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Aris vs Nizhny Novgorod Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 51-62
11-20 7-14 25-13 8-15
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#18
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game66.3
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nizhny Novgorod winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A02/04
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H11/04
Basket League
Trikala
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A14/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H05/05
Basket League
Rethymno
#9
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H09/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A13/05
Basket League
Dinamo Tbilisi
#55
W
90-64
90
64
+26
A20/09
Champions League
Dinamo Tbilisi
#55
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H22/09
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A25/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
13-21
18-11
15-13
18-27
12-14
12-28
21-15
13-19
15-22
16-18
16-14
33-19
12-12
17-13
21-20
19-16
13-9
17-9
11-14
11-19
23-11
19-11
17-11
11-20
11-15
18-14
27-24
24-15
23-20
20-13
23-16
26-16
23-16
23-8
20-14
19-11
14-11
18-18
14-23
135.7Avg total
71.8Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.360.3142.7+22.0100%
Season at home (1)92.054.0146.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)77.563.5141.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.863.9135.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)76.861.2138.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.277.2144.4-10.117%
vs Similar (11)69.071.8140.8-2.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.165.3144.4+13.971%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
A29/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H08/05
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H12/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A23/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H26/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
H28/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A31/05
VTB United League
FC Porto
#54
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A20/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#54
W
92-49
92
49
+43
H22/09
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H25/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
29-17
15-24
18-21
24-23
23-18
16-23
21-18
17-23
18-19
20-19
21-15
15-25
11-16
29-26
11-17
19-14
13-24
26-13
19-23
21-19
21-23
22-20
21-23
24-24
19-25
13-26
30-26
29-21
19-21
15-20
23-23
21-13
17-15
31-9
23-12
11-19
11-14
18-18
23-14
165.3Avg total
83.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.366.3146.7+14.067%
Season at home (2)77.557.0134.5+20.550%
Season away (1)86.085.0171.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.382.0165.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)84.279.0163.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.487.3165.8-8.917%
vs Similar (7)86.385.4171.7+0.971%
vs Weaker (11)85.774.6160.4+11.182%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
ArisNizhny Novgorod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A02/04
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H11/04
Basket League
Trikala
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/05
Basket League
Rethymno
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A13/05
Basket League
Dinamo Tbilisi
#55
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A20/09
Champions League
Dinamo Tbilisi
#55
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H22/09
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A25/09
Champions League
68.7Avg total
35.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.472.3-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.635.971.6-0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)34.338.773.0-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.268.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.867.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.240.172.2-7.925%-
vs Similar (11)33.736.870.5-3.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.633.775.3+7.986%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/05
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/05
VTB United League
FC Porto
#54
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#54
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H22/09
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H25/09
Champions League
77.9Avg total
38.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.680.8+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.677.5+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.984.5+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.577.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.877.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.941.477.3-5.517%-
vs Similar (7)47.343.190.4+4.186%-
vs Weaker (11)43.035.478.4+7.682%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aris wins
0
Nizhny Novgorod wins
DateGameScore
25/09/18Nizhny Novgorod v Aris63-65
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/18ANizhny Novgorod65-63
22/09/18HDinamo Tbilisi92-54
20/09/18ADinamo Tbilisi90-64
13/05/18AKolossos Rhodes67-73
09/05/18HRethymno70-52
05/05/18HPanionios60-48
14/04/18ATrikala83-64
11/04/18HG.S. Kymis60-73
02/04/18APanathinaikos63-84
24/03/18HPromitheas68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/18HAris63-65
22/09/18HFC Porto92-49
20/09/18AFC Porto86-85
31/05/18AUnics Kazan86-101
28/05/18HUnics Kazan94-95 OT
26/05/18HUnics Kazan77-74
23/05/18AUnics Kazan66-84
12/05/18HLokomotiv Kuban92-86 OT
08/05/18HSaratov84-82
29/04/18AUnics Kazan93-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.392.077.5
Allowed / game60.354.063.5
Point differential+22.0+38.0+14.0
Avg total142.7146.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nizhny Novgorod
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.377.586.0
Allowed / game66.357.085.0
Point differential+14.0+20.5+1.0
Avg total146.7134.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris330100%82.360.3+22.0
2 Antwerp Giants330100%81.068.3+12.7
3 Bakken Bears330100%84.773.3+11.3
4 Kauhajoen Karhu440100%87.081.2+5.8
5 Nizhny Novgorod32167%80.366.3+14.0
6 Cantu32167%78.374.3+4.0
7 Fribourg Olympic32167%79.777.3+2.3
8 Torun42250%76.072.0+4.0
9 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
10 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
11 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
12 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
13 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
14 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
15 Spirou Charleroi31233%68.365.3+3.0
16 Donar Groningen31233%70.370.3+0.0
17 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
18 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
19 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
20 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
21 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
22 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
23 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
24 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris11725851
Nizhny Novgorod2014131562
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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