Apoel BC vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 71-67

14-14 21-10 9-19 27-24

Position#4

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game67.2

Apoel BC 🏆

PAEEK

Position#6

Record2-3

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game81.4

Division ARound 7· Lefkotheo

Other2023-24

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

PAEEK winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBC

Date

Competition

Omonia

#11

86-74

+12

no box

H17/02

Division A

Keravnos

59-86

-27

no box

A05/03

Division A

Apollon

103-102 OT

103

102

no box

H21/03

Division A

Anorthosis

81-100

100

-19

no box

H01/04

Division A

Anorthosis

83-103

103

-20

no box

A04/04

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

87-76

+11

83avg 68

A08/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

62-60

54avg 68

H22/10

Division A

Anorthosis

74-73

66avg 68

A27/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

77-66

+11

77avg 68

H06/11

Division A

Apollon

67-61

61avg 68

A11/11

Division A

24-25

22-17

20-12

20-20

12-28

26-14

11-24

10-20

20-23

25-20

28-20

16-26

32-27

12-25

23-25

14-23

20-32

19-26

22-19

22-26

25-22

23-22

14-15

25-17

14-12

14-17

18-17

16-14

17-21

16-24

16-13

25-15

16-18

28-15

17-23

16-10

18-14

19-20

15-13

15-14

158.0Avg total

77.9Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	73.4	67.2	140.6	+6.2	100%
Season at home (2)	69.5	63.0	132.5	+6.5	100%
Season away (3)	76.0	70.0	146.0	+6.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	80.1	158.0	-2.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	67.2	140.6	+6.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.0	79.8	155.8	-3.8	50%
vs Similar (9)	84.1	86.2	170.3	-2.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	86.7	75.5	162.3	+11.2	100%

This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAEEK

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPAEEK

Date

Competition

Keravnos

67-80

-13

60avg 69

H14/10

Division A

Apop Paphou

67-74

-7

54avg 69

A22/10

Division A

Paralimni

#11

86-79

78avg 69

H29/10

Division A

AEL

71-92

-21

62avg 69

A05/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

92-82

+10

91avg 69

H10/11

Division A

18-17

19-25

11-26

19-12

22-29

14-16

23-9

8-20

27-17

9-21

27-20

23-21

25-24

14-24

19-19

13-25

24-21

24-16

24-20

20-25

158.0Avg total

76.6Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	76.6	81.4	158.0	-4.8	40%
Season at home (3)	81.7	80.3	162.0	+1.3	67%
Season away (2)	69.0	83.0	152.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (5)	76.6	81.4	158.0	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	81.4	158.0	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	69.0	86.0	155.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	79.5	78.0	157.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apoel BCPAEEK

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.2	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	21.2	37.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.3	22.7	47.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	18.2	41.1	+4.7	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	23.5	26.5	50.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.3	18.8	40.2	+2.5	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	9.0	21.0	30.0	-12.0	0%	-

Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Omonia

#11

46-42

H17/02

Division A

Keravnos

38-42

-4

A05/03

Division A

Apollon

45-43

H21/03

Division A

Anorthosis

44-52

-8

H01/04

Division A

Anorthosis

39-58

-19

A04/04

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

48-44

A08/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

28-29

-1

H22/10

Division A

Anorthosis

33-45

-12

A27/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

44-33

+11

H06/11

Division A

Apollon

37-34

A11/11

Division A

82.4Avg total

40.2Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.0	83.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	40.8	86.5	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.0	43.6	85.6	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	46.3	37.9	84.2	+8.3	93%	-

This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

37-42

-5

H14/10

Division A

Apop Paphou

36-45

-9

A22/10

Division A

Paralimni

#11

36-38

-2

H29/10

Division A

AEL

39-48

-9

A05/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

48-37

+11

H10/11

Division A

81.2Avg total

39.2Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	37.5	46.5	84.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.0	45.0	83.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	38.0	74.0	-2.0	0%	-

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.2	32.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.5	14.5	38.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.0	38.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.9	37.4	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.0	33.4	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	17.5	37.9	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (2)	10.5	22.5	33.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.0	22.5	36.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	39.5	80.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	37.1	74.7	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	36.6	72.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	30.2	65.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.8	37.3	73.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.3	39.9	79.2	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	41.3	41.3	82.7	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	31.5	36.5	68.0	-5.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	31.0	41.0	72.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.5	37.0	74.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	41.0	91.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 72.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game

51%

33%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.4	51.3%	51.0%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	7.2	32.4%	32.6%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.2	70.1%	71.2%	12.2

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

PAEEKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAEEK: 76.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game

51%

33%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.4	51.0%	51.0%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.6	30.9%	32.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	19.2	12.4	64.6%	71.2%	12.4

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	17.2	46.2%	51.0%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	6.4	26.7%	32.6%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	12.8	66.0%	71.2%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.6	15.0	52.4%	51.0%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.2	13.2	37.5%	32.6%	39.6
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.6	70.7%	71.2%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	17.2	46.2%	51.0%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	6.4	26.7%	32.6%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	12.8	66.0%	71.2%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.6	15.0	52.4%	51.0%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.2	13.2	37.5%	32.6%	39.6
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.6	70.7%	71.2%	10.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Apoel BC

WWWWWLLWLW

PAEEK

WLWLL

League position

+8.9

Net rating

-5.5

104.0

Offensive rating

99.2

95.1

Defensive rating

104.7

50.3%

Effective FG%

49.2%

43.8%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

17.6%

Turnover %

18.8%

30.4%

Off. rebound %

25.8%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.30

32.4%

3-point %

30.9%

55.6%

Assist %

54.3%

70%

Form (last 10/5)

40%

Profile

■ Apoel BC ■ PAEEK

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apoel BC wins

PAEEK wins

No previous meetings.

Apoel BClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/23	A	Apollon	67-61
06/11/23	H	ETHA Engomi	77-66
27/10/23	A	Anorthosis	74-73
22/10/23	H	AEK Larnaca	62-60
08/10/23	A	Achilleas K.	87-76
04/04/23	A	Anorthosis	83-103
01/04/23	H	Anorthosis	81-100
21/03/23	H	Apollon	103-102 OT
05/03/23	A	Keravnos	59-86
17/02/23	H	Omonia	86-74

PAEEKlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/23	H	Achilleas K.	92-82
05/11/23	A	AEL	71-92
29/10/23	H	Paralimni	86-79
22/10/23	A	Apop Paphou	67-74
14/10/23	H	Keravnos	67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC

Division A 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	73.4	69.5	76.0
Allowed / game	67.2	63.0	70.0
Point differential	+6.2	+6.5	+6.0
Avg total	140.6	132.5	146.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

PAEEK

Division A 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	40%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	67%	0%
Points / game	76.6	81.7	69.0
Allowed / game	81.4	80.3	83.0
Point differential	-4.8	+1.3	-14.0
Avg total	158.0	162.0	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apoel BC	5	5	0	100%	73.4	67.2	+6.2
2	Keravnos	5	4	1	80%	90.2	67.0	+23.2
3	AEK Larnaca	5	4	1	80%	83.0	71.2	+11.8
4	AEL	7	5	2	71%	85.9	76.9	+9.0
5	Anorthosis	5	3	2	60%	78.2	70.4	+7.8
6	Apop Paphou	6	3	3	50%	77.5	83.5	-6.0
7	PAEEK	5	2	3	40%	76.6	81.4	-4.8
8	ETHA Engomi	6	2	4	33%	78.0	82.2	-4.2
9	Apollon	6	2	4	33%	79.0	85.7	-6.7
10	Achilleas K.	6	1	5	17%	75.3	85.2	-9.8
11	Paralimni	6	0	6	0%	68.2	88.8	-20.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apoel BC	14	21	9	27	71
PAEEK	14	10	19	24	67

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Apoel BC vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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