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Appalachian State vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 50-61
29-27 21-34
Position#203
Record7-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game63.7
vs
Position#27
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A15/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H19/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H20/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
103-43
103
43
+60
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
100-32
100
32
+68
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
23-35
24-29
34-34
28-28
39-43
30-35
53-39
32-33
42-37
19-32
42-33
42-31
20-40
51-24
52-19
37-31
29-36
48-17
52-15
135.1Avg total
73.5Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.763.7143.3+16.058%
Season at home (8)86.662.0148.6+24.662%
Season away (4)65.867.0132.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)73.561.6135.1+11.950%
Last 5 (5)78.455.6134.0+22.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.360.0127.3+7.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.465.6130.1-1.244%
vs Weaker (11)83.560.8144.3+22.691%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco State
#401
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H22/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
67-64 OT
67
64
+3
A11/12
NCAA
San Diego Christian
#527
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H13/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
43-32
23-21
38-33
19-26
35-37
42-23
37-43
41-37
48-34
27-37
34-35
37-29
45-42
34-33
23-24
48-22
33-46
39-30
46-43
139.5Avg total
73.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.466.1139.5+7.380%
Season at home (6)77.864.8142.7+13.0100%
Season away (4)66.868.0134.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)73.466.1139.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)75.269.6144.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)63.764.7128.3-1.033%
vs Weaker (26)72.765.9138.5+6.869%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
Appalachian StateUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H19/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H20/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/12
NCAA
Carlow University
#616
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A15/12
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H17/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
34.9Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.930.665.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.130.165.2+5.053%-
Last 30 away (13)34.631.265.8+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.563.4+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.427.066.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.326.355.7+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.931.664.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (11)39.430.369.6+9.155%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco State
#401
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
19-26
19
26
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H22/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
NCAA
San Diego Christian
#527
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H13/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A18/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
34.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.028.761.7+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.327.461.6+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)31.829.961.8+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)34.228.562.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.267.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)26.333.059.3-6.733%-
vs Weaker (26)33.828.362.1+5.573%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Appalachian State wins
0
UC Santa Barbara wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HRegent University100-32
15/12/22AWake Forest66-67
06/12/22HCarlow University103-43
03/12/22ACharlotte62-71
29/11/22HFurman61-65
24/11/22AEast Tennessee St74-70
20/11/22HSE Louisiana83-74
20/11/22HKennesaw State67-71
19/11/22HCampbell58-63
15/11/22ALouisville61-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22APortland State85-73
13/12/22HSan Diego Christian81-68
11/12/22APepperdine67-64 OT
03/12/22HPacific82-71
30/11/22ADuquesne61-72
24/11/22HNorth Alabama89-71
22/11/22HHampton79-66
19/11/22ANorthern Arizona54-63
11/11/22HFresno State61-54
08/11/22HSan Francisco State75-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%62%50%
Points / game79.786.665.8
Allowed / game63.762.067.0
Point differential+16.0+24.6-1.2
Avg total143.3148.6132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%12%0%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game73.477.866.8
Allowed / game66.164.868.0
Point differential+7.3+13.0-1.2
Avg total139.5142.7134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%83%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1211192%80.459.6+20.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette1110191%84.569.7+14.7
3 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
4 James Madison139469%93.266.6+26.5
5 Troy128467%79.565.2+14.2
6 Old Dominion128467%68.565.1+3.4
7 Appalachian State127558%79.763.7+16.0
8 Georgia State127558%69.263.4+5.8
9 Georgia Southern127558%69.264.1+5.1
10 Arkansas State127558%68.263.4+4.8
11 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
12 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara108280%73.466.1+7.3
2 Hawaii85362%68.961.1+7.8
3 UC Irvine127558%77.765.2+12.4
4 UC Davis127558%78.172.1+6.0
5 UC Riverside116555%73.469.8+3.5
6 Long Beach State115645%74.571.1+3.4
7 CS Fullerton115645%70.368.9+1.4
8 Cal Poly115645%62.665.1-2.5
9 UC San Diego125742%65.569.8-4.2
10 CSU Bakersfield114736%59.759.1+0.6
11 CS Northridge102820%68.665.0+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State292150
UC Santa Barbara273461
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