Al Ahli vs Al Khowildiah Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 102-62

32-11 29-17 25-10 16-24

Position#3

Record2-0

FormWLWLW

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game56.0

Al Ahli 🏆

Al Khowildiah

Position#10

Record0-2

FormLL

Points / game65.5

Allowed / game96.5

Premier LeagueRound 3· Al-Ahli Sports Club

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Al Khowildiah winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al Ahli

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAhli

Date

Competition

Al Muharraq

82-95

-13

no box

A13/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

91-77

+14

no box

H18/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

101-91

101

+10

no box

A26/04

Premier League

Al Manama

78-89

-11

no box

A13/05

Premier League

Al Manama

76-89

-13

no box

H15/05

Premier League

Al Manama

90-87

no box

A17/05

Premier League

Al Manama

71-85

-14

no box

H20/05

Premier League

Al Khaleej

98-61

+37

no box

H18/10

Premier League

Kuwait SC

77-88

-11

52avg 77

A21/10

WASL

Al Safa of Safwa

75-51

+24

75avg 77

A25/10

Premier League

22-21

19-19

24-32

17-23

20-19

35-13

22-20

14-25

23-25

23-22

29-11

26-33

17-25

20-19

15-20

26-25

26-31

21-30

16-15

13-13

27-22

17-20

22-23

24-22

27-22

14-16

17-20

13-27

24-12

36-24

17-17

21-8

15-23

21-29

15-24

26-12

17-13

18-17

25-7

15-14

165.2Avg total

83.9Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	86.5	56.0	142.5	+30.5	100%
Season at home (1)	98.0	61.0	159.0	+37.0	100%
Season away (1)	75.0	51.0	126.0	+24.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	81.3	165.2	+2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	74.4	156.6	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.2	89.1	168.4	-9.9	12%
vs Similar (10)	84.7	78.8	163.5	+5.9	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	91.2	62.8	154.0	+28.3	92%

This opponent (Al Khowildiah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al Khowildiah Saudi Arabia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKhowildiah

Date

Competition

AlUla

70-97

-27

no box

H18/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

61-96

-35

36avg 36

A25/10

Premier League

16-26

13-25

22-24

19-22

18-26

12-16

7-29

24-25

162.0Avg total

65.5Scored

96.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	65.5	96.5	162.0	-31.0	0%
Season at home (1)	70.0	97.0	167.0	-27.0	0%
Season away (1)	61.0	96.0	157.0	-35.0	0%
Last 10 (2)	65.5	96.5	162.0	-31.0	0%
Last 5 (2)	65.5	96.5	162.0	-31.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	65.5	96.5	162.0	-31.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Al AhliAl Khowildiah

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	19.1	42.8	+4.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	24.2	44.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.6	14.7	38.2	+8.9	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	16.0	26.0	42.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.4	19.8	45.2	+5.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	26.0	17.8	43.8	+8.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	13.0	25.0	38.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al Muharraq

41-40

A13/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

55-32

+23

H18/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

46-47

-1

A26/04

Premier League

Al Manama

37-44

-7

A13/05

Premier League

Al Manama

47-61

-14

H15/05

Premier League

Al Manama

44-42

A17/05

Premier League

Al Manama

41-38

H20/05

Premier League

Al Khaleej

60-36

+24

H18/10

Premier League

Kuwait SC

36-52

-16

A21/10

WASL

Al Safa of Safwa

35-30

A25/10

Premier League

86.4Avg total

44.2Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	37.6	82.0	+6.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	49.2	38.8	88.0	+10.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	36.7	77.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.8	46.2	86.0	-6.5	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.7	37.0	78.7	+4.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	49.6	32.4	82.0	+17.2	100%	-

This opponent (Al Khowildiah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al KhowildiahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AlUla

29-51

-22

H18/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

30-42

-12

A25/10

Premier League

76.0Avg total

29.5Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	29.5	46.5	76.0	-17.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	29.0	51.0	80.0	-22.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	30.0	42.0	72.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	29.5	46.5	76.0	-17.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	29.5	46.5	76.0	-17.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	29.5	46.5	76.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	18.4	38.8	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.1	15.8	37.8	+6.3	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	14.5	26.5	41.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	7.0	29.0	36.0	-22.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	14.5	26.5	41.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	14.5	26.5	41.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	14.5	26.5	41.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.0	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	18.6	38.6	+1.3	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	22.1	42.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.5	14.7	34.2	+4.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	37.4	78.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	37.9	80.2	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.1	78.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.8	73.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.5	42.9	82.4	-3.4	62%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.1	41.4	83.5	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.6	30.4	72.0	+11.2	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	36.0	50.0	86.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	41.0	46.0	87.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	31.0	54.0	85.0	-23.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	36.0	50.0	86.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 5 (2)	36.0	50.0	86.0	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	36.0	50.0	86.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 85.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	24.1	53.7%	50.2%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.1	34.0%	30.3%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	15.7	9.7	61.8%	67.8%	9.7

They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Al Khowildiahtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Khowildiah: 59.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀37%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers22.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	11.0	33.3%	50.2%	22.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	44.0	9.0	20.5%	30.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	10.0	52.6%	67.8%	10.0

They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	17.3	45.2%	50.2%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.3	31.0%	30.3%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	18.8	12.2	64.9%	67.8%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.0	34.0	57.6%	50.2%	68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.0	7.0	38.9%	30.3%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	14.0	12.0	85.7%	67.8%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	23.3	51.7%	50.2%	46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.7	33.4%	30.3%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.1	67.7%	67.8%	11.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	17.8	48.9%	50.2%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.1	29.6%	30.3%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	17.4	11.5	66.4%	67.8%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.0	34.0	57.6%	50.2%	68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.0	7.0	38.9%	30.3%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	14.0	12.0	85.7%	67.8%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Al Ahli

WLWLWLLWWL

Al Khowildiah

League position

#10

+17.5

Net rating

-50.4

110.4

Offensive rating

70.9

92.9

Defensive rating

121.3

52.6%

Effective FG%

31.8%

45.7%

Opp. effective FG%

57.8%

14.3%

Turnover %

10.8%

30.6%

Off. rebound %

18.3%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.25

34.0%

3-point %

20.5%

52.1%

Assist %

55.0%

50%

Form (last 10/2)

Profile

■ Al Ahli ■ Al Khowildiah

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Al Ahli wins

Al Khowildiah wins

No previous meetings.

Al Ahlilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/24	A	Al Safa of Safwa	75-51
21/10/24	A	Kuwait SC	77-88
18/10/24	H	Al Khaleej	98-61
20/05/24	H	Al Manama	71-85
17/05/24	A	Al Manama	90-87
15/05/24	H	Al Manama	76-89
13/05/24	A	Al Manama	78-89
26/04/24	A	Al Muharraq	101-91
18/04/24	H	Al Muharraq	91-77
13/04/24	A	Al Muharraq	82-95

Al Khowildiahlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/24	A	Al Nasr	61-96
18/10/24	H	AlUla	70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.5	98.0	75.0
Allowed / game	56.0	61.0	51.0
Point differential	+30.5	+37.0	+24.0
Avg total	142.5	159.0	126.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Al Khowildiah

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	65.5	70.0	61.0
Allowed / game	96.5	97.0	96.0
Point differential	-31.0	-27.0	-35.0
Avg total	162.0	167.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Al Nasr	2	2	0	100%	100.5	67.5	+33.0
2	Al Ahli	2	2	0	100%	86.5	56.0	+30.5
3	AlUla	2	2	0	100%	102.5	75.5	+27.0
4	Al Ittihad	2	2	0	100%	82.5	70.5	+12.0
5	Al Salam	2	1	1	50%	91.0	86.5	+4.5
6	Al Safa of Safwa	2	0	2	0%	66.0	82.5	-16.5
7	Al Khaleej	2	0	2	0%	60.5	86.5	-26.0
8	Al-Fateh	1	0	1	0%	81.0	108.0	-27.0
9	Al Khowildiah	2	0	2	0%	65.5	96.5	-31.0
10	Ohod	1	0	1	0%	68.0	108.0	-40.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Al Ahli	32	29	25	16	102
Al Khowildiah	11	17	10	24	62

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Al Ahli vs Al Khowildiah Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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