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American University vs Stony Brook Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-77
43-29 31-48
Position#128
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#120
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

American University winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

American UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#10
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H14/03
CIT
Howard
#352
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A30/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H04/12
NCAA
George Mason
#234
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-37
0-0
33-41
0-0
46-34
0-0
40-35
0-0
41-33
0-0
23-35
0-0
42-28
0-0
43-33
0-0
30-27
0-0
23-41
0-0
35-25
0-0
47-51
141.8Avg total
71.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.068.4142.4+5.660%
Season at home (2)85.565.0150.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)66.370.7137.0-4.333%
Last 10 (6)71.870.0141.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.068.4142.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (5)74.068.4142.4+5.660%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A18/03
CBI
Illinois (Chi.)
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A17/03
CBI
South Florida
#1
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/03
CBI
Wagner
#324
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Delaware
#121
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A28/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#264
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H03/12
NCAA
Brown
#175
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H08/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#16
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A11/12
NCAA
Providence
#130
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A15/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-27
0-0
43-45
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-36
0-0
48-30
0-0
18-36
0-0
39-36
0-0
34-37
0-0
20-39
0-0
41-36
0-0
37-22
0-0
28-25
0-0
33-27
0-0
46-36
0-0
34-36
0-0
29-35
0-0
24-34
0-0
54-48
0-0
21-28
0-0
23-28
139.8Avg total
69.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.168.3136.4-0.143%
Season at home (2)72.055.0127.0+17.0100%
Season away (5)66.673.6140.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)69.570.3139.8-0.830%
Last 5 (5)65.863.8129.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.073.0136.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.569.0134.5-3.525%
vs Weaker (2)76.065.5141.5+10.5100%
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
American UniversityStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
American UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#10
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H14/03
CIT
Howard
#352
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H27/11
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A30/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/12
NCAA
George Mason
#234
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A18/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
37.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)37.030.767.7+6.383%-
Last 30 at home (3)38.733.071.7+5.767%-
Last 30 away (3)35.328.363.7+7.0100%-
Last 10 (6)37.030.767.7+6.383%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.468.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (5)38.829.468.2+9.4100%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#7
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A18/03
CBI
Illinois (Chi.)
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
CBI
South Florida
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A20/03
CBI
Wagner
#324
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Delaware
#121
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A28/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#264
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Brown
#175
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Providence
#130
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A15/12
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A18/12
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)32.231.463.6+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (2)35.024.559.5+10.5100%-
Last 30 away (12)31.832.564.2-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.531.462.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.459.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.036.570.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)24.532.056.5-7.525%-
vs Weaker (2)38.029.067.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
American University wins
0
Stony Brook wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19AMount St. Mary's82-76
08/12/19AGeorge Mason53-68
04/12/19HUMBC Retrievers85-61
30/11/19AAlbany64-68
27/11/19HHoward86-69
14/03/12HBuffalo61-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19AVirginia44-56
15/12/19AProvidence78-82
11/12/19AHofstra63-71
08/12/19HBrown79-63
03/12/19HManhattan65-47
28/11/19ADelaware61-75
23/11/19AWagner87-84 OT
20/03/19ASouth Florida79-82 OT
17/03/17AIllinois (Chi.)69-71
18/03/15AMercer70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

American University
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game74.085.566.3
Allowed / game68.465.070.7
Point differential+5.6+20.5-4.3
Avg total142.4150.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game68.172.066.6
Allowed / game68.355.073.6
Point differential-0.1+17.0-7.0
Avg total136.4127.0140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lafayette440100%83.065.2+17.8
2 Colgate87188%77.667.5+10.1
3 Loyola Maryland54180%74.267.2+7.0
4 Navy64267%61.056.8+4.2
5 American University53260%74.068.4+5.6
6 Army63350%72.574.5-2.0
7 Bucknell62433%65.881.3-15.5
8 Boston University72529%66.672.7-6.1
9 Holy Cross71614%68.977.7-8.9
10 Lehigh5050%64.074.8-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monmouth54180%69.660.6+9.0
2 Hofstra86275%74.268.5+5.8
3 Campbell75271%64.961.0+3.9
4 William & Mary74357%72.367.3+5.0
5 Towson74357%65.467.1-1.7
6 Drexel63350%70.371.2-0.8
7 Northeastern73443%66.765.1+1.6
8 Stony Brook73443%68.168.3-0.1
9 Charleston72529%66.367.6-1.3
10 NC Wilmington72529%66.768.0-1.3
11 Elon72529%66.468.4-2.0
12 Hampton82625%70.678.9-8.2
13 N. Carolina A&T82625%57.266.2-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
American University433174
Stony Brook294877
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