PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Muharraq Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-116
13-24 24-32 21-31 17-29
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeWASLWASL - Quarter-finals· Sheikh Saeed Bin Maktoum Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Ahli Dubai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Muharraq winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Astana
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A09/06
WASL
Kuwait SC
#1
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
H11/06
WASL
Shahrdari Gorgan
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A13/06
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
96-63
96
63
+33
99avg 79
A21/11
WASL
Kazma
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 79
A05/12
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 79
H18/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
110-81
110
81
+29
104avg 79
H16/01
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
74avg 79
H06/02
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 79
A13/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
71avg 79
A04/03
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-28
17-12
20-19
22-23
14-23
14-17
10-12
17-21
20-17
20-22
18-25
23-14
18-16
28-13
27-20
22-24
30-15
17-19
16-22
17-16
18-18
14-19
18-20
36-22
24-23
29-17
21-19
23-20
21-28
17-22
22-21
20-16
14-23
24-19
16-20
31-19
16-24
25-25
25-19
161.3Avg total
82.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.479.0166.4+8.457%
Season at home (3)86.781.7168.3+5.033%
Season away (4)88.077.0165.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.079.3161.3+2.740%
Last 5 (5)86.282.0168.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.585.0159.5-10.515%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.887.0172.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (7)89.971.9161.7+18.086%
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al MuharraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuharraq
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
no box
H25/12
Premier League
Samaheej
#8
W
93-52
93
52
+41
no box
H03/01
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
W
101-96
101
96
+5
96avg 73
A08/01
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H12/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
A21/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
65-104
65
104
-39
no box
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#10
L
65-95
65
95
-30
60avg 73
A30/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 73
H12/02
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
87-97
87
97
-10
57avg 73
H04/03
WASL
Al Najma
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H07/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
32-26
28-22
16-24
26-18
18-10
27-14
22-10
26-22
17-29
30-22
28-23
14-15
18-15
13-30
31-13
25-22
23-23
15-27
29-16
18-26
7-32
17-31
23-15
17-28
12-17
20-17
16-33
22-20
19-13
12-22
25-24
19-31
24-16
25-25
19-25
14-25
23-21
15-19
25-24
170.5Avg total
83.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.188.6173.7-3.443%
Season at home (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Season away (3)81.785.3167.0-3.767%
Last 10 (10)83.087.5170.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)74.492.8167.2-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.4100.2187.6-12.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.892.9182.7-3.140%
vs Weaker (10)88.368.7157.0+19.690%
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Al-Ahli DubaiAl Muharraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/06
WASL
Kuwait SC
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/06
WASL
Shahrdari Gorgan
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/06
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A21/11
WASL
Kazma
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A05/12
WASL
Al Manama
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H18/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H16/01
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H06/02
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/03
WASL
83.3Avg total
42.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.741.683.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.243.086.2+0.258%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.480.8-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.183.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.643.280.8-5.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.346.291.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)46.034.980.9+11.1100%-
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al MuharraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ittihad
#3
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H25/12
Premier League
Samaheej
#8
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H03/01
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A08/01
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H12/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
25-58
25
58
-33
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#10
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A30/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/02
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/03
WASL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
Premier League
83.3Avg total
39.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.443.987.3-0.548%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.142.485.5+0.747%-
Last 30 away (10)44.046.790.7-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.983.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.880.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.056.494.4-18.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.046.991.9-1.940%-
vs Weaker (9)43.831.975.7+11.989%-
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Ahli Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Ahli Dubai: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.3 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.1
54.9%
52.3%56.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.9
27.0%
32.2%17.6
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
69.8%
69.5%12.6
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Muharraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Muharraq: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.7%
52.3%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.7
34.1%
32.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
75.0%
69.5%12.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Ahli Dubai
WLLWLWWLLL
Al Muharraq
LLLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#8
+9.9
Net rating
-5.2
106.7
Offensive rating
106.1
96.8
Defensive rating
111.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.0%
3-point %
34.1%
66.8%
Assist %
67.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 106.1Defence96.8 · 111.4Shooting50.6% · 52.0%3-point %27.0% · 34.1%Ball care15.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Al-Ahli Dubai   ■ Al Muharraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al-Ahli Dubai wins
0
Al Muharraq wins
DateGameScore
04/03/24Al Muharraq v Al-Ahli Dubai87-97
Al-Ahli Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24AAl Muharraq97-87
13/02/24AAl Manama74-78
06/02/24HKazma83-91
16/01/24HAl Shamal110-81
18/12/23HAl Manama67-73
05/12/23AKazma85-80
21/11/23AAl Shamal96-63
13/06/23AShahrdari Gorgan75-85
11/06/23HKuwait SC60-75
09/06/23AAstana73-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HAl Najma77-89
04/03/24HAl-Ahli Dubai87-97
12/02/24HAl-Rayyan78-79
30/01/24AAl Ahli65-95
26/01/24HAl Manama65-104
21/01/24AAl Ahli92-88
12/01/24HAl Hala76-73
08/01/24AKuwait SC101-96
03/01/24HSamaheej93-52
25/12/23HAl Ittihad96-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Ahli Dubai
WASL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game87.486.788.0
Allowed / game79.081.777.0
Point differential+8.4+5.0+11.0
Avg total166.4168.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Muharraq
WASL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game85.187.881.7
Allowed / game88.691.085.3
Point differential-3.4-3.2-3.7
Avg total173.7178.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Riyadi440100%102.573.2+29.2
2 Shahrdari Gorgan660100%94.867.2+27.7
3 Al Manama660100%95.875.5+20.3
4 Sagesse Beirut75271%84.676.0+8.6
5 Kuwait SC64267%96.787.3+9.3
6 Kazma74357%88.378.9+9.4
7 Al-Ahli Dubai74357%87.479.0+8.4
8 Al Muharraq73443%85.188.6-3.4
9 Al-Rayyan73443%77.682.6-5.0
10 Al Shorta52340%82.286.8-4.6
11 Al Ahli62433%87.890.3-2.5
12 Al Ittihad72529%70.186.6-16.4
13 Al Wahda51420%64.282.6-18.4
14 Naft Al Janoob6060%70.088.8-18.8
15 Al Shamal6060%72.5110.7-38.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Ahli Dubai1324211775
Al Muharraq24323129116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.