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Al Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-82
24-23 21-19 17-20 27-20
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeWASLWASL - Quarter-finals· Bahrain Handball Federation Hall
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Al Muharraq v Al-Ahli Dubai
18 Mar 2024
AL M89
AL-A82
04 Mar 2024
AL M87
AL-A97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Muharraq winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Ahli Dubai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al MuharraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuharraq
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
W
101-96
101
96
+5
96avg 74
A08/01
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H12/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
A21/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
65-104
65
104
-39
no box
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#10
L
65-95
65
95
-30
60avg 74
A30/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 74
H12/02
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
87-97
87
97
-10
57avg 74
H04/03
WASL
Al Najma
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H07/03
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
W
116-75
116
75
+41
88avg 74
A11/03
WASL
Al Ittihad
#3
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H15/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
17-29
30-22
28-23
14-15
18-15
13-30
31-13
25-22
23-23
15-27
29-16
18-26
7-32
17-31
23-15
17-28
12-17
20-17
16-33
22-20
19-13
12-22
25-24
19-31
24-16
25-25
19-25
14-25
23-21
15-19
25-24
24-13
32-24
31-21
29-17
14-8
15-19
19-21
25-14
168.8Avg total
83.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.086.9175.9+2.150%
Season at home (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Season away (4)90.282.8173.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)83.085.8168.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)86.280.4166.6+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.4100.2187.6-12.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.989.8178.7-0.944%
vs Weaker (9)90.869.2160.0+21.689%
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#1
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
H11/06
WASL
Shahrdari Gorgan
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A13/06
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
96-63
96
63
+33
99avg 77
A21/11
WASL
Kazma
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 77
A05/12
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 77
H18/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
110-81
110
81
+29
104avg 77
H16/01
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
74avg 77
H06/02
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 77
A13/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
71avg 77
A04/03
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
L
75-116
75
116
-41
66avg 77
H11/03
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-23
14-17
10-12
17-21
20-17
20-22
18-25
23-14
18-16
28-13
27-20
22-24
30-15
17-19
16-22
17-16
18-18
14-19
18-20
36-22
24-23
29-17
21-19
23-20
21-28
17-22
22-21
20-16
14-23
24-19
16-20
31-19
16-24
25-25
25-19
13-24
24-32
21-31
17-29
165.1Avg total
82.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.983.6169.5+2.250%
Season at home (4)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
Season away (4)88.077.0165.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.282.9165.1-0.740%
Last 5 (5)87.890.6178.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.585.0159.5-10.515%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.391.1175.4-6.943%
vs Weaker (7)89.971.9161.7+18.086%
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Al MuharraqAl-Ahli Dubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al MuharraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A08/01
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H12/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
25-58
25
58
-33
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#10
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A30/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/02
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/03
WASL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A11/03
WASL
Al Ittihad
#3
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H15/03
Premier League
80.2Avg total
38.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.343.486.8-0.148%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.342.084.3+0.344%-
Last 30 away (11)45.145.890.9-0.755%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.980.2-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.079.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.056.494.4-18.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.345.189.4-0.844%-
vs Weaker (8)44.832.176.9+12.688%-
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/06
WASL
Shahrdari Gorgan
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/06
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A21/11
WASL
Kazma
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A05/12
WASL
Al Manama
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H18/12
WASL
Al Shamal
#17
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H16/01
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H06/02
WASL
Al Manama
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/03
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H11/03
WASL
84.1Avg total
42.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.542.183.6-0.748%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.744.086.7-1.354%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.480.8-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.884.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.290.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.643.280.8-5.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.147.691.7-3.443%-
vs Weaker (7)46.034.980.9+11.1100%-
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Muharraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Muharraq: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.6%
52.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
32.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.112.8
74.5%
69.5%12.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Ahli Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Ahli Dubai: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.9
54.1%
52.3%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.6
25.9%
32.2%16.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
67.8%
69.5%12.4
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Muharraq
WWLLLLLWWW
Al-Ahli Dubai
LWLLWLWWLL
#8
League position
#7
+1.6
Net rating
+2.6
109.6
Offensive rating
104.0
108.0
Defensive rating
101.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
25.9%
68.0%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 104.0Defence108.0 · 101.4Shooting54.0% · 49.6%3-point %36.4% · 25.9%Ball care16.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Al Muharraq   ■ Al-Ahli Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Muharraq wins
1
Al-Ahli Dubai wins
DateGameScore
11/03/24Al-Ahli Dubai v Al Muharraq75-116
04/03/24Al Muharraq v Al-Ahli Dubai87-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HAl Ittihad73-62
11/03/24AAl-Ahli Dubai116-75
07/03/24HAl Najma77-89
04/03/24HAl-Ahli Dubai87-97
12/02/24HAl-Rayyan78-79
30/01/24AAl Ahli65-95
26/01/24HAl Manama65-104
21/01/24AAl Ahli92-88
12/01/24HAl Hala76-73
08/01/24AKuwait SC101-96
Al-Ahli Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HAl Muharraq75-116
04/03/24AAl Muharraq97-87
13/02/24AAl Manama74-78
06/02/24HKazma83-91
16/01/24HAl Shamal110-81
18/12/23HAl Manama67-73
05/12/23AKazma85-80
21/11/23AAl Shamal96-63
13/06/23AShahrdari Gorgan75-85
11/06/23HKuwait SC60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Muharraq
WASL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game89.087.890.2
Allowed / game86.991.082.8
Point differential+2.1-3.2+7.5
Avg total175.9178.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Ahli Dubai
WASL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game85.983.888.0
Allowed / game83.690.277.0
Point differential+2.2-6.5+11.0
Avg total169.5174.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Riyadi440100%102.573.2+29.2
2 Shahrdari Gorgan660100%94.867.2+27.7
3 Al Manama660100%95.875.5+20.3
4 Sagesse Beirut86275%86.476.2+10.1
5 Kuwait SC64267%96.787.3+9.3
6 Kazma85362%87.078.6+8.4
7 Al-Ahli Dubai84450%85.983.6+2.2
8 Al Muharraq84450%89.086.9+2.1
9 Al-Rayyan83538%77.582.0-4.5
10 Al Ittihad83538%72.885.8-13.0
11 Al Ahli62433%87.890.3-2.5
12 Al Shorta62433%81.887.5-5.7
13 Al Wahda61517%66.585.3-18.8
14 Naft Al Janoob6060%70.088.8-18.8
15 Al Shamal6060%72.5110.7-38.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Muharraq2421172789
Al-Ahli Dubai2319202082
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