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Aktobe 2 vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 67-83
16-17 19-24 15-24 17-18
Position#11
Record5-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#10
Record7-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game78.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Aktobe 2 v ChelSU Kostanay
06 Apr 2023
AKTO67
CHEL83
15 Nov 2022
AKTO79
CHEL77
20 Oct 2022
AKTO61
CHEL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H13/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A14/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H15/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A16/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
54-90
54
90
-36
H17/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H11/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A12/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
H13/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A14/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H15/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
12-21
11-22
18-24
28-19
12-14
13-17
21-20
13-18
14-20
15-20
18-18
8-35
24-26
18-28
31-9
10-21
9-28
19-15
16-26
17-23
18-22
16-17
23-18
16-14
23-16
31-13
18-16
16-15
15-24
11-21
19-20
21-32
17-25
16-18
26-19
22-18
14-23
18-25
24-16
152.2Avg total
71.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.679.8146.4-13.219%
Season at home (19)62.478.8141.3-16.411%
Season away (8)76.582.1158.6-5.638%
Last 10 (10)71.081.2152.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)76.279.0155.2-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.981.9146.8-17.115%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)77.067.0144.0+10.067%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
41-96
41
96
-55
H17/02
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H18/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H19/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A20/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A21/02
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H17/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H18/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A19/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A20/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
55-89
55
89
-34
H21/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-24
7-20
16-30
10-22
18-13
31-8
18-19
10-21
13-29
20-19
20-18
20-20
11-33
13-11
22-15
26-21
14-18
17-13
24-15
18-21
15-18
21-16
9-19
14-15
9-24
12-21
25-19
20-18
13-32
24-21
19-15
14-12
14-17
22-10
9-14
16-21
11-33
13-25
12-24
19-7
141.8Avg total
64.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.178.2145.3-11.126%
Season at home (15)62.385.5147.8-23.313%
Season away (12)73.169.0142.1+4.142%
Last 10 (10)64.777.1141.8-12.420%
Last 5 (5)62.276.2138.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)62.286.4148.6-24.112%
vs Similar (6)67.270.3137.5-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.555.2142.8+32.275%
This opponent (Aktobe 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -11.5-11.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -11.5-11.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
Aktobe 2ChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aktobe 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H13/02
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H15/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A16/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H17/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H11/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/03
Higher League
75.8Avg total
32.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.941.973.8-10.020%-
Last 30 at home (21)29.840.870.6-11.05%-
Last 30 away (9)36.944.681.4-7.756%-
Last 10 (10)32.843.075.8-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.343.374.7-12.011%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.329.066.3+8.3100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
15-44
15
44
-29
H17/02
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H18/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H19/02
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A20/02
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H18/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A19/03
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
24-58
24
58
-34
H21/03
Higher League
71.1Avg total
30.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.739.874.6-5.141%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.843.775.5-11.933%-
Last 30 away (12)38.434.973.3+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)30.640.571.1-9.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.843.474.2-12.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.646.076.6-15.418%-
vs Similar (6)37.531.569.0+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.226.074.2+22.2100%-
This opponent (Aktobe 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aktobe 2 wins
1
ChelSU Kostanay wins
DateGameScore
15/11/22Aktobe 2 v ChelSU Kostanay79-77
20/10/22Aktobe 2 v ChelSU Kostanay61-70
Aktobe 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23HKaraganda78-82
14/03/23AShymkent80-94
13/03/23HTigers-KazATU61-80
12/03/23AAltay88-59
11/03/23HPavlodar74-80
17/02/23HKaraganda54-90
16/02/23AShymkent81-98
15/02/23HTigers-KazATU60-76
14/02/23AAltay74-70
13/02/23HPavlodar60-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HBC Almaty 255-89
20/03/23AKaspiy Aktau61-62
19/03/23AAtyrau 270-80
18/03/23HBars Petropavlovsk66-82
17/03/23HGOTOBELES Astana59-68
21/02/23AKaspiy Aktau73-67
20/02/23AAtyrau 272-80
19/02/23HBars Petropavlovsk73-86
18/02/23HGOTOBELES Astana77-61
17/02/23HBC Almaty 241-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe 2
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27198
Win %19%11%38%
Points / game66.662.476.5
Allowed / game79.878.882.1
Point differential-13.2-16.4-5.6
Avg total146.4141.3158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL13%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %26%13%42%
Points / game67.162.373.1
Allowed / game78.285.569.0
Point differential-11.1-23.3+4.1
Avg total145.3147.8142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent2726196%92.971.5+21.4
2 BC Almaty 22824486%93.166.5+26.6
3 Bars Petropavlovsk2723485%86.563.1+23.4
4 Karaganda2820871%76.467.3+9.1
5 Tigers-KazATU28131546%77.479.2-1.8
6 Pavlodar28131546%74.278.0-3.8
7 Atyrau 228121643%76.473.5+2.9
8 Kaspiy Aktau27101737%65.473.7-8.3
9 GOTOBELES Astana2891932%70.979.0-8.1
10 ChelSU Kostanay2772026%67.178.2-11.1
11 Aktobe 22752219%66.679.8-13.2
12 Altay2732411%56.594.6-38.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe 21619151767
ChelSU Kostanay1724241883
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