Almansa vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 70-75

18-24 18-19 12-16 22-16

Position#12

Record2-3

FormWLLWL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game79.6

Almansa

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record4-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game80.8

Primera FEBRound 6

Other2022-23

Meetings · Almansa v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almansa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almansa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fibwi Palma

#17

80-87

-7

H23/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

89-95

-6

A29/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

76-80

-4

H07/05

Primera FEB

Granada

60-102

102

-42

A13/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

83-79

H20/05

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

86-71

+15

A07/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

74-89

-15

H12/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

72-86

-14

A15/10

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-61

+19

H22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

77-91

-14

A28/10

Primera FEB

18-31

23-16

19-21

20-19

14-19

24-20

19-28

32-28

23-26

12-19

16-14

25-21

16-24

12-26

15-24

17-28

19-15

18-22

29-19

17-23

19-14

23-22

29-17

15-18

22-22

20-22

10-23

14-20

18-27

23-18

17-21

23-13

10-12

30-16

17-20

20-21

20-29

23-19

14-22

161.8Avg total

77.7Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.8	79.6	157.4	-1.8	40%
Season at home (2)	77.0	75.0	152.0	+2.0	50%
Season away (3)	78.3	82.7	161.0	-4.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	84.1	161.8	-6.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	79.6	157.4	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	75.6	86.4	162.0	-10.8	15%
vs Similar (15)	83.1	81.4	164.5	+1.7	47%
vs Weaker (2)	83.5	70.5	154.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

#11

73-58

+15

H29/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

54-67

-13

A03/06

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

85-59

+26

A05/06

Primera FEB

Palencia

89-62

+27

H18/06

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

60-66

-6

H19/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

66-96

-30

A07/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

104-86

104

+18

H11/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-73

H16/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

97-79

+18

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-70

+11

H30/10

Primera FEB

17-14

16-12

25-21

15-11

12-15

20-14

7-21

15-17

22-12

15-17

22-20

26-10

19-11

17-13

33-19

20-19

14-19

16-15

17-24

13-8

17-19

23-23

11-28

15-26

25-24

23-18

33-16

23-28

20-21

19-21

20-17

22-14

19-17

21-24

31-18

26-20

14-14

27-20

22-19

18-17

150.6Avg total

79.0Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	85.8	80.8	166.6	+5.0	80%
Season at home (3)	88.7	76.3	165.0	+12.3	100%
Season away (2)	81.5	87.5	169.0	-6.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	71.6	150.6	+7.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	80.8	166.6	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	70.7	74.2	144.8	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	80.5	68.8	149.3	+11.7	75%

This opponent (Almansa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmansaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.5	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	17.0	40.5	+6.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.9	36.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	16.7	34.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.6	34.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	15.3	17.7	33.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.0	16.8	36.7	+3.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.9	36.2	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	22.4	41.2	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.2	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.7	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.1	35.7	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.8	16.6	36.5	+3.2	58%	-

AlmansaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fibwi Palma

#17

41-47

-6

H23/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

38-39

-1

A29/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

35-45

-10

H07/05

Primera FEB

Granada

28-50

-22

A13/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

37-37

H20/05

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-36

A07/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

44-44

H12/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

32-47

-15

A15/10

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

33-25

H22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

40-50

-10

A28/10

Primera FEB

79.0Avg total

37.0Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.6	80.1	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	43.9	81.0	-6.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	42.0	79.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.4	78.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.7	44.3	80.0	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	29.0	68.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

#11

33-26

H29/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

32-29

A03/06

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

37-29

A05/06

Primera FEB

Palencia

36-24

+12

H18/06

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

30-34

-4

H19/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

40-42

-2

A07/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

48-42

H11/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-42

-3

H16/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

40-41

-1

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

41-34

H30/10

Primera FEB

71.9Avg total

37.6Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	34.2	73.0	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	33.2	72.6	+6.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	35.3	73.4	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	34.3	71.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.2	81.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	35.0	37.3	72.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	39.8	33.4	73.2	+6.4	67%	-

This opponent (Almansa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.4	43.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.2	20.4	40.5	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	22.0	46.5	+2.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	18.4	42.6	+5.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	41.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.3	40.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.8	35.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	46%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	16.7	16.0	32.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.2	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.3	82.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	41.3	82.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	41.2	82.8	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	41.5	85.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.7	75.4	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	35.8	77.5	+6.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	35.6	73.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.3	78.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.6	84.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	35.7	36.8	72.5	-1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	40.7	35.4	76.1	+5.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Almansatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almansa wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/03/22	Almansa v Estudiantes	68-84
14/11/21	Estudiantes v Almansa	94-67

Almansalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/22	A	Forca Lleida	77-91
22/10/22	H	Iraurgi SB	80-61
15/10/22	A	San Pablo Burgos	72-86
12/10/22	H	Palencia	74-89
07/10/22	A	Caceres	86-71
20/05/22	H	Leyma Coruna	83-79
13/05/22	A	Granada	60-102
07/05/22	H	Real Valladolid	76-80
29/04/22	A	Caceres	89-95
23/04/22	H	Fibwi Palma	80-87

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/22	H	Real Valladolid	81-70
23/10/22	A	Melilla	97-79
16/10/22	H	Leyma Coruna	81-73
11/10/22	H	Ourense	104-86
07/10/22	A	Forca Lleida	66-96
19/06/22	H	Basquet Girona	60-66
18/06/22	H	Palencia	89-62
05/06/22	A	Real Valladolid	85-59
03/06/22	A	Real Valladolid	54-67
29/05/22	H	Real Valladolid	73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almansa

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	77.8	77.0	78.3
Allowed / game	79.6	75.0	82.7
Point differential	-1.8	+2.0	-4.3
Avg total	157.4	152.0	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	85.8	88.7	81.5
Allowed / game	80.8	76.3	87.5
Point differential	+5.0	+12.3	-6.0
Avg total	166.6	165.0	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Palencia	5	5	0	100%	81.2	63.8	+17.4
2	MoraBanc Andorra	6	5	1	83%	83.2	68.5	+14.7
3	Forca Lleida	6	5	1	83%	81.7	75.7	+6.0
4	Estudiantes	5	4	1	80%	85.8	80.8	+5.0
5	Alicante	6	4	2	67%	77.8	78.5	-0.7
6	Estela	6	4	2	67%	70.0	73.0	-3.0
7	Leyma Coruna	5	3	2	60%	79.8	71.0	+8.8
8	Real Valladolid	5	3	2	60%	77.0	68.4	+8.6
9	Gipuzkoa	5	3	2	60%	71.6	69.0	+2.6
10	San Pablo Burgos	6	3	3	50%	78.5	77.5	+1.0
11	Almansa	5	2	3	40%	77.8	79.6	-1.8
12	Castello	6	2	4	33%	74.5	72.7	+1.8
13	Albacete	6	2	4	33%	72.8	76.3	-3.5
14	Caceres	6	2	4	33%	71.5	77.7	-6.2
15	Melilla	5	1	4	20%	81.4	84.6	-3.2
16	Ourense	5	1	4	20%	68.6	81.8	-13.2
17	Iraurgi SB	6	1	5	17%	72.8	84.8	-12.0
18	Oviedo	6	0	6	0%	64.2	82.5	-18.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almansa	18	18	12	22	70
Estudiantes	24	19	16	16	75

← all games of the day

Almansa vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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