PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Benfica W vs Sporting CP W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-67
29-27 13-9 17-16 15-15
Position#2
Record5-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game60.3
Benfica W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP W
Portugal
Position#8
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game64.1
PortugalLFB WomenRound 6· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sosnowiec W
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
60avg 68
A15/10
EuroCup Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
55-63
55
63
-8
48avg 68
A19/10
LFB Women
Ostrava W
#35
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
75avg 68
H23/10
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
72-28
72
28
+44
77avg 68
H26/10
LFB Women
Ferrol W
#4
L
58-109
58
109
-51
37avg 68
A29/10
EuroCup Women
Imortal W
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 68
A02/11
LFB Women
Sosnowiec W
#11
L
65-66
65
66
-1
54avg 68
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Esgueira W
#7
W
73-63
73
63
+10
65avg 68
A22/11
LFB Women
Ostrava W
#35
L
52-85
52
85
-33
37avg 68
A26/11
EuroCup Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
66-65
66
65
+1
57avg 68
H30/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
11-23
22-12
19-17
20-14
16-24
7-16
12-9
25-23
11-14
24-10
12-25
16-8
18-11
16-5
22-4
6-24
12-26
23-30
17-29
18-24
19-25
24-16
18-18
13-26
14-16
20-11
18-13
15-21
21-14
27-18
10-10
13-18
8-23
15-15
16-29
23-14
11-18
13-16
19-17
138.4Avg total
66.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.060.3137.3+16.771%
Season at home (3)79.051.0130.0+28.0100%
Season away (4)75.567.2142.8+8.250%
Last 10 (10)66.472.0138.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)67.072.4139.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.779.6142.3-16.90%
vs Similar (1)55.063.0118.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.562.1138.6+14.486%
This opponent (Sporting CP W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
no box
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
41avg 61
H23/02
Taca de Portugal Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
47avg 61
A07/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 61
H12/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 61
A19/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
85-61
85
61
+24
77avg 61
H26/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
68avg 61
H02/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
W
78-49
78
49
+29
78avg 61
H23/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
W
67-51
67
51
+16
62avg 61
A29/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
12-12
12-13
14-18
10-19
18-16
12-12
17-19
18-21
14-21
17-19
14-16
14-25
18-14
20-17
26-20
17-25
17-19
15-18
13-14
13-14
25-18
23-12
24-17
18-18
16-12
16-14
20-15
19-8
16-15
18-16
25-10
13-12
13-9
22-21
19-9
135.7Avg total
70.7Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.964.1136.0+7.771%
Season at home (4)77.861.2139.0+16.5100%
Season away (3)64.068.0132.0-4.033%
Last 10 (9)70.765.0135.7+5.767%
Last 5 (5)72.459.2131.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.576.5139.0-14.00%
vs Similar (4)72.558.8131.2+13.875%
vs Weaker (2)72.563.5136.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
Benfica WSporting CP W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sosnowiec W
#11
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A15/10
EuroCup Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A19/10
LFB Women
Ostrava W
#35
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/10
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H26/10
LFB Women
Ferrol W
#4
L
18-50
18
50
-32
A29/10
EuroCup Women
Imortal W
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A02/11
LFB Women
Sosnowiec W
#11
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Esgueira W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/11
LFB Women
Ostrava W
#35
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A26/11
EuroCup Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H30/11
LFB Women
68.8Avg total
30.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.970.0+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.530.768.2+6.865%-
Last 30 away (13)36.535.872.3+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)30.138.768.8-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.870.8-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.641.167.7-14.60%-
vs Similar (1)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.130.171.2+11.090%-
This opponent (Sporting CP W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H23/02
Taca de Portugal Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H12/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H26/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H23/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A29/11
LFB Women
66.7Avg total
33.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)33.233.466.7-0.256%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.532.366.8+2.267%-
Last 30 away (3)30.735.766.3-5.033%-
Last 10 (9)33.233.466.7-0.256%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.063.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)33.830.063.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (2)29.030.059.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
52%
27%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.616.5
42.7%
45.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
29.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.6
67.1%
73.7%11.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CP Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP W: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
52%
27%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.415.2
40.7%
45.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.6
32.1%
29.1%19.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.9%
73.7%12.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica W
WLWLLLWLLL
Sporting CP W
WWWWLWLLW
#2
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
+7.7
89.2
Offensive rating
92.1
92.7
Defensive rating
84.4
42.8%
Effective FG%
43.3%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
20.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.6%
3-point %
32.1%
78.6%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/9)
67%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 92.1Defence92.7 · 84.4Shooting42.8% · 43.3%3-point %28.6% · 32.1%Ball care20.0% · 22.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/9)30% · 67%
■ Benfica W   ■ Sporting CP W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica W wins
0
Sporting CP W wins
No previous meetings.
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HGdessa Barreiro W66-65
26/11/25AOstrava W52-85
22/11/25AEsgueira W73-63
05/11/25HSosnowiec W65-66
02/11/25AImortal W79-83
29/10/25AFerrol W58-109
26/10/25HCAB Madeira W72-28
23/10/25HOstrava W81-85 OT
19/10/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W55-63
15/10/25ASosnowiec W63-73
Sporting CP Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AGalitos W67-51
23/11/25HUniao Sportiva W78-49
02/11/25HEsgueira W70-59
26/10/25HGdessa Barreiro W85-61
19/10/25AImortal W62-76
12/10/25HCAB Madeira W78-76
07/10/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W63-77
23/02/25HGdessa Barreiro W57-66
21/12/24HSC Coimbroes W76-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica W
LFB Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game77.079.075.5
Allowed / game60.351.067.2
Point differential+16.7+28.0+8.2
Avg total137.3130.0142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP W
LFB Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game71.977.864.0
Allowed / game64.161.268.0
Point differential+7.7+16.5-4.0
Avg total136.0139.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinta Dos Lombos W880100%76.660.9+15.8
2 Imortal W87188%80.173.0+7.1
3 Benfica W75271%77.060.3+16.7
4 Sporting CP W75271%71.964.1+7.7
5 Uniao Sportiva W84450%69.667.5+2.1
6 Barcelos W84450%69.874.1-4.4
7 Gdessa Barreiro W83538%67.869.9-2.1
8 Galitos W83538%63.566.5-3.0
9 Esgueira W83538%70.477.0-6.6
10 Sanjoanense W83538%74.681.8-7.1
11 SC Coimbroes W81712%62.574.0-11.5
12 CAB Madeira W81712%67.078.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica W2913171574
Sporting CP W279161567
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.