PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alberta vs Saint Marys Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-98 (OT)
16-21 27-21 21-26 23-19 6-11
Position#9
Record18-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#14
Record15-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.5
CanadaU SportsU Sports - Semi-finals
Other2016-17
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alberta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saint Marys winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbertaCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan
#10
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A04/02
U Sports
Saskatchewan
#10
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A05/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H11/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
H13/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H24/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
L
111-112 OT
111
112
-1
H25/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
107-84
107
84
+23
H26/02
U Sports
Saskatchewan
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A03/03
U Sports
Manitoba
#15
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H05/03
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A10/03
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
15-14
18-21
27-20
17-21
11-22
23-12
14-13
16-11
29-27
25-26
27-22
25-19
18-9
14-15
12-26
20-6
11-17
20-20
29-16
28-26
24-12
19-32
30-31
34-22
35-24
19-23
19-15
19-18
21-17
23-20
20-15
18-15
20-17
25-24
29-17
20-15
16-23
19-14
10-15
165.6Avg total
87.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.174.8158.9+9.369%
Season at home (14)87.275.7162.9+11.571%
Season away (12)80.573.7154.2+6.867%
Last 10 (10)87.478.2165.6+9.260%
Last 5 (5)91.681.2172.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.086.3156.3-16.30%
vs Similar (8)71.472.6144.0-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.173.8162.9+15.284%
This opponent (Saint Marys) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint MarysCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UPEI
#38
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A29/01
U Sports
StFX
#26
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H04/02
U Sports
Acadia
#20
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H12/02
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A18/02
U Sports
Cape Breton
#47
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A25/02
U Sports
Cape Breton
#47
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A26/02
U Sports
StFX
#26
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H04/03
U Sports
UNB
#11
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A05/03
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A05/03
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H09/03
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
25-18
20-17
35-43
18-12
17-28
26-17
22-28
15-20
31-18
23-28
24-24
21-26
19-26
18-25
25-11
18-23
26-12
23-13
27-30
15-8
19-16
22-24
14-18
16-19
23-18
24-23
17-19
22-14
16-21
19-13
24-20
19-14
20-15
6-20
15-14
10-18
25-21
18-20
17-20
161.3Avg total
81.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.579.5163.0+4.062%
Season at home (11)87.578.1165.6+9.573%
Season away (13)80.080.7160.7-0.754%
Last 10 (10)81.979.4161.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)72.271.0143.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.875.5146.3-4.733%
vs Similar (17)83.680.8164.5+2.865%
vs Weaker (7)93.377.6170.9+15.786%
This opponent (Alberta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
AlbertaSaint Marys
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlbertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A04/02
U Sports
Saskatchewan
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A05/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H24/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H25/02
U Sports
Lethbridge
#13
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H26/02
U Sports
Saskatchewan
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/03
U Sports
Manitoba
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/03
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/03
U Sports
76.4Avg total
41.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.334.874.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.332.873.1+7.581%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.175.2+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.776.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.884.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.341.775.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (8)34.136.570.6-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.433.075.4+9.495%-
This opponent (Saint Marys) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint MarysLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UPEI
#38
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A29/01
U Sports
StFX
#26
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/02
U Sports
Acadia
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H12/02
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/02
U Sports
Cape Breton
#47
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/02
U Sports
Cape Breton
#47
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A26/02
U Sports
StFX
#26
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/03
U Sports
UNB
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/03
U Sports
Dalhousie
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A05/03
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H09/03
U Sports
76.7Avg total
40.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.377.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.635.476.0+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.978.8+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.776.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)41.438.179.4+3.365%-
vs Weaker (7)42.034.676.6+7.471%-
This opponent (Alberta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alberta wins
0
Saint Marys wins
No previous meetings.
Albertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/17ADalhousie65-67
05/03/17HManitoba92-73
03/03/17ASaskatchewan83-70
26/02/17HLethbridge107-84
25/02/17HLethbridge111-112 OT
24/02/17HLethbridge80-59
13/02/17HLethbridge94-96 OT
11/02/17HLethbridge97-86
05/02/17ASaskatchewan65-68
04/02/17ASaskatchewan80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HTMU70-79
05/03/17ADalhousie60-63
05/03/17AUNB81-68
04/03/17HStFX80-79
26/02/17ACape Breton70-66
25/02/17ACape Breton94-78
18/02/17ADalhousie83-88
12/02/17HAcadia93-90
04/02/17HStFX83-85
29/01/17AUPEI105-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alberta
U Sports 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game84.187.280.5
Allowed / game74.875.773.7
Point differential+9.3+11.5+6.8
Avg total158.9162.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Saint Marys
U Sports 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%73%54%
Points / game83.587.580.0
Allowed / game79.578.180.7
Point differential+4.0+9.5-0.7
Avg total163.0165.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton2322196%90.960.1+30.7
2 TMU2321291%87.568.3+19.3
3 UBC2219386%92.571.7+20.7
4 McGill1916384%73.959.5+14.4
5 Dalhousie2319483%80.270.5+9.7
6 University of Ottawa2217577%78.665.3+13.3
7 Brock2217577%74.569.6+4.8
8 Calgary2620677%88.176.9+11.2
9 Alberta2618869%84.174.8+9.3
10 Saskatchewan2416867%80.874.4+6.4
11 UNB2114767%87.082.2+4.7
12 Concordia1711665%66.866.5+0.3
13 Lethbridge2516964%82.381.6+0.7
14 Saint Marys2415962%83.579.5+4.0
15 Manitoba28171161%82.179.9+2.2
16 Memorial2112957%83.083.7-0.7
17 Toronto2112957%74.476.0-1.7
18 Winnipeg25141156%81.778.4+3.4
19 UFV23121152%76.979.3-2.3
20 Acadia22111150%85.583.3+2.2
21 UQAM189950%69.874.2-4.4
22 Laurentian21101148%76.678.0-1.4
23 Windsor21101148%76.880.2-3.4
24 Nipissing21101148%70.676.5-5.9
25 Brandon23101343%77.385.3-8.1
26 StFX2191243%85.686.2-0.6
27 McMaster2191243%74.576.4-1.9
28 Laurier2191243%72.279.8-7.5
29 Regina2291341%82.083.4-1.4
30 Victoria2291341%77.280.0-2.7
31 Mount Royal2081240%79.278.9+0.3
32 Thompson Rivers25101540%75.079.1-4.0
33 Laval1761135%62.665.7-3.1
34 MacEwan2071335%79.582.5-3.0
35 Western2071335%74.579.0-4.5
36 Queens2071335%71.877.9-6.1
37 Guelph1961332%72.478.9-6.6
38 UPEI2061430%86.691.8-5.2
39 Waterloo2061430%72.878.9-6.2
40 Lakehead2061430%66.272.8-6.6
41 Algoma2051525%67.080.6-13.6
42 York1941521%66.977.6-10.7
43 UNBC2041620%70.083.4-13.4
44 Trinity Western2031715%75.589.8-14.4
45 Bishop's1621412%68.376.8-8.5
46 UBC Okanagan2021810%67.281.8-14.7
47 Cape Breton200200%75.993.0-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alberta16272123693
Saint Marys212126191198
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.