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Al Ahli vs Dbae Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 101-68
18-19 20-19 35-15 28-15
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.5
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Dbae
Saudi Arabia
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game109.5
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 3· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Dbae
27 Oct 2023
AL A101
DBAE68
14 Oct 2022
AL A85
DBAE70
08 Oct 2021
AL A88
DBAE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dbae winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
72-60
72
60
+12
no box
A10/05
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
59-53
59
53
+6
no box
H13/05
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A17/05
QBL
Al Manama
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
H18/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
A21/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
H25/05
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
A28/05
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 83
H20/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
91-83
91
83
+8
69avg 83
A23/10
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H26/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
14-21
22-10
11-12
14-17
15-6
14-16
16-14
20-24
17-19
22-12
15-22
18-23
27-26
24-13
24-24
21-28
23-28
19-28
22-11
20-28
20-15
26-22
19-32
26-31
31-18
21-11
22-21
26-22
29-15
17-23
27-26
27-16
21-30
26-10
17-27
23-22
25-24
15-21
16-21
164.3Avg total
83.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.084.5179.5+10.5100%
Season at home (1)99.086.0185.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)91.083.0174.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.780.6164.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)90.887.0177.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.883.8156.5-11.012%
vs Similar (11)82.980.5163.5+2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.877.9166.7+10.991%
This opponent (Dbae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DbaeSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDbae
Date
Competition
Ohod
#4
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
H06/01
Premier League
Al Adalh
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A13/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H20/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#8
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
A27/01
Premier League
Al Ansar
#11
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
H03/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#5
L
83-103
83
103
-20
no box
H16/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A24/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#7
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H31/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
61-112
61
112
-51
42avg 30
A20/10
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
60-107
60
107
-47
18avg 30
A23/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
26-13
16-25
26-33
21-16
17-18
20-16
23-20
21-23
16-22
16-22
19-22
18-23
17-17
14-16
13-19
16-23
18-19
19-28
8-19
25-23
24-29
11-26
23-25
16-21
16-28
19-25
30-12
8-22
15-14
26-19
16-14
17-32
17-26
13-26
14-28
13-23
14-35
20-29
13-20
161.2Avg total
71.2Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.5109.5170.0-49.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)60.5109.5170.0-49.00%
Last 10 (10)71.290.0161.2-18.810%
Last 5 (5)70.095.4165.4-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.888.0158.7-17.210%
vs Similar (4)80.574.8155.2+5.850%
vs Weaker (5)77.476.2153.6+1.260%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Al AhliDbae
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/05
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H13/05
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/05
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H18/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/05
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#4
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A28/05
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H20/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/10
Premier League
87.2Avg total
44.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.085.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.982.3+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)45.343.188.3+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.293.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.243.882.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (11)43.543.987.4-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.038.785.7+8.391%-
This opponent (Dbae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DbaeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohod
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/01
Premier League
Al Adalh
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H20/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A27/01
Premier League
Al Ansar
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/03
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A24/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#7
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H31/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A20/10
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A23/10
Premier League
80.9Avg total
35.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.944.680.5-8.724%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.842.982.7-3.129%-
Last 30 away (15)32.346.178.4-13.920%-
Last 10 (10)35.345.680.9-10.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.050.683.6-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.546.680.2-13.115%-
vs Similar (4)43.041.584.5+1.525%-
vs Weaker (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.027.5
67.1%
53.6%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
32.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.511.5
65.7%
68.3%11.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dbaetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dbae: 59.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.016.5
56.9%
53.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.56.5
23.6%
32.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws15.57.0
45.2%
68.3%7.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWWWLLWLWW
Dbae
LLLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#11
+15.6
Net rating
-70.5
128.5
Offensive rating
83.9
112.9
Defensive rating
154.4
62.8%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
69.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
39.3%
Off. rebound %
12.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
23.6%
51.4%
Assist %
43.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence128.5 · 83.9Defence112.9 · 154.4Shooting62.8% · 46.5%3-point %37.3% · 23.6%Ball care16.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds39.3% · 12.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Dbae
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
0
Dbae wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Dbae v Al Ahli72-89
14/10/22Al Ahli v Dbae85-70
17/12/21Dbae v Al Ahli71-74
08/10/21Al Ahli v Dbae88-60
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HNuwaidrad79-88
23/10/23AAl Khaleej91-83
20/10/23HAl Safa of Safwa99-86
28/05/23AAl Ittihad100-81
25/05/23HAl Manama85-97
21/05/23AAl Manama85-95
18/05/23HAl Manama93-86
17/05/23AAl-Rayyan74-77
13/05/23HAl Gharafa59-53
10/05/23AAl Khor72-60
Dbaelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23AAl-Hilal60-107
20/10/23AAl Nasr61-112
31/03/23HAl Ittihad65-69
24/03/23AAl-Fateh81-86
16/03/23HAl-Hilal83-103
03/02/23HAl Ansar61-89
27/01/23AAl Salam62-75
20/01/23HAl Ahli72-89
13/01/23AAl Adalh81-70
06/01/23HOhod86-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.099.091.0
Allowed / game84.586.083.0
Point differential+10.5+13.0+8.0
Avg total179.5185.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dbae
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.5-60.5
Allowed / game109.5-109.5
Point differential-49.0--49.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal220100%110.064.5+45.5
2 Al Nasr220100%107.564.0+43.5
3 Al Wehda220100%106.589.0+17.5
4 Al Ahli220100%95.084.5+10.5
5 Al Ittihad220100%83.074.5+8.5
6 Al-Fateh21150%103.086.0+17.0
7 Al Salam21150%69.079.0-10.0
8 Al Khaleej2020%79.586.0-6.5
9 Al Safa of Safwa2020%79.592.0-12.5
10 Ohod2020%58.583.0-24.5
11 Al Taawon2020%68.0108.0-40.0
12 Dbae2020%60.5109.5-49.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli18203528101
Dbae1919151568
← all games of the day
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