PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Femenina Women· Deportivo Berazategui
Berazategui W will host El Talar W in the Liga Femenina Women on 2 November 2026, a contest where the edge is razor-thin, with only a 55% chance for the home side and 45% for the visitors. Berazategui's season record of 2-2 shows they have scored an average of 72.0 points while conceding 67.2, and they have split their two home games 1-1, averaging 72.5 points at home and allowing 65.5. Their last five games include a loss to Ferro W 68-74 at home, a win over Obras Sanitarias W 83-68 away, and a defeat by Union Florida W 60-70 away. El Talar, meanwhile, stands at 3-1 overall, scoring 72.5 points per game and giving up only 60.2, with a flawless 2-0 road record, averaging 77.5 points and allowing 52.0 on the road. Their recent five games feature a home loss to Union Florida W 64-67, a 88-51 away win over Regatas San Nicolas W, and a 67-53 away victory over Avellaneda W. In the ten meetings between the clubs, El Talar has won seven to Berazategui's three, most recently defeating them 67-65 on 1 March 2026. Pythia projects a 69-68 scoreline, with a 136.6 total, and a 5% chance of overtime. The model favours Berazategui W, giving them a 55% probability of winning, while El Talar has a 45% chance. The projected spread is a narrow one-point margin, and the 5% overtime probability underscores how evenly matched the teams appear.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 72.0 | 67.2 | 139.2 | +4.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 72.5 | 65.5 | 138.0 | +7.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 71.5 | 69.0 | 140.5 | +2.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 61.9 | 59.1 | 121.0 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.0 | 65.2 | 132.2 | +1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 61.9 | 66.1 | 128.1 | -4.2 | 29% |
| vs Similar (5) | 60.6 | 56.6 | 117.2 | +4.0 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 64.5 | 59.0 | 123.5 | +5.5 | 64% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 72.5 | 60.2 | 132.8 | +12.2 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 67.5 | 68.5 | 136.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 77.5 | 52.0 | 129.5 | +25.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 60.2 | 129.6 | +9.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.8 | 64.2 | 137.0 | +8.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (12) | 67.4 | 70.7 | 138.1 | -3.2 | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 71.9 | 62.4 | 134.4 | +9.5 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.5 | 29.1 | 59.5 | +1.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 31.9 | 28.5 | 60.4 | +3.5 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 29.4 | 29.5 | 58.9 | -0.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.8 | 29.0 | 58.8 | +0.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.8 | 29.0 | 59.8 | +1.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 27.2 | 32.3 | 59.5 | -5.1 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 30.0 | 26.2 | 56.2 | +3.8 | 80% | - |
| vs Weaker (11) | 34.8 | 26.3 | 61.1 | +8.5 | 82% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.5 | 33.0 | 66.5 | +0.6 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.4 | 35.1 | 69.5 | -0.7 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.7 | 30.8 | 63.5 | +1.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.2 | 31.8 | 64.0 | +0.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.0 | 33.8 | 66.8 | -0.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (12) | 30.5 | 35.5 | 66.0 | -5.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 35.6 | 31.3 | 66.8 | +4.3 | 78% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 17.5 | 42.6% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.2 | 7.2 | 27.2% | 21.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.1 | 11.3 | 63.8% | 11.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.7 | 17.7 | 42.6% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 9.1 | 27.2% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.2 | 13.6 | 63.8% | 13.6 |
Berazategui W
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 | Berazategui W v El Talar W | 65-67 OT |
| 24/01/26 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 55-65 |
| 16/12/25 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 78-61 |
| 05/12/25 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 73-62 |
| 21/11/25 | Berazategui W v El Talar W | 61-83 |
| 07/10/25 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 59-65 |
| 23/03/25 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 74-67 |
| 22/03/25 | El Talar W v Berazategui W | 87-62 |
| 16/03/25 | Berazategui W v El Talar W | 76-64 |
| 03/03/25 | Berazategui W v El Talar W | 76-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 68-74 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 83-68 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Union Florida W | 60-70 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Regatas San Nicolas W | 77-57 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Deportivo Chanares W | 47-57 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Deportivo Chanares W | 51-58 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Deportivo Chanares W | 53-37 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Union Florida W | 71-56 |
| 07/04/26 | H | Union Florida W | 54-52 |
| 30/03/26 | H | El Bigua W | 55-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/26 | H | Union Florida W | 64-67 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Regatas San Nicolas W | 88-51 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Avellaneda W | 67-53 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 71-70 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 74-80 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 55-71 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Hindu W | 56-52 |
| 20/04/26 | H | Hindu W | 67-53 |
| 12/04/26 | H | Independiente Neuquen W | 78-55 |
| 06/04/26 | A | Independiente Neuquen W | 74-50 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 72.0 | 72.5 | 71.5 |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 65.5 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | +4.8 | +7.0 | +2.5 |
| Avg total | 139.2 | 138.0 | 140.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 72.5 | 67.5 | 77.5 |
| Allowed / game | 60.2 | 68.5 | 52.0 |
| Point differential | +12.2 | -1.0 | +25.5 |
| Avg total | 132.8 | 136.0 | 129.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rocamora W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 71.2 | 63.2 | +8.0 |
| 2 |  Boca W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 58.8 | +16.2 |
| 3 |  Independiente Neuquen W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 62.6 | 59.2 | +3.4 |
| 4 | El Talar W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.5 | 60.2 | +12.2 |
| 5 |  Obras Sanitarias W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 74.0 | 70.2 | +3.8 |
| 6 |  Ferro W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 76.0 | 60.8 | +15.2 |
| 7 |  Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 8 |  Instituto W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 68.0 | 62.3 | +5.7 |
| 9 |  Hindu W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 70.2 | 52.8 | +17.4 |
| 10 |  Velez Sarsfield W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 59.6 | 57.6 | +2.0 |
| 11 | Berazategui W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.0 | 67.2 | +4.8 |
| 12 |  San Jose W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 54.5 | 49.8 | +4.8 |
| 13 |  Union Florida W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 65.5 | 67.5 | -2.0 |
| 14 |  Avellaneda W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 59.5 | 64.8 | -5.2 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Chanares W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 63.0 | 62.4 | +0.6 |
| 16 |  El Bigua W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 59.4 | 67.2 | -7.8 |
| 17 |  Union Bahia W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 55.0 | 65.2 | -10.2 |
| 18 |  Regatas San Nicolas W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 54.7 | 78.8 | -24.2 |
| 19 |  Penarol W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 48.0 | 67.2 | -19.2 |
| 20 |  Sociedad Espanola W | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 28.3 | 81.0 | -52.7 |
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