Avellaneda W will host Union Florida W in the Liga Femenina Women on 6 November 2026, with the model favouring Union Florida W and predicting a 31% chance for Avellaneda to win versus 69% for Union Florida; the projected score is 64-69 and the total 132.9 points. Avellaneda has a 1-4 record this season, averaging 58.8 points scored and 69.2 points allowed, while Union Florida sits 2-3, 64.6 points scored and 67.2 points allowed, placing 15th and 13th respectively. In their last five outings Avellaneda won once and lost four, including a 56-87 defeat to Berazategui W at home on 5 November, whereas Union Florida won twice and lost three, with a 67-64 away victory over El Talar W on 22 October. Their head-to-head record shows Union Florida winning four of five meetings, the most recent being a 68-61 win for Avellaneda on 2 March 2025. The home team faces a 10.5-point line and the model estimates a 67% chance that Avellaneda will cover; the 127.0-point total line has a 64% probability of going over, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 58.8 | 69.2 | 128.0 | -10.4 | 20% |
| Season at home (3) | 63.7 | 66.0 | 129.7 | -2.3 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 51.5 | 74.0 | 125.5 | -22.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.5 | 65.8 | 125.3 | -6.3 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.8 | 69.2 | 128.0 | -10.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 57.8 | 78.1 | 135.9 | -20.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (12) | 62.9 | 59.5 | 122.4 | +3.4 | 58% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 74.7 | 52.5 | 127.2 | +22.2 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 64.6 | 67.2 | 131.8 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 62.0 | 66.0 | 128.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 68.5 | 69.0 | 137.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.2 | 63.5 | 125.7 | -1.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.6 | 67.2 | 131.8 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 62.1 | 70.6 | 132.7 | -8.5 | 12% |
| vs Similar (4) | 53.8 | 55.0 | 108.8 | -1.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 71.6 | 57.7 | 129.2 | +13.9 | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.1 | 33.8 | 64.9 | -2.7 | 37% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.3 | 33.0 | 67.3 | +1.3 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 27.9 | 34.5 | 62.4 | -6.7 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.5 | 35.6 | 65.1 | -6.1 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.4 | 36.0 | 66.4 | -5.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 28.6 | 40.7 | 69.2 | -12.1 | 8% | 67% |
| vs Similar (12) | 30.5 | 31.0 | 61.5 | -0.5 | 42% | 42% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 37.3 | 25.5 | 62.8 | +11.8 | 83% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.2 | 32.0 | 64.2 | +0.2 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 32.3 | 30.9 | 63.2 | +1.4 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.0 | 33.3 | 65.3 | -1.3 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.9 | 31.9 | 62.8 | -1.0 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 33.2 | 68.0 | +1.6 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 31.6 | 35.6 | 67.2 | -3.9 | 29% | 65% |
| vs Similar (4) | 26.5 | 26.2 | 52.8 | +0.2 | 25% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 35.7 | 27.8 | 63.4 | +7.9 | 78% | 44% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellaneda W over 56 | 77.8% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +24.2pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W over 57.5 | 72.3% | 1.76 | 1.86 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W over 58 | 71.3% | 1.73 | 1.73 | - | - | - | - | +21.6pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W over 57 | 74.7% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W +15.5 | 80.9% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W over 53.5 | 83.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +20.8pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W over 56.5 | 75.5% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W +16.5 | 83.2% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W over 55.5 | 78.5% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +19.2pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W over 54.5 | 81.3% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +18.3pp | Lost |
| Avellaneda W +12 | 72.3% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W +13 | 75.2% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W +11.5 | 70.1% | 1.68 | 1.69 | 1.67 | - | - | - | +16.1pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W +13.5 | 75.9% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +16.0pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W +12.5 | 73.1% | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.58 | 1.57 | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Avellaneda W +14.5 | 78.5% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Won |
| Over 124 | 70.6% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Union Florida W over 63.5 | 71.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 19.6 | 42.6% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.4 | 5.1 | 27.2% | 15.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 12.2 | 63.8% | 12.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 18.5 | 42.6% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.5 | 7.6 | 27.2% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 12.9 | 8.8 | 63.8% | 8.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02/03/25 | Avellaneda W v Union Florida W | 68-61 OT |
| 09/02/25 | Union Florida W v Avellaneda W | 70-61 |
| 16/12/24 | Union Florida W v Avellaneda W | 92-49 |
| 30/11/24 | Avellaneda W v Union Florida W | 60-66 OT |
| 08/11/24 | Union Florida W v Avellaneda W | 74-45 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Berazategui W | 56-87 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Regatas San Nicolas W | 58-63 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Ferro W | 45-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | El Talar W | 53-67 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Regatas San Nicolas W | 82-44 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 51-74 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 62-77 |
| 12/04/26 | H | Quimsa W | 73-56 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Quimsa W | 53-58 |
| 05/04/26 | A | Quimsa W | 62-47 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 61-66 |
| 22/10/26 | A | El Talar W | 67-64 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 55-72 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Berazategui W | 70-60 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 70-74 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Berazategui W | 56-71 |
| 07/04/26 | A | Berazategui W | 52-54 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Ferro W | 70-71 |
| 29/03/26 | H | El Bigua W | 69-59 |
| 26/03/26 | H | Berazategui W | 52-44 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 20% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 58.8 | 63.7 | 51.5 |
| Allowed / game | 69.2 | 66.0 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | -10.4 | -2.3 | -22.5 |
| Avg total | 128.0 | 129.7 | 125.5 |
| Over 127 | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 40% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Points / game | 64.6 | 62.0 | 68.5 |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 66.0 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | -2.6 | -4.0 | -0.5 |
| Avg total | 131.8 | 128.0 | 137.5 |
| Over 127 | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 | |
| 2 | Boca W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 75.3 | 56.4 | +18.9 |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 71.2 | 67.2 | +4.0 | |
| 4 | Independiente Neuquen W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 62.6 | 59.2 | +3.4 |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.5 | 60.2 | +12.2 | |
| 6 | Hindu W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 69.8 | 53.3 | +16.5 |
| 7 | Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 60.2 | 54.8 | +5.3 |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 75.0 | 65.0 | +10.0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 64.8 | 62.2 | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 73.9 | 61.4 | +12.4 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 54.8 | 52.6 | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 64.6 | 67.2 | -2.6 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 63.0 | 62.4 | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.8 | 69.2 | -10.4 | |
| 16 | Penarol W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 52.2 | 64.6 | -12.4 |
| 17 | El Bigua W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 58.5 | 67.5 | -9.0 |
| 18 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 54.7 | 78.8 | -24.2 |
| 19 | Union Bahia W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 51.1 | 66.6 | -15.4 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 26.5 | 82.2 | -55.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 43 | |
| 16 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 50 |
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