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Benfica Lisboa B vs Barcelos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-80
24-18 18-24 15-17 13-21
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game74.5
Vs
38%
62%
■ BENF 38%■ BARC 62%
Pythia win probability
Projected 68-72
Projected total 139.9
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game75.8
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Benfica Lisboa B host Barcelos in the Proliga. Pythia makes Barcelos the favourite at 62% and projects 68-72, about 140 points in all (over 139.5: 50%). On the market's main spread (Benfica Lisboa B +1.5) Pythia gives Benfica Lisboa B 41% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Benfica Lisboa B are 1-3 this season (65.0 scored, 74.5 allowed a game), form WLLWL; Barcelos are 1-3 this season (67.0 scored, 75.8 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica Lisboa B winLost
37.9%fair 2.64
Best odds1.85
Implied53.3%
Edge-15.4pp
Barcelos winWon
62.1%fair 1.61
Best odds1.96
Implied46.7%
Edge+15.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica Lisboa BPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormB
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
69avg 59
A21/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-60
51
60
-9
40avg 59
A28/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
57avg 59
A04/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
51avg 59
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 59
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
99avg 59
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#7
L
59-65
59
65
-6
49avg 59
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#8
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 59
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#5
W
69-67
69
67
+2
62avg 59
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 59
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-22
17-9
22-13
11-16
14-15
13-21
13-8
21-30
17-13
17-16
18-19
11-17
19-17
17-14
16-11
20-25
22-20
15-24
23-25
21-14
27-19
22-11
30-11
14-13
21-19
13-9
11-24
22-23
18-17
14-23
10-13
15-15
15-18
24-16
15-18
26-16
9-24
20-30
13-20
141.5Avg total
70.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.074.5139.5-9.525%
Season at home (2)64.066.0130.0-2.050%
Season away (2)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)70.471.1141.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)72.070.6142.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.476.7147.1-6.421%
vs Similar (6)64.570.3134.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (10)74.768.4143.1+6.350%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
no box
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 54
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
72avg 54
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 54
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
28avg 54
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
16-23
17-18
11-18
21-12
13-16
12-12
12-24
26-21
14-12
18-22
10-17
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
137.4Avg total
65.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.075.8142.8-8.825%
Season at home (2)64.074.0138.0-10.050%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)65.172.3137.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)64.873.8138.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)62.872.3135.1-9.620%
vs Similar (8)72.574.4146.9-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 134.5Actual: Over 134.5
Over 134.5
62.2%
Under 134.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 139.5 · main lineActual: Over 139.5
Over 139.5
50.3%
@ 1.85+0.3pp
Under 139.5
49.7%
@ 1.91-0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Under
BetVictor
1.91
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.80
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Over 144.5
Over 144.5
38.3%
Under 144.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Benfica Lisboa B total 66.5Actual: Benfica Lisboa B over 66.5
Over 66.5
56.2%
@ 1.40-6.2pp
Under 66.5
43.8%
@ 2.32+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.32
Benfica Lisboa B total 70.5 · main lineActual: Benfica Lisboa B under 70.5
Over 70.5
40.8%
@ 1.91-8.4pp
Under 70.5
59.2%
@ 1.85+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.67
Benfica Lisboa B total 74.5Actual: Benfica Lisboa B under 74.5
Over 74.5
26.9%
@ 2.52-8.0pp
Under 74.5
73.1%
@ 1.35+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.35
Barcelos total 66Actual: Barcelos over 66
Over 66
71.8%
Under 66
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelos total 70 · main lineActual: Barcelos over 70
Over 70
56.7%
@ 1.71+6.4pp
Under 70
43.3%
@ 1.73-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Under
1xBet
1.73
Barcelos total 74Actual: Barcelos over 74
Over 74
40.5%
Under 74
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Benfica Lisboa B -1.5Actual: Barcelos +1.5
BENF -1.5
35.3%
@ 1.95-15.4pp
BARC +1.5
64.7%
@ 1.86+15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BENF
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.89
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
BARC
Pinnacle
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.79
Spread Benfica Lisboa B +1.5 · main lineActual: Barcelos -1.5
BENF +1.5
40.7%
@ 1.80-9.3pp
BARC -1.5
59.3%
@ 2.00+9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BENF
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
SBO
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
BARC
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
SBO
1.91
Spread Benfica Lisboa B +4.5Actual: Barcelos -4.5
BENF +4.5
52.4%
@ 1.38-11.9pp
BARC -4.5
47.6%
@ 2.48+11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BENF
1xBet
1.38
BARC
1xBet
2.48

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -5.5-5.5
Benfica Lisboa BBarcelos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Benfica Lisboa BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A04/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A24/10
Proliga
73.7Avg total
36.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68
Last 30 (30)34.437.972.3-3.523%53%
Last 30 at home (15)34.234.869.0-0.633%33%
Last 30 away (15)34.541.075.5-6.513%73%
Last 10 (10)36.137.673.7-1.520%60%
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.639.673.3-6.021%57%
vs Similar (6)31.039.070.0-8.00%50%
vs Weaker (10)37.434.872.2+2.640%50%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
72.0Avg total
36.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68
Last 30 (30)33.736.770.4-3.040%60%
Last 30 at home (14)34.139.473.5-5.221%79%
Last 30 away (16)33.334.467.8-1.156%44%
Last 10 (10)36.335.772.0+0.660%60%
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.037.670.6-4.635%65%
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.038%62%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%0%
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Barcelos win
BENF win
no forecast
@ 1.83
BARC win
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Spread Benfica Lisboa B -0.5 · main lineActual: Barcelos +0.5
BENF -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
BARC +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 68 · main lineActual: Over 68
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Benfica Lisboa B 1st half total 34.5 · main lineActual: Benfica Lisboa B over 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Barcelos 1st half total 34.5 · main lineActual: Barcelos over 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: BENF + total 69.5
BENF & over
no forecast
@ 3.70
BENF & under
no forecast
@ 3.70
1st half: Draw + total 69.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: BARC + total 69.5
BARC & over
no forecast
@ 3.70
BARC & under
no forecast
@ 3.70
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Benfica Lisboa B -1.5Actual: Barcelos +1.5
BENF -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
BARC +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Benfica Lisboa B +0.5Actual: Benfica Lisboa B +0.5
BENF +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
BARC -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Barcelos (regulation)
BENF
no forecast
@ 1.90
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
BARC
no forecast
@ 2.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BENF win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
BARC win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BENF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BARC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Barcelos +3.571.5%1.46
1xBet
1.46
----+10.8ppWon
Barcelos +4.574.6%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+10.3ppWon
Barcelos +5.577.5%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+9.7ppWon
Benfica Lisboa B under 74.573.1%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+8.0ppWon
Benfica Lisboa B under 75.576.2%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+7.9ppWon
Barcelos over 65.572.7%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+7.1ppWon
Barcelos over 64.575.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+7.0ppWon
Overtime: no94.8%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.8pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benfica Lisboa Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica Lisboa B: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.3
43.7%
52.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.6
31.4%
30.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.113.0
61.6%
67.0%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.2%
52.8%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.86.0
20.2%
30.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws24.216.0
66.0%
67.0%16.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica Lisboa B
LWLLWLWLLW
Barcelos
LLWLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#12
-0.1
Net rating
-10.0
80.9
Offensive rating
71.6
81.1
Defensive rating
81.5
45.0%
Effective FG%
40.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.4%
3-point %
20.2%
55.0%
Assist %
47.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence80.9 · 71.6Defence81.1 · 81.5Shooting45.0% · 40.2%3-point %31.4% · 20.2%Ball care17.7% · 19.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Benfica Lisboa B   ■ Barcelos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica Lisboa B wins
0
Barcelos wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGalitos Aveiro68-90
18/10/26HSampaense69-67
10/10/26AGalitos Barreiro64-76
04/10/26HCB Queluz59-65
02/05/26HSangalhos100-55
26/04/26ACB Queluz80-94
19/04/26HAcademica63-59
04/04/26AGalomar73-78
28/03/26ASanto Andre51-60
21/03/26ASampaense77-67
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
22/04/16AOvarense68-72
17/04/16AFC Porto58-64
16/04/16HOvarense65-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica Lisboa B
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game65.064.066.0
Allowed / game74.566.083.0
Point differential-9.5-2.0-17.0
Avg total139.5130.0149.0
Over 139.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.064.070.0
Allowed / game75.874.077.5
Point differential-8.8-10.0-7.5
Avg total142.8138.0147.5
Over 139.575%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos54180%78.661.4+17.2
2 Galitos Aveiro54180%75.470.4+5.0
3 Santo Andre54180%79.074.2+4.8
4 Galomar43175%82.572.0+10.5
5 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
6 Lusitania53260%79.073.2+5.8
7 CB Queluz53260%71.071.0+0.0
8 Galitos Barreiro53260%72.072.2-0.2
9 Maia42250%82.885.0-2.2
10 Vasco Da Gama52340%82.886.0-3.2
11 Illiabum52340%70.074.6-4.6
12 Barreirense52340%78.683.8-5.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
15 Ginasio Olhanense51420%80.491.2-10.8
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica Lisboa B2418151370
Barcelos1824172180
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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