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Bahcesehir Kol. vs Korfez Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 94-82
Projected total 176.5
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.9
Vs
85%
15%
■ BKO 85%■ KOR 15%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record3-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game85.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 9· Sinan Erdem Dome
Domestic2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Bahcesehir Kol. host Korfez Basket in the Basketbol Super Ligi. Pythia makes Bahcesehir Kol. the favourite at 85% and projects 94-82, about 176 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Bahcesehir Kol. are 7-1 this season (92.8 scored, 82.9 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Korfez Basket are 3-5 this season (82.0 scored, 85.2 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. win
84.9%fair 1.18
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Korfez Basket win
15.1%fair 6.62
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
95avg 79
H13/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#16
W
90-80
90
80
+10
90avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
KK Bosna
#23
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Besiktas
#7
W
100-96
100
96
+4
102avg 79
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 79
H27/10
Eurocup
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
88-103
88
103
-15
75avg 79
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#21
W
99-61
99
61
+38
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
21-24
23-22
24-22
20-20
21-16
28-31
21-13
13-21
20-15
17-22
27-28
31-24
21-26
19-21
29-25
26-23
26-17
11-18
21-23
16-28
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-19
35-17
14-24
28-22
24-27
27-23
28-11
18-25
22-19
25-16
32-9
20-17
22-19
13-12
30-5
28-21
174.4Avg total
92.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.882.9175.6+9.988%
Season at home (4)96.886.8183.5+10.0100%
Season away (4)88.879.0167.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)92.482.0174.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)94.677.8172.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.086.5158.5-14.50%
vs Similar (10)86.981.8168.7+5.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.781.2172.9+10.683%
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 80
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
59avg 80
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
112-71
112
71
+41
118avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
64avg 80
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 80
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
82avg 80
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bashkimi
#40
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
22-20
17-10
18-17
20-19
15-7
19-15
15-30
25-17
28-23
29-18
30-13
14-24
18-25
30-18
15-26
19-18
21-22
27-21
20-24
28-24
15-21
15-17
25-27
17-9
23-13
13-23
19-17
19-23
17-17
19-24
27-30
30-18
21-22
29-11
21-24
20-14
24-23
26-23
12-21
162.5Avg total
83.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.085.2167.2-3.238%
Season at home (4)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
Season away (4)83.590.5174.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)83.978.6162.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.288.2169.5-7.025%
vs Similar (5)81.078.8159.8+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)90.578.5169.0+12.067%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1301%1351%1403%1454%1506%1558%16010%16512%17012%17511%18010%1857%1906%1954%2002%2051%2101%2150%220
1%1353%1456%15510%16512%17510%1856%1952%2051%215
Pythia expects about 176 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 161
Over 161
82.7%
Under 161
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
73.7%
Under 166
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
62.7%
Under 171
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bahcesehir Kol. total 80.5
Over 80.5
90.8%
Under 80.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bahcesehir Kol. total 84.5
Over 84.5
82.8%
Under 84.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bahcesehir Kol. total 88.5
Over 88.5
71.3%
Under 88.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 78
Over 78
65.9%
Under 78
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 82
Over 82
50.1%
Under 82
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 86
Over 86
34.4%
Under 86
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-95%-65%-34%+08%+39%+69%+910%+129%+158%+187%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
1%-182%-125%-64%+09%+610%+128%+185%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Bahcesehir Kol.'s side (positive = Bahcesehir Kol. win). Pythia's expected margin is +12.1; Bahcesehir Kol. win by 1+ in 78% of simulations.
Spread Bahcesehir Kol. -3
BKO -3
79.9%
KOR +3
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
BKO
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Bahcesehir Kol. 0
BKO 0
84.9%
KOR 0
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
BKO
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Bahcesehir Kol. +3
BKO +3
89.5%
KOR -3
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
BKO
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
Bahcesehir Kol.Korfez Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H13/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
KK Bosna
#23
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A21/10
Eurocup
Besiktas
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/10
Eurocup
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A03/11
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#21
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/11
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.3Avg total
45.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.984.5+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.942.387.2+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.239.281.4+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.186.3+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.085.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.537.074.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (10)41.142.683.7-1.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.740.386.1+5.472%-
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#8
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bashkimi
#40
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.0Avg total
41.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)41.839.281.0+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.436.780.1+6.889%-
Last 30 away (7)39.742.482.1-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.779.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.042.881.8-3.825%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.677.6+2.480%-
vs Weaker (6)45.037.882.8+7.267%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
54.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.6
40.3%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
75.9%16.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korfez Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korfez Basket: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.818.7
69.8%
75.9%18.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
WWWWLWWLWW
Korfez Basket
WWLWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#13
+8.8
Net rating
+6.0
107.2
Offensive rating
96.9
98.4
Defensive rating
91.0
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.43
40.3%
3-point %
33.6%
61.0%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 96.9Defence98.4 · 91.0Shooting57.5% · 52.4%3-point %40.3% · 33.6%Ball care14.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Korfez Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
0
Korfez Basket wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AEsenler Erokspor93-57
11/11/26HLietkabelis99-61
08/11/26HDenizli Basket97-86
03/11/26AUlm96-82
31/10/26ABordo Bandirma88-103
27/10/26HPAOK84-81
24/10/26HBesiktas100-96
21/10/26AKK Bosna77-86
17/10/26ABursaspor90-80
13/10/26HManresa100-88
Korfez Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGalatasaray82-81
11/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo101-75
07/11/26ATurk Telekom82-94
04/11/26HBashkimi72-62
31/10/26HTrabzonspor83-89
28/10/26AValmiera Glass Via87-85
25/10/26AAnadolu Efes77-93
21/10/26HManchester Basketball112-71
17/10/26HTofas69-71
14/10/26HChalon/Saone74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game92.896.888.8
Allowed / game82.986.879.0
Point differential+9.9+10.0+9.8
Avg total175.6183.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Korfez Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game82.080.583.5
Allowed / game85.280.090.5
Point differential-3.2+0.5-7.0
Avg total167.2160.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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