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Atomeromu Paks vs KTE-Duna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 98-72
Projected total 170.1
Final 112-66
33-18 36-19 22-18 21-11
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game78.9
Atomeromu Paks 🏆
Hungary
Vs
98%
■ ATOM 98%■ KTE- 2%
Pythia win probability
KTE-Duna
Hungary
Position#14
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game88.0
HungaryNB I ARound 8· ASE Sportcsarnok
Other2026-27
Meetings · Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna
07 Nov 2026
ATOM112
KTE-66
08 Nov 2025
ATOM81
KTE-72
22 Mar 2025
ATOM91
KTE-77
27 Apr 2024
ATOM74
KTE-84
30 Mar 2024
ATOM90
KTE-78
05 Apr 2023
ATOM85
KTE-87
04 Mar 2023
ATOM99
KTE-76
12 Feb 2022
ATOM76
KTE-80
07 Oct 2020
ATOM87
KTE-77
28 Sep 2019
ATOM90
KTE-84
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Atomeromu Paks will host KTE-Duna on 7 November 2026 in the NB I A, with the model rating Paks as the clear favourite at 98% versus 2% for the visitors, a reflection of Paks' perfect 7-0 record, 102.7 points per game and 78.9 allowed, placing them second in the league, while KTE-Duna sits last with a 0-7 record, 70.6 points per game and 88.0 allowed. Paks have gone 4-0 at home, averaging 107.8 points and conceding 80.8, and have won every one of their last five games, including a 108-85 home win over Phoenix-MT Fot and a 95-76 away victory at Kaposvari; KTE-Duna have lost all four road contests, averaging 68.0 points and allowing 86.2, and their last five results include defeats to Alba Fehervar, DEAC and Szombathely. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Paks winning six and KTE-Duna four, the most recent encounter on 6 March 2026 ending 100-93 for Paks. Pythia projects a 98-72 score for the game, a total of 170.0 points, and gives Paks a 98% chance to cover the spread, with no overtime expected. The next contest will see Paks continue their dominant run against a struggling KTE-Duna side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atomeromu Paks winWon
98.3%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KTE-Duna winLost
1.7%fair 59.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atomeromu PaksHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaks
Date
Competition
Kaposvari
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 89
A20/05
NB I A
Kaposvari
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 89
H23/05
NB I A
Kaposvari
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 89
A25/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#13
W
102-77
102
77
+25
95avg 89
H26/09
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
95-84
95
84
+11
87avg 89
A03/10
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
109-80
109
80
+29
105avg 89
H10/10
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
112-81
112
81
+31
113avg 89
H17/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 89
A24/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
W
108-85
108
85
+23
107avg 89
H28/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#10
W
98-69
98
69
+29
97avg 89
A31/10
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-21
18-21
20-20
13-21
26-22
22-10
16-18
12-18
22-18
17-20
15-17
29-12
28-26
25-18
20-21
19-27
24-15
27-24
25-18
32-27
29-19
23-10
25-24
30-14
31-20
24-27
27-20
24-16
22-18
29-20
20-22
25-23
30-16
26-33
27-13
18-17
27-11
35-20
18-21
172.6Avg total
94.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.778.9181.6+23.9100%
Season at home (4)107.880.8188.5+27.0100%
Season away (3)96.076.3172.3+19.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.578.1172.6+16.480%
Last 5 (5)104.478.2182.6+26.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.575.8156.2+4.825%
vs Similar (7)82.681.9164.4+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)99.179.3178.4+19.895%
This opponent (KTE-Duna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTE-DunaHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKTE-Duna
Date
Competition
Kormend
#8
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 69
H16/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#10
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
94avg 69
H20/05
NB I A
OSE Lions
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 69
A23/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
65-83
65
83
-18
46avg 69
A26/09
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
70avg 69
H02/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 69
A11/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 69
H20/10
NB I A
Szombathely
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 69
A24/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 69
A28/10
NB I A
Alba Fehervar
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
83avg 69
H31/10
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
23-14
20-14
21-24
29-25
15-16
18-24
17-14
27-26
24-24
17-26
18-20
26-19
9-21
17-24
13-19
20-26
16-20
11-24
28-27
19-20
22-24
11-26
14-21
15-27
27-18
7-25
14-16
18-25
23-25
13-14
11-21
24-18
19-18
17-25
16-25
19-25
20-23
19-12
26-28
163.9Avg total
75.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.688.0158.6-17.40%
Season at home (3)74.090.3164.3-16.30%
Season away (4)68.086.2154.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)75.788.2163.9-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.887.2158.0-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.890.3165.2-15.58%
vs Similar (17)81.982.2164.1-0.359%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atomeromu Paks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
60.2%
Under 166
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Over 171
Over 171
47.5%
Under 171
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176Actual: Over 176
Over 176
35.2%
Under 176
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Atomeromu Paks total 84.5Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 84.5
Over 84.5
91.3%
Under 84.5
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atomeromu Paks total 88.5Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 88.5
Over 88.5
83.1%
Under 88.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atomeromu Paks total 92.5Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 92.5
Over 92.5
71.0%
Under 92.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTE-Duna total 78.5Actual: KTE-Duna under 78.5
Over 78.5
25.9%
Under 78.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTE-Duna total 82.5Actual: KTE-Duna under 82.5
Over 82.5
14.8%
Under 82.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KTE-Duna total 86.5Actual: KTE-Duna under 86.5
Over 86.5
7.5%
Under 86.5
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Atomeromu Paks -3Actual: Atomeromu Paks -3
ATOM -3
97.5%
KTE- +3
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
KTE-
No market prices yet.
Spread Atomeromu Paks 0Actual: Atomeromu Paks 0
ATOM 0
98.3%
KTE- 0
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
KTE-
No market prices yet.
Spread Atomeromu Paks +3Actual: Atomeromu Paks +3
ATOM +3
98.9%
KTE- -3
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
KTE-
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
Atomeromu PaksKTE-Duna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atomeromu PaksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaposvari
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/05
NB I A
Kaposvari
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/05
NB I A
Kaposvari
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/09
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/10
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H10/10
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H17/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A24/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H28/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A31/10
NB I A
87.0Avg total
48.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.139.887.9+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.241.494.6+11.880%-
Last 30 away (15)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)48.638.487.0+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)53.636.289.8+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.538.882.2+4.875%-
vs Similar (7)43.341.184.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.839.590.4+11.379%-
This opponent (KTE-Duna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTE-DunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kormend
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/05
NB I A
OSE Lions
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A26/09
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/10
NB I A
Szombathely
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A24/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/10
NB I A
Alba Fehervar
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H31/10
NB I A
85.1Avg total
41.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.1-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.282.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.583.3-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.985.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.645.284.8-5.523%-
vs Similar (17)42.539.381.8+3.271%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atomeromu Paks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atomeromu Pakstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atomeromu Paks: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.0
55.3%
55.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
32.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
73.6%15.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTE-Dunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTE-Duna: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.1
50.8%
55.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.4
27.6%
32.4%19.2
🏀 Free throws26.317.5
66.5%
73.6%17.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atomeromu Paks
WWWWWWWLWL
KTE-Duna
LLLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#14
+19.1
Net rating
-15.5
106.6
Offensive rating
87.0
87.5
Defensive rating
102.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.5%
3-point %
27.6%
61.5%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 87.0Defence87.5 · 102.5Shooting55.1% · 47.2%3-point %36.5% · 27.6%Ball care12.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Atomeromu Paks   ■ KTE-Duna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atomeromu Paks wins
4
KTE-Duna wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26KTE-Duna v Atomeromu Paks93-100 OT
08/11/25Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna81-72
22/03/25Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna91-77
29/11/24KTE-Duna v Atomeromu Paks68-86
18/05/24KTE-Duna v Atomeromu Paks82-80
27/04/24Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna74-84
30/03/24Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna90-78
20/12/23KTE-Duna v Atomeromu Paks92-75
05/04/23Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna85-87
04/03/23Atomeromu Paks v KTE-Duna99-76
Atomeromu Pakslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASzedeak98-69
28/10/26HPhoenix-MT Fot108-85
24/10/26AKaposvari95-76
17/10/26HBudapesti Honved Se112-81
10/10/26HSoproni KC109-80
03/10/26AKormend95-84
26/09/26HNKA Pecs102-77
25/05/26AKaposvari66-73
23/05/26HKaposvari77-71
20/05/26AKaposvari83-85
KTE-Dunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HAlba Fehervar84-88
28/10/26ADEAC76-86
24/10/26ASzombathely65-85
20/10/26HSzedeak63-86
11/10/26APhoenix-MT Fot66-91
02/10/26HKaposvari75-97
26/09/26ABudapesti Honved Se65-83
23/05/26AOSE Lions86-96
20/05/26HNKA Pecs96-93 OT
16/05/26HKormend81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atomeromu Paks
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.7107.896.0
Allowed / game78.980.876.3
Point differential+23.9+27.0+19.7
Avg total181.6188.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
KTE-Duna
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.674.068.0
Allowed / game88.090.386.2
Point differential-17.4-16.3-18.2
Avg total158.6164.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Szombathely660100%97.372.7+24.7
2 Atomeromu Paks770100%102.778.9+23.9
3 Alba Fehervar86275%89.680.0+9.6
4 Kaposvari86275%92.090.9+1.1
5 Szolnoki Olaj75271%87.179.6+7.6
6 Budapesti Honved Se74357%92.994.6-1.7
7 Phoenix-MT Fot84450%79.278.8+0.5
8 Soproni KC73443%83.382.3+1.0
9 Szedeak73443%78.686.0-7.4
10 OSE Lions83538%86.692.2-5.6
11 Kormend72529%81.092.4-11.4
12 DEAC71614%83.390.9-7.6
13 NKA Pecs81712%80.593.1-12.6
14 KTE-Duna7070%70.688.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atomeromu Paks33362221112
KTE-Duna1819181166
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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