BC Dnipro vs Ternopil-TNEU Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 79-87

21-14 20-23 19-18 19-32

Position#3

Record24-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game77.6

BC Dnipro

Ternopil-TNEU 🏆

Position#5

Record22-13

FormWWLLW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game81.0

FBU Superleague

Other2020-21

Meetings · BC Dnipro v Ternopil-TNEU

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Dnipro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ternopil-TNEU winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Dnipro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prometey

67-72

-5

H11/03

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

86-69

+17

H13/03

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

89-69

+20

H18/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

#11

84-70

+14

H20/03

FBU Superleague

CSM Oradea

72-78

-6

H23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Kharkivski Sokoly

#10

84-75

H28/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

91-105

105

-14

A31/03

Ukrainian Cup

Mykolaiv

#11

105-80

105

+25

A07/04

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

87-72

+15

A09/04

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

90-79

+11

H14/04

FBU Superleague

20-16

13-19

17-16

17-21

23-20

21-24

26-12

16-13

27-14

20-22

26-16

16-17

22-12

20-21

22-22

20-15

19-18

16-20

15-20

22-20

22-15

15-23

31-11

16-26

26-27

18-14

22-31

25-33

27-22

25-20

26-17

27-21

27-19

22-17

29-21

9-15

20-20

26-19

19-17

25-23

162.4Avg total

85.5Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	84.1	77.6	161.7	+6.5	73%
Season at home (18)	85.8	75.3	161.2	+10.5	89%
Season away (15)	82.0	80.3	162.3	+1.7	53%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	76.9	162.4	+8.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	82.2	173.6	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	93.7	166.3	-21.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.9	78.5	159.5	+2.4	55%
vs Weaker (16)	85.0	76.1	161.1	+8.9	81%

This opponent (Ternopil-TNEU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ternopil-TNEU Ukraine

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Zaporozhye

86-79

H05/03

FBU Superleague

Prometey

83-89

-6

H07/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

77-82

-5

H11/03

FBU Superleague

Khimik

89-74

+15

H19/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

80-68

+12

H21/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

95-87

A28/03

FBU Superleague

Kharkivski Sokoly

#10

76-71

A30/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

69-92

-23

A07/04

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

89-91 OT

-2

H09/04

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

#11

85-75

+10

H11/04

FBU Superleague

21-20

26-16

21-22

18-21

18-28

22-23

18-13

25-25

14-20

25-20

21-20

17-22

22-20

20-15

22-24

25-15

21-18

20-16

20-17

19-17

24-20

27-17

20-21

24-29

13-16

18-17

21-25

24-13

17-22

14-25

19-23

19-22

18-23

18-24

29-12

16-24

31-19

18-17

20-15

163.7Avg total

82.9Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	87.3	81.0	168.3	+6.3	63%
Season at home (19)	89.7	81.3	171.0	+8.4	63%
Season away (16)	84.5	80.6	165.1	+3.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	80.8	163.7	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	83.2	166.0	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	88.0	88.3	176.3	-0.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	86.9	86.8	173.8	+0.1	46%
vs Weaker (14)	89.3	77.6	166.9	+11.7	86%

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BC DniproTernopil-TNEU

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.3	39.7	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.5	42.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.6	45.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	23.7	44.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.1	17.7	40.8	+5.4	81%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.7	41.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	25.7	44.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	20.6	42.5	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	18.0	32.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.2	42.9	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.3	18.9	42.2	+4.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	22.2	43.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	19.3	43.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.3	86%	-

BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prometey

33-35

-2

H11/03

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

44-44

H13/03

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

47-36

+11

H18/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

#11

42-33

H20/03

FBU Superleague

CSM Oradea

35-38

-3

H23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Kharkivski Sokoly

#10

37-38

-1

H28/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

44-41

A31/03

Ukrainian Cup

Mykolaiv

#11

52-42

+10

A07/04

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

49-36

+13

A09/04

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

46-39

H14/04

FBU Superleague

81.1Avg total

42.9Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	38.2	81.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.2	84.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	41.7	76.3	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.5	37.1	80.6	+6.4	75%	-

This opponent (Ternopil-TNEU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ternopil-TNEULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Zaporozhye

47-36

+11

H05/03

FBU Superleague

Prometey

40-51

-11

H07/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

39-40

-1

H11/03

FBU Superleague

Khimik

42-35

H19/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

41-34

H21/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

51-37

+14

A28/03

FBU Superleague

Kharkivski Sokoly

#10

31-33

-2

A30/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

31-47

-16

A07/04

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

36-47

-11

H09/04

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

#11

47-43

H11/04

FBU Superleague

80.8Avg total

40.5Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.9	84.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.8	39.7	84.4	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.6	42.8	84.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.3	45.0	87.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.1	43.1	85.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.1	38.0	83.1	+7.1	79%	-

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	19.4	44.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.8	19.1	42.8	+4.7	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.7	18.6	39.4	+2.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.7	38.1	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	26.7	44.7	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.8	19.5	40.4	+1.3	82%	-
vs Weaker (16)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.2	31%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	21.3	49.7	+7.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	15%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	37.7	78.5	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	38.7	81.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	43.0	88.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	52.0	90.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.8	37.9	76.7	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.5	39.0	80.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	41.1	84.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.9	40.8	85.7	+4.2	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.6	41.5	83.1	+0.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.2	82.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.7	43.3	89.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.5	42.6	86.1	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.3	39.1	82.4	+4.1	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 51.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀35%

🏀🏀🏀59%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 6% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game

51%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	23.0	9.0	39.1%	49.3%	18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.0	34.5%	30.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	6.0	3.0	50.0%	70.5%	3.0

They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ternopil-TNEUtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.0	56.8%	49.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	12.0	32.4%	30.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	10.0	76.9%	70.5%	10.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.0	56.8%	49.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	12.0	32.4%	30.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	10.0	76.9%	70.5%	10.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BC Dnipro wins

Ternopil-TNEU wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/21	Ternopil-TNEU v BC Dnipro	81-82
03/02/21	BC Dnipro v Ternopil-TNEU	94-90
23/10/20	Ternopil-TNEU v BC Dnipro	70-83

BC Dniprolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/21	H	Kyiv Basket	90-79
09/04/21	A	Cherkaski Mavpy	87-72
07/04/21	A	Mykolaiv	105-80
31/03/21	A	Mykolaiv	91-105
28/03/21	H	Kharkivski Sokoly	84-75
23/03/21	H	CSM Oradea	72-78
20/03/21	H	Mykolaiv	84-70
18/03/21	H	Cherkaski Mavpy	89-69
13/03/21	H	BK Zaporozhye	86-69
11/03/21	H	Prometey	67-72

Ternopil-TNEUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/21	H	Mykolaiv	85-75
09/04/21	H	Kyiv Basket	89-91 OT
07/04/21	A	Budivelnyk	69-92
30/03/21	A	Kharkivski Sokoly	76-71
28/03/21	A	Odessa	95-87
21/03/21	H	Odessa	80-68
19/03/21	H	Khimik	89-74
11/03/21	H	Budivelnyk	77-82
07/03/21	H	Prometey	83-89
05/03/21	H	BK Zaporozhye	86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Dnipro

FBU Superleague 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLLWW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	18	15
Win %	73%	89%	53%
Points / game	84.1	85.8	82.0
Allowed / game	77.6	75.3	80.3
Point differential	+6.5	+10.5	+1.7
Avg total	161.7	161.2	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	56%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	75% (4)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ternopil-TNEU

FBU Superleague 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	63%
Home	LWWLW	63%
Away	WWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	19	16
Win %	63%	63%	62%
Points / game	87.3	89.7	84.5
Allowed / game	81.0	81.3	80.6
Point differential	+6.3	+8.4	+3.9
Avg total	168.3	171.0	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	42%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	0% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	9%	11%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kyiv Basket	31	25	6	81%	86.1	75.1	+11.0
2	BC Dnipro	33	24	9	73%	84.1	77.6	+6.5
3	Prometey	33	22	11	67%	85.7	77.9	+7.8
4	Ternopil-TNEU	35	22	13	63%	87.3	81.0	+6.3
5	BK Zaporozhye	34	20	14	59%	79.8	76.9	+2.9
6	Budivelnyk	33	18	15	55%	85.3	82.4	+2.9
7	Khimik	33	17	16	52%	75.5	77.1	-1.7
8	Cherkaski Mavpy	33	13	20	39%	74.6	78.4	-3.8
9	Odessa	36	9	27	25%	75.9	82.1	-6.3
10	Kharkivski Sokoly	31	7	24	23%	74.6	88.9	-14.3
11	Mykolaiv	34	6	28	18%	76.6	87.8	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BC Dnipro	21	20	19	19	79
Ternopil-TNEU	14	23	18	32	87

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BC Dnipro vs Ternopil-TNEU Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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