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Alabama State vs St. Francis (PA) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:40
Final 70-68
34-39 36-29
Position#156
Record19-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#236
Record16-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Francis (PA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A15/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
49-34
46-30
33-26
23-23
37-36
33-31
35-39
37-23
57-29
35-32
31-33
22-24
37-23
41-29
43-50
33-36
31-26
25-26
35-30
131.8Avg total
70.9Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)73.472.2145.7+1.256%
Season at home (14)80.771.2151.9+9.571%
Season away (20)68.373.0141.3-4.645%
Last 10 (10)70.960.9131.8+10.090%
Last 5 (5)66.661.8128.4+4.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.082.0150.0-14.029%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.771.2142.8+0.567%
vs Weaker (11)74.666.4141.0+8.364%
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-30
41-48
42-41
39-28
31-38
43-41
41-38
26-45
38-38
28-28
34-36
39-37
26-32
42-36
28-25
30-30
23-38
48-30
20-20
26-23
143.1Avg total
72.9Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)70.372.2142.5-1.947%
Season at home (14)79.066.4145.4+12.671%
Season away (20)64.276.2140.4-12.030%
Last 10 (10)72.970.2143.1+2.780%
Last 5 (5)68.063.4131.4+4.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.577.3140.8-13.727%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.168.4137.5+0.742%
vs Weaker (6)88.567.7156.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
Alabama StateSt. Francis (PA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A18/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/03
NCAA
60.4Avg total
32.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.467.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.732.767.3+2.058%-
Last 30 away (18)31.835.567.3-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)32.128.360.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.229.460.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.142.775.9-9.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.631.864.4+0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)33.331.865.1+1.555%-
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/03
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H06/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A11/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.468.1+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.130.469.5+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)30.936.066.9-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.666.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)26.230.256.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.238.570.7-6.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.930.061.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)42.532.074.5+10.567%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama State wins
0
St. Francis (PA) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AJackson State60-56
14/03/25HGrambling St.64-62
13/03/25ATexas Southern84-79
08/03/25AGrambling St.59-47
07/03/25ASouthern Univ.66-65
01/03/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs94-52
25/02/25HBethune-Cookman68-70
22/02/25HFlorida A&M60-59
18/02/25AMiss. Valley St.79-56
15/02/25AArkansas-Pine Bluff75-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25ACentral Connecticut State46-43
08/03/25ALIU Sharks71-68
06/03/25HWagner58-55
01/03/25HChicago State80-71 OT
22/02/25HFairleigh Dickinson85-80 OT
21/02/25ALe Moyne81-76 OT
15/02/25ACentral Connecticut State67-83
14/02/25AStonehill74-79
08/02/25AChicago State81-69
07/02/25HLe Moyne86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341420
Win %56%71%45%
Points / game73.480.768.3
Allowed / game72.271.273.0
Point differential+1.2+9.5-4.6
Avg total145.7151.9141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)71% (7)75% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
St. Francis (PA)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW47%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341420
Win %47%71%30%
Points / game70.379.064.2
Allowed / game72.266.476.2
Point differential-1.9+12.6-12.1
Avg total142.5145.4140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %12%14%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.32201262%74.868.2+6.5
2 Alabama State34191556%73.472.2+1.2
3 Bethune-Cookman33171652%68.672.2-3.5
4 Jackson State34161847%71.474.6-3.1
5 Texas Southern32151747%72.772.1+0.6
6 Florida A&M31141745%72.175.3-3.2
7 Grambling St.34122235%66.867.7-0.9
8 Alcorn State32112134%65.072.1-7.1
9 Alabama A&M Bulldogs32102231%73.078.8-5.8
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff3162519%72.383.9-11.6
11 Prairie View A&M3252716%71.482.4-11.0
12 Miss. Valley St.3132810%54.180.8-26.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State3225778%72.262.9+9.4
2 LIU Sharks33171652%67.765.3+2.4
3 Mercyhurst Lakers31151648%67.969.9-2.0
4 St. Francis (PA)34161847%70.372.2-1.9
5 Stonehill32151747%68.770.1-1.4
6 Wagner30141647%62.560.6+1.9
7 Fairleigh Dickinson33132039%73.773.2+0.5
8 Le Moyne3292328%74.180.2-6.1
9 Chicago State3242812%62.578.7-16.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.078.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama State343670
St. Francis (PA)392968
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