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Aleman vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 52-68
14-17 16-14 15-20 7-17
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game65.0
Aleman
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano 🏆
Chile
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game67.8
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Liceo Curico
#9
L
68-100
68
100
-32
no box
H27/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H10/06
LNB 2
Tomas Lawrence
#12
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A18/06
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
35-127
35
127
-92
no box
H24/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
56-85
56
85
-29
no box
A01/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#9
L
66-108
66
108
-42
no box
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 63
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
44avg 63
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 63
A31/03
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-26
6-27
24-26
15-18
17-14
26-13
7-22
–
–
–
–
5-29
5-36
10-31
15-31
12-17
14-25
10-25
20-18
20-20
15-23
22-24
10-20
21-36
18-27
12-30
15-15
21-11
17-18
13-16
22-14
17-15
10-23
17-13
20-21
20-16
24-16
26-17
14-15
147.9Avg total
64.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.765.0138.7+8.767%
Season at home (1)73.059.0132.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)74.068.0142.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)64.183.8147.9-19.720%
Last 5 (5)70.878.0148.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)56.284.8141.0-28.68%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.373.0143.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (3)68.762.7131.3+6.067%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Brisas
#13
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H01/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
62-108
62
108
-46
no box
A15/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
74-53
74
53
+21
no box
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
38-86
38
86
-48
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
60-105
60
105
-45
no box
A01/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
44avg 52
H24/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
80-63
80
63
+17
68avg 52
H30/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
63avg 52
H06/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
56-70
56
70
-14
33avg 52
H07/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
25-9
21-20
10-15
18-9
9-22
13-15
9-28
7-21
9-18
12-31
18-23
21-33
10-29
23-15
21-24
12-20
15-18
23-21
13-20
15-23
16-18
15-8
22-16
27-21
23-13
17-15
5-21
22-7
16-16
12-17
10-15
18-22
141.6Avg total
64.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.267.8135.0-0.550%
Season at home (4)67.267.8135.0-0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.577.1141.6-12.640%
Last 5 (5)67.071.8138.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)62.678.9141.5-16.323%
vs Similar ◀ (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (7)68.765.0133.7+3.771%
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
AlemanStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Curico
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/06
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
10-65
10
65
-55
H24/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A01/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/07
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#9
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A31/03
LNB 2
75.6Avg total
32.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)29.042.271.2-13.218%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.139.667.6-11.514%-
Last 30 away (14)30.044.974.9-14.921%-
Last 10 (9)32.143.475.6-11.322%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.077.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)27.844.071.8-16.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.340.075.3-4.733%-
vs Weaker (2)34.025.059.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A30/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A01/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H06/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H30/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H07/04
LNB 2
68.0Avg total
32.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.634.667.3-2.042%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.536.972.4-1.545%-
Last 30 away (8)28.831.560.2-2.838%-
Last 10 (8)32.435.668.0-3.238%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.937.069.9-4.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)40.028.068.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)30.429.860.2+0.640%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.717.3
42.6%
44.9%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.08.7
27.1%
28.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws18.711.7
62.5%
63.6%11.7
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.016.2
39.6%
44.9%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.2
25.0%
28.7%18.8
🏀 Free throws25.216.0
63.4%
63.6%16.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WLWLLLLLLL
Stadio Italiano
LWWLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#4
+7.4
Net rating
+1.9
84.9
Offensive rating
84.6
77.4
Defensive rating
82.7
41.7%
Effective FG%
38.8%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.1%
3-point %
25.0%
69.2%
Assist %
61.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 84.6Defence77.4 · 82.7Shooting41.7% · 38.8%3-point %27.1% · 25.0%Ball care20.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 21.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Aleman   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
0
Stadio Italiano wins
No previous meetings.
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24ABoston C. C.84-64
30/03/24ASergio Ceppi64-72
23/03/24HMunicipal Chillan73-59
22/07/23ALiceo Curico66-108
08/07/23HColo Colo67-87
01/07/23ATruenos De Talca56-85
24/06/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda35-127
18/06/23ATomas Lawrence63-69
10/06/23HMunicipal Chillan65-67
27/05/23HLiceo Curico68-100
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol56-70
06/04/24HSergio Ceppi67-56
30/03/24HMunicipal Chillan80-63
24/03/24HColo Colo66-82
06/08/23HSportiva Italiana66-88
01/08/23ASportiva Italiana60-105
30/07/23ASportiva Italiana38-86
23/07/23HLuis Matte Larrain74-53
15/07/23ASportiva Italiana62-108
01/07/23HBrisas76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.773.074.0
Allowed / game65.059.068.0
Point differential+8.7+14.0+6.0
Avg total138.7132.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game67.267.2-
Allowed / game67.867.8-
Point differential-0.5-0.5-
Avg total135.0135.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo440100%87.070.8+16.2
2 Arabe Valparaiso330100%76.763.3+13.3
3 Luis Matte Larrain330100%70.064.7+5.3
4 Sergio Ceppi43175%69.062.5+6.5
5 Aleman32167%73.765.0+8.7
6 Quilpue Basquetbol53260%72.267.2+5.0
7 Stadio Italiano42250%67.267.8-0.5
8 Truenos De Talca31233%75.072.3+2.7
9 Boston C. C.41325%69.573.5-4.0
10 Brisas4040%63.072.2-9.2
11 Municipal Chillan4040%55.874.8-19.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe3030%62.087.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman141615752
Stadio Italiano1714201768
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