Aktobe vs Bars Petropavlovsk Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 66-58

17-5 15-21 13-12 21-20

Position#4

Record4-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game66.4

Aktobe 🏆

Bars Petropavlovsk

Position#3

Record11-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.5

Allowed / game54.4

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bars Petropavlovsk winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

63-67

-4

60avg 72

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

70-78

-8

62avg 72

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

73-78

-5

63avg 72

H24/12

National League

Almaty

0-20

-20

no box

A08/03

National League

Almaty

0-20

-20

no box

A09/03

National League

Arlans

#11

94-84

+10

95avg 72

H08/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

76-56

+20

77avg 72

A09/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

103-63

103

+40

101avg 72

H10/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

108-64

108

+44

108avg 72

A11/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

58-65

-7

45avg 72

A27/11

Higher League

19-8

23-16

14-24

7-19

16-26

19-16

20-16

15-20

18-16

18-25

15-15

22-22

–

19-22

27-20

31-21

17-21

19-11

20-15

22-18

15-12

28-8

23-13

25-11

27-31

28-13

25-16

27-14

28-21

9-14

21-25

14-16

14-10

124.0Avg total

64.5Scored

59.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	87.8	66.4	154.2	+21.4	80%
Season at home (2)	98.5	73.5	172.0	+25.0	100%
Season away (3)	80.7	61.7	142.3	+19.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	64.5	59.5	124.0	+5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	66.4	154.2	+21.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	70.2	76.2	146.4	-6.0	25%
vs Similar (4)	91.5	89.2	180.8	+2.2	75%
vs Weaker (6)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.8	67%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPetropavlovsk

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

82-51

+31

78avg 77

H22/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

108-65

108

+43

105avg 77

A23/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

98-66

+32

102avg 77

H24/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

105-65

105

+40

111avg 77

H25/10

Higher League

Karaganda

81-56

+25

71avg 77

H14/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

87-38

+49

84avg 77

A15/11

Higher League

Karaganda

84-59

+25

78avg 77

H16/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

86-43

+43

87avg 77

A17/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

111-33

111

+78

119avg 77

H18/11

Higher League

Aktobe

65-58

no box

H27/11

Higher League

23-11

30-13

17-15

12-12

24-20

35-14

22-16

27-15

33-13

22-15

22-24

21-14

24-9

27-21

31-15

23-20

10-18

22-10

28-13

21-15

28-11

22-10

14-8

23-9

29-15

18-12

30-13

7-19

27-14

26-11

16-12

17-6

35-10

30-8

23-11

23-4

14-9

25-21

16-14

10-14

144.1Avg total

90.7Scored

53.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	90.5	54.4	144.8	+36.1	100%
Season at home (7)	89.4	55.4	144.9	+34.0	100%
Season away (4)	92.2	52.5	144.8	+39.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	53.4	144.1	+37.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	46.2	132.8	+40.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	58.8	84.5	143.2	-25.8	0%
vs Similar (3)	76.7	73.0	149.7	+3.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	85.5	54.1	139.7	+31.4	100%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeBars Petropavlovsk

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.5	14.8	34.2	+4.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	13.6	34.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.1	19.9	39.9	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	24.2	42.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	12.8	34.0	+8.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	15.7	38.4	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	14.6	37.4	+8.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	13.0	37.7	+11.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	11.8	38.4	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	22.0	45.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.5	13.8	37.3	+9.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	21.7	41.2	-2.1	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.2	20.0	46.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	14.3	35.4	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	13.6	35.5	+8.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	15.1	35.3	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	13.5	39.2	+12.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	12.4	36.6	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.2	21.0	34.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.0	12.8	35.9	+10.2	91%	-

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

42-24

+18

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-42

-7

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

36-41

-5

H24/12

National League

Arlans

#11

46-42

H08/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

39-26

+13

A09/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

51-21

+30

H10/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

53-29

+24

A11/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

30-39

-9

A27/11

Higher League

74.5Avg total

41.5Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.5	33.0	74.5	+8.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	31.4	75.2	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.6	41.6	81.2	-1.9	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	30.8	73.8	+12.2	83%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

53-24

+29

H22/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

59-34

+25

A23/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

55-28

+27

H24/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

51-30

+21

H25/10

Higher League

Karaganda

32-28

H14/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

50-21

+29

A15/11

Higher League

Karaganda

47-27

+20

H16/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

53-25

+28

A17/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

65-18

+47

H18/11

Higher League

Aktobe

39-30

H27/11

Higher League

76.9Avg total

50.4Scored

26.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	30.0	73.8	+13.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	28.1	72.9	+16.7	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	32.1	74.9	+10.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.4	26.5	76.9	+23.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	24.2	75.0	+26.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	42.8	73.8	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	38.3	79.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	46.5	26.7	73.2	+19.9	100%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.0	39.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.3	20.8	39.2	-2.5	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	16.1	36.9	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	15.8	37.9	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	16.4	35.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	14.1	36.0	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	11.6	31.4	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	22.8	38.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	20.3	36.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.3	14.3	36.6	+7.9	87%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.4	21.3	42.8	+0.1	58%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	22.8	47.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	14.0	30.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	14.0	30.1	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	14.1	30.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	12.8	31.2	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	10.4	26.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	14.3	34.0	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	16.7	13.1	29.9	+3.6	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	40.6	80.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.4	42.4	83.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.1	36.4	75.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.0	79.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.4	40.9	79.3	-2.6	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.8	45.0	91.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	40.3	83.3	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	30.1	67.3	+7.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	29.8	68.0	+8.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	30.5	66.5	+5.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	26.9	67.2	+13.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	22.0	57.8	+13.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.8	41.8	69.5	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.0	34.7	70.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.0	27.5	66.5	+11.5	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Date	Game	Score
27/11/25	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	65-58
24/04/19	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	75-72
23/04/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	73-80
22/04/19	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	70-74
23/03/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	78-76
26/02/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	59-63
30/01/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	71-65
05/12/18	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	77-73
31/10/18	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	71-94
19/03/18	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	75-80

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	58-65
11/11/25	A	AiRom	108-64
10/11/25	H	AiRom	103-63
09/11/25	A	Arlans	76-56
08/11/25	H	Arlans	94-84
09/03/25	A	Almaty	0-20
08/03/25	A	Almaty	0-20
24/12/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	73-78
23/12/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	70-78
09/12/24	H	Pavlodar	63-67

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/25	H	Aktobe	65-58
18/11/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	111-33
17/11/25	A	Pavlodar	86-43
16/11/25	H	Karaganda	84-59
15/11/25	A	Pavlodar	87-38
14/11/25	H	Karaganda	81-56
25/10/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	105-65
24/10/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	98-66
23/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay 2	108-65
22/10/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	82-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	87.8	98.5	80.7
Allowed / game	66.4	73.5	61.7
Point differential	+21.4	+25.0	+19.0
Avg total	154.2	172.0	142.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	90.5	89.4	92.2
Allowed / game	54.4	55.4	52.5
Point differential	+36.1	+34.0	+39.8
Avg total	144.8	144.9	144.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	91%	86%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bars Petropavlovsk	11	11	0	100%	90.5	54.4	+36.1
2	Turan	12	12	0	100%	90.3	61.3	+29.0
3	Shymkent	12	10	2	83%	98.0	71.4	+26.6
4	Aktobe	5	4	1	80%	87.8	66.4	+21.4
5	Atyrau 2	14	10	4	71%	75.1	71.3	+3.9
6	Arlans	7	4	3	57%	75.0	71.6	+3.4
7	ChelSU Kostanay	14	8	6	57%	76.4	78.7	-2.3
8	Tigers-KazATU	10	5	5	50%	70.6	77.0	-6.4
9	BC Almaty 2	10	4	6	40%	71.3	73.7	-2.4
10	CHAMP1ON	10	3	7	30%	68.1	75.9	-7.8
11	Karaganda	7	2	5	29%	72.7	81.4	-8.7
12	Tobol Kostanay 2	14	2	12	14%	70.1	84.9	-14.8
13	AiRom	7	1	6	14%	66.4	83.9	-17.4
14	Kaspiy Aktau 2	14	1	13	7%	55.2	82.9	-27.6
15	Pavlodar	7	0	7	0%	51.0	90.1	-39.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	17	15	13	21	66
Bars Petropavlovsk	5	21	12	20	58

← all games of the day

Aktobe vs Bars Petropavlovsk Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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