PythiaBasketballBETA
ENBL· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Alkar will host Anwil Wloclawek on 17 November 2026 in the ENBL, and the Pythia model names Anwil the clear favourite, giving it an 88% chance to win because they have a 2-1 record, 89.0 points per game and only 82.0 allowed, while Alkar sits at 1-2, 84.7 points per game and 90.7 allowed; the model also projects a 76-90 score and a total of 165.7 points, with a 3% chance of overtime. Alkar's season shows a 1-2 record, 84.7 points scored and 90.7 allowed, and they are 13th in the league; at home they are 0-1, 80.0 points and 92.0 allowed, with one win and four losses in their last five games, including a 91-72 victory over Dubrovnik at home on 8 November and losses to Donar Groningen 80-92 at home on 3 November and Dinamo Zagreb 75-85 away on 30 October. Anwil's season is 2-1, 89.0 points and 82.0 allowed, 7th in the league; on the road they are 1-0, 84.0 points and 78.0 allowed, and in their last five games they have two wins and three losses, notably a 75-96 loss to Dziki Warszawa away on 7 November, a 84-78 win over Zrinjski Mostar away on 4 November and an 83-82 win at home over Ostrow Wielkopolski on 30 October. The last head-to-head meeting, when it occurred, is not listed, but the model's odds reflect Anwil's superior offensive and defensive numbers and their better recent form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 84.7 | 90.7 | 175.3 | -6.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 80.0 | 92.0 | 172.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 87.0 | 90.0 | 177.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.9 | 85.1 | 167.0 | -3.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 81.6 | 161.4 | -1.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 71.2 | 80.9 | 152.1 | -9.7 | 20% |
| vs Similar (6) | 80.3 | 82.2 | 162.5 | -1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 84.5 | 79.5 | 164.0 | +5.0 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 89.0 | 82.0 | 171.0 | +7.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 91.5 | 84.0 | 175.5 | +7.5 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 84.0 | 78.0 | 162.0 | +6.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.5 | 82.7 | 165.2 | -0.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 84.2 | 165.2 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 80.8 | 88.0 | 168.8 | -7.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (15) | 83.6 | 82.1 | 165.7 | +1.5 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 88.5 | 82.2 | 170.6 | +6.3 | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.7 | 40.1 | 77.8 | -2.4 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.4 | 37.6 | 76.0 | +0.8 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.0 | 42.7 | 79.7 | -5.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.4 | 43.6 | 86.0 | -1.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 43.0 | 87.2 | +1.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 35.5 | 39.9 | 75.4 | -4.4 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.5 | 40.5 | 80.0 | -1.0 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 45.8 | 40.8 | 86.5 | +5.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 42.8 | 85.2 | -0.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.9 | 43.1 | 87.0 | +0.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.9 | 42.5 | 83.3 | -1.6 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 42.0 | 83.0 | -1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 43.8 | 83.4 | -4.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 39.0 | 51.2 | 90.2 | -12.2 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 43.5 | 40.6 | 84.1 | +2.9 | 73% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 42.1 | 42.7 | 84.8 | -0.6 | 55% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.6 | 21.1 | 53.5% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 8.4 | 32.5% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.0 | 70.7% | 13.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 21.2 | 53.5% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.0 | 7.5 | 32.5% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 18.3 | 70.7% | 18.3 |
Alkar
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Dubrovnik | 91-72 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Donar Groningen | 80-92 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Dinamo Zagreb | 75-85 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Split | 75-76 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 78-83 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 82-93 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Skrljevo | 73-88 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Samobor | 95-91 OT |
| 30/09/26 | A | Zrinjski Mostar | 92-87 OT |
| 27/09/26 | H | Cibona | 78-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Dziki Warszawa | 75-96 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Zrinjski Mostar | 84-78 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Ostrow Wielkopolski | 83-82 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Zielona Gora | 77-78 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Voluntari | 86-87 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Legia | 72-73 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Czarni Slupsk | 79-78 |
| 05/10/26 | H | Gornik Walbrzych | 88-87 OT |
| 24/09/26 | H | Donar Groningen | 97-81 |
| 10/05/26 | H | Dabrowa Gornicza | 84-87 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.7 | 80.0 | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.7 | 92.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -6.0 | -12.0 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 175.3 | 172.0 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.0 | 91.5 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.0 | 84.0 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | +7.0 | +7.5 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 171.0 | 175.5 | 162.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Syntainics MBC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 100.5 | 79.2 | +21.2 |
| 2 |  Tindastoll | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 69.3 | +15.3 |
| 3 |  Spartak Pleven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.2 | 72.2 | +5.0 |
| 4 |  AEL | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.5 | 67.2 | +10.2 |
| 5 |  Voluntari | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 85.8 | +0.2 |
| 6 |  Kapfenberg Bulls | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 96.3 | 87.0 | +9.3 |
| 7 | Anwil Wloclawek | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 89.0 | 82.0 | +7.0 |
| 8 |  Donar Groningen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.2 | 82.4 | +0.8 |
| 9 |  Jonava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 72.0 | +3.5 |
| 10 |  Bristol Flyers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.5 | 82.2 | -2.8 |
| 11 |  Tal Tech | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 78.8 | -0.6 |
| 12 |  CIU | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.0 | -3.0 |
| 13 | Alkar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 90.7 | -6.0 |
| 14 |  Dubrava | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 88.0 | -10.7 |
| 15 |  BK Liepaja | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 89.8 | -13.5 |
| 16 |  Fyllingen | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 74.8 | 85.4 | -10.6 |
| 17 |  Zrinjski Mostar | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.5 | 82.0 | -4.5 |
| 18 |  Lausanne Basket | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 75.0 | 90.0 | -15.0 |
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