similar (7)39.042.381.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker (2)38.040.078.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H08/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A21/12
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H11/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A18/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/03
Superettan
87.8Avg total
44.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)42.239.982.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.836.379.1+6.560%-
Last 30 away (9)41.443.985.3-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.887.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.889.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.641.282.8+0.440%-
vs Similar (7)40.440.180.6+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.338.783.0+5.657%-
This opponent (Akersberga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akersbergatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akersberga: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.3
45.1%
49.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
30.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.814.2
65.1%
67.1%14.2
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.3
58.4%
49.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.85.6
22.6%
30.1%16.8
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
67.1%15.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akersberga
WLLLLLLWWW
Aros Basket
LWWWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#6
-0.1
Net rating
-1.3
94.5
Offensive rating
101.6
94.6
Defensive rating
102.9
45.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
22.6%
63.5%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 101.6Defence94.6 · 102.9Shooting45.9% · 49.0%3-point %31.3% · 22.6%Ball care18.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds26.0% · 31.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Akersberga   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akersberga wins
1
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Aros Basket v Akersberga86-79
Akersbergalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AWetterbygden Stars86-73
09/02/25AOckelbo72-76 OT
01/02/25HBlackeberg78-82
26/01/25HAIK Basket79-88
18/01/25HOckelbo86-89
15/01/25ADjurgarden75-93
11/01/25AAros Basket79-86
21/12/24ABlackeberg65-63
14/12/24HMalbas84-71
08/12/24AAIK Basket99-83
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATureberg77-87
15/02/25HSloga Uppsala83-80
08/02/25HDjurgarden79-78
01/02/25AAlvik97-92 OT
25/01/25AHuddinge82-85 OT
18/01/25AKFUM Fryshuset77-92
11/01/25HAkersberga86-79
21/12/24AWetterbygden Stars77-85
11/12/24ADjurgarden88-82
08/12/24HIK Eos80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akersberga
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game78.580.676.5
Allowed / game83.784.782.7
Point differential-5.2-4.1-6.2
Avg total162.2165.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game79.578.081.1
Allowed / game79.975.085.4
Point differential-0.5+3.0-4.3
Avg total159.4153.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2219386%86.876.0+10.9
2 Wetterbygden Stars2217577%84.781.4+3.3
3 KFUM Fryshuset2116576%83.475.8+7.7
4 Malbas2214864%83.773.5+10.2
5 Ockelbo2112957%77.574.4+3.1
6 Alvik21111052%82.980.1+2.8
7 Aros Basket1991047%79.579.9-0.5
8 Djurgarden2091145%80.779.3+1.4
9 Huddinge2291341%77.382.2-4.9
10 Blackeberg2171433%74.779.3-4.7
11 AIK Basket2271532%80.287.1-7.0
12 Akersberga2061430%78.583.7-5.2
13 Tureberg2161529%71.084.0-12.9
14 IK Eos2261627%81.586.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akersberga1920123586
Aros Basket2722231688
← all games of the day
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