PythiaBasketballBETA
NBA - G League
The Austin Toros Spurs face the Birmingham Squadron on 8 November 2026 in the NBA G League, and the Pythia model names the Spurs the clear favourite, rating them 75% to win largely because of their 6-4 advantage in the ten meetings that have already occurred. Austin has a 6-4 record overall, scoring an average that places them in the upper tier of the league, while Birmingham sits at 4-6, with a slightly lower average. In the last five games, the Spurs went 3-2, including a 118-86 home win over Mexico City Capitanes, whereas the Squadron went 4-1, highlighted by a 134-133 home victory over the Windy City Bulls. Their head-to-head history shows the Spurs have won six times to the Squadron's four, the most recent being a 110-97 Spurs win on 9 November 2025. Pythia projects a 112-104 score, with the Spurs covering the 75% win probability and a 216.4 total points line, and a 4% chance of overtime. The model also gives the Spurs a 75% chance to cover the home line and a 25% chance for the over. The game ends with the Spurs' 112-104 projected win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 120.0 | 116.0 | 236.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 120.0 | 116.0 | 236.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 112.4 | 106.6 | 219.0 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 108.8 | 103.6 | 212.4 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (14) | 112.1 | 109.4 | 221.5 | +2.8 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 113.1 | 108.0 | 221.1 | +5.1 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 122.6 | 119.5 | 242.1 | +3.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 127.0 | 124.8 | 251.8 | +2.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 108.4 | 116.9 | 225.3 | -8.5 | 33% |
| vs Similar (9) | 115.6 | 114.2 | 229.8 | +1.3 | 67% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.4 | 55.8 | 112.1 | +0.6 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 53.2 | 52.3 | 105.6 | +0.9 | 42% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 58.4 | 58.1 | 116.5 | +0.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 57.4 | 55.5 | 112.9 | +1.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 55.6 | 53.6 | 109.2 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (14) | 54.9 | 56.0 | 110.9 | -1.1 | 36% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 56.7 | 55.4 | 112.1 | +1.3 | 53% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 53.4 | 55.7 | 109.0 | -2.3 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 53.2 | 55.9 | 109.2 | -2.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 53.5 | 55.3 | 108.8 | -1.8 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 58.8 | 56.3 | 115.1 | +2.5 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 59.4 | 56.8 | 116.2 | +2.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 51.7 | 57.0 | 108.8 | -5.3 | 43% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 57.2 | 52.4 | 109.7 | +4.8 | 78% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 | Austin Toros Spurs v Birmingham Squadron | 110-97 |
| 08/11/25 | Birmingham Squadron v Austin Toros Spurs | 89-101 |
| 27/11/24 | Austin Toros Spurs v Birmingham Squadron | 112-91 |
| 23/11/24 | Birmingham Squadron v Austin Toros Spurs | 91-104 |
| 02/12/23 | Austin Toros Spurs v Birmingham Squadron | 124-120 |
| 11/11/23 | Birmingham Squadron v Austin Toros Spurs | 130-90 |
| 03/03/23 | Austin Toros Spurs v Birmingham Squadron | 103-110 |
| 12/02/23 | Austin Toros Spurs v Birmingham Squadron | 113-120 |
| 27/11/22 | Birmingham Squadron v Austin Toros Spurs | 104-100 |
| 26/11/22 | Birmingham Squadron v Austin Toros Spurs | 98-111 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 120-116 |
| 01/04/26 | A | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 106-117 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Mexico City Capitanes | 118-86 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 101-106 |
| 26/03/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 99-93 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Noblesville Boom | 117-97 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Noblesville Boom | 121-107 |
| 17/03/26 | A | College Park Skyhawks | 116-119 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Stockton Kings | 104-106 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Texas Legends | 122-119 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 | A | Grand Rapids Gold | 101-123 |
| 25/03/26 | H | Windy City Bulls | 134-133 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Windy City Bulls | 134-119 |
| 18/03/26 | H | Maine Celtics | 122-106 |
| 17/03/26 | H | Maine Celtics | 144-143 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Grand Rapids Gold | 122-95 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Stockton Kings | 127-119 OT |
| 06/03/26 | A | Stockton Kings | 99-124 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Santa Cruz Warriors | 117-121 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Capital City Go-Go | 126-112 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | - | 100% |
| Points / game | 120.0 | - | 120.0 |
| Allowed / game | 116.0 | - | 116.0 |
| Point differential | +4.0 | - | +4.0 |
| Avg total | 236.0 | - | 236.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Delaware Blue Coats | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 147.0 | 122.0 | +25.0 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 127.0 | 108.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  Wisconsin Herd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 142.0 | 124.0 | +18.0 |
| 4 |  Maine Celtics | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 109.5 | 93.5 | +16.0 |
| 5 |  Windy City Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 131.0 | 115.0 | +16.0 |
| 6 |  Mexico City Capitanes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 79.0 | +15.0 |
| 7 |  Sioux Falls Skyforce | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 125.0 | 115.0 | +10.0 |
| 8 |  Osceola Magic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 89.0 | +8.0 |
| 9 |  College Park Skyhawks | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 126.5 | 120.5 | +6.0 |
| 10 |  South Bay Lakers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 104.0 | 98.0 | +6.0 |
| 11 | Austin Toros Spurs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 120.0 | 116.0 | +4.0 |
| 12 |  San Diego Clippers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 127.0 | 126.0 | +1.0 |
| 13 |  Greensboro Swarm | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 108.0 | 104.5 | +3.5 |
| 14 |  Long Island Nets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 104.5 | 108.0 | -3.5 |
| 15 | Valley Suns | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 126.0 | 127.0 | -1.0 |
| 16 |  Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 116.0 | 120.0 | -4.0 |
| 17 |  Raptors 905 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 120.5 | 126.5 | -6.0 |
| 18 |  Salt Lake City Stars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 104.0 | -6.0 |
| 19 |  Grand Rapids Gold | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 115.0 | 125.0 | -10.0 |
| 20 |  Oklahoma City Blue | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 84.0 | 95.5 | -11.5 |
| 21 |  Noblesville Boom | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 115.0 | 131.0 | -16.0 |
| 22 |  Westchester | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 93.5 | 109.5 | -16.0 |
| 23 |  Iowa Wolves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 124.0 | 142.0 | -18.0 |
| 24 |  Stockton Kings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 108.0 | 127.0 | -19.0 |
| 25 |  Capital City Go-Go | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 122.0 | 147.0 | -25.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Toros Spurs | 21 | 46 | 20 | 30 | 117 |
| Birmingham Squadron | 22 | 42 | 19 | 27 | 110 |
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