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Arabe Valparaiso vs Catolica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 50-57
16-21 17-9 9-13 8-14
Position#25
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game55.5
ChileCopa ChileRound 4
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Catolica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H18/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A03/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A07/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
9-10
26-14
11-11
17-15
18-21
23-13
13-27
19-17
25-16
11-31
21-18
19-23
13-20
16-16
10-16
15-18
19-31
10-19
18-17
14-21
19-10
23-19
14-23
18-21
30-25
13-31
20-31
16-27
34-13
29-13
27-22
12-22
10-10
15-23
16-12
18-12
21-15
16-24
18-22
149.6Avg total
72.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.073.0143.0-3.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)70.073.0143.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)72.577.1149.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.480.4159.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.286.9153.1-20.66%
vs Similar (9)77.377.0154.3+0.356%
vs Weaker (5)69.464.4133.8+5.060%
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CatolicaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#4
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A02/04
LNB
Las Animas
#7
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A04/04
LNB
Temuco
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#9
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
A23/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A24/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H29/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H01/05
LNB
Valdivia
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H01/05
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
108-30
108
30
+78
H30/09
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
11-17
7-24
21-30
8-24
17-20
23-13
13-33
17-21
22-7
26-21
28-18
24-18
13-13
16-21
26-27
16-28
13-24
11-17
12-14
20-15
19-19
14-25
22-23
18-21
20-19
20-21
27-20
26-11
19-19
9-25
17-22
17-24
19-20
11-16
20-21
33-8
25-3
22-8
28-11
155.1Avg total
77.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.555.5143.0+32.050%
Season at home (1)108.030.0138.0+78.0100%
Season away (1)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.477.7155.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)81.270.2151.4+11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)62.979.4142.4-16.516%
vs Similar (4)72.280.8153.0-8.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.462.0155.4+31.4100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Arabe ValparaisoCatolica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H18/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/10
Copa Chile
72.4Avg total
36.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.039.172.1-6.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.736.870.5-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)32.441.173.5-8.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.372.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.273.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.243.976.1-11.812%-
vs Similar (9)35.035.270.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker (5)32.230.462.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Catolica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CatolicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/04
LNB
Las Animas
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A04/04
LNB
Temuco
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A24/04
LNB
Deportes Castro
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
LNB
Valdivia
#5
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H01/05
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
58-11
58
11
+47
H30/09
Copa Chile
73.6Avg total
38.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.937.976.8+1.054%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.336.177.4+5.250%-
Last 30 away (14)36.639.776.3-3.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.573.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.875.0+11.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.242.277.5-7.029%-
vs Similar (4)40.536.577.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.028.175.1+18.9100%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
0
Catolica wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/22ALuis Matte Larrain87-79 OT
25/09/22ASergio Ceppi53-67
31/07/22ASergio Ceppi106-75
26/07/22HSportiva Italiana81-108
23/07/22HBrisas70-73
16/07/22ABoston C. C.62-85
10/07/22AManquehue58-75
03/07/22AStadio Italiano76-82
21/06/22ALuis Matte Larrain71-76
18/06/22HLuis Matte Larrain61-51
Catolicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/22HLuis Matte Larrain108-30
25/09/22ASportiva Italiana67-81
01/05/22HValdivia71-77
01/05/22HPuerto Montt85-81
29/04/22HDeportes Castro75-82
24/04/22ADeportes Castro52-83
23/04/22AAncud99-91 OT
14/04/22HTemuco93-67
04/04/22ALas Animas61-90
02/04/22ACD Puerto Varas63-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%-50%
Catolica
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.5108.067.0
Allowed / game55.530.081.0
Point differential+32.0+78.0-14.0
Avg total143.0138.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion330100%111.764.7+47.0
2 Ancud440100%102.068.2+33.8
3 Espanol Osorno110100%96.064.0+32.0
4 Leones Quilpue220100%81.052.0+29.0
5 Sergio Ceppi220100%80.059.0+21.0
6 Sportiva Italiana110100%81.067.0+14.0
7 Tinguiririca330100%73.361.7+11.7
8 Valdivia220100%80.569.0+11.5
9 Boston C. C.110100%66.057.0+9.0
10 CD Puerto Varas32167%92.076.3+15.7
11 Manquehue32167%76.763.0+13.7
12 Catolica21150%87.555.5+32.0
13 Espanol de Talca21150%76.070.5+5.5
14 Truenos De Talca21150%75.075.5-0.5
15 Arabe Valparaiso21150%70.073.0-3.0
16 Liceo Pablo Neruda21150%72.576.5-4.0
17 Brisas21150%54.573.0-18.5
18 Municipal Chillan21150%71.594.0-22.5
19 Quilicura31233%67.364.0+3.3
20 Tomas Lawrence31233%62.767.0-4.3
21 Puerto Montt31233%70.780.3-9.7
22 Deportes Castro31233%72.382.3-10.0
23 Liceo Curico41325%51.069.2-18.2
24 Las Animas1010%79.082.0-3.0
25 Puente Alto1010%71.079.0-8.0
26 Stadio Italiano2020%60.071.0-11.0
27 Temuco2020%69.091.0-22.0
28 Aleman3030%48.383.7-35.3
29 Luis Matte Larrain3030%58.096.0-38.0
30 CDSC Osorno3030%56.797.7-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso16179850
Catolica219131457
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