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Black Fortress vs TSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-89
22-22 21-26 20-13 19-28
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game91.5
Black Fortress
Georgia
vs
TSU 🏆
Georgia
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.0
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 3
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Black Fortress winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Black FortressGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFortress
Date
Competition
CIU
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
78avg 62
A04/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
45avg 62
H10/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
22-32
16-24
28-25
22-21
12-21
20-16
16-17
168.5Avg total
77.0Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.091.5168.5-14.50%
Season at home (1)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
Season away (1)84.0108.0192.0-24.00%
Last 10 (2)77.091.5168.5-14.50%
Last 5 (2)77.091.5168.5-14.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.091.5168.5-14.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSUGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
84avg 78
H08/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 78
H10/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
89-68
89
68
+21
84avg 78
A13/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
96-71
96
71
+25
99avg 78
A15/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 78
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
40avg 78
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 78
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
81-90 OT
81
90
-9
69avg 78
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
88-77
88
77
+11
55avg 78
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
72avg 78
A11/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-15
27-17
23-32
21-24
13-28
24-18
27-21
36-11
21-11
12-24
20-22
26-16
33-18
19-15
18-22
26-14
25-23
12-25
19-14
15-26
18-21
17-16
13-28
14-21
27-21
19-15
16-24
20-16
14-25
23-13
24-27
19-22
22-23
24-15
23-17
10-22
26-28
25-16
25-13
165.0Avg total
83.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.881.2165.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)78.883.6162.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.084.2162.2-6.233%
vs Similar (6)86.380.8167.2+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.579.4166.9+8.172%
This opponent (Black Fortress) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Black FortressTSU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Black FortressLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CIU
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H10/10
Superleague
87.5Avg total
37.0Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)37.050.587.5-13.50%-
Last 30 at home (1)34.042.076.0-8.00%-
Last 30 away (1)40.059.099.0-19.00%-
Last 10 (2)37.050.587.5-13.50%-
Last 5 (2)37.050.587.5-13.50%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.050.587.5-13.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H10/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
57-22
57
22
+35
A13/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A15/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
Superleague
83.7Avg total
42.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.683.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.041.383.3+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.839.982.7+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.983.7+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
vs Similar (6)42.844.387.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.838.881.7+4.061%-
This opponent (Black Fortress) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Black Fortresstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Black Fortress: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.5
51.7%
48.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.5
16.7%
31.1%10.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.5
64.6%
64.0%15.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.2
52.5%
48.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.0
29.1%
31.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.812.4
59.6%
64.0%12.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Black Fortress
LL
TSU
WWLLLWWWLW
#11
League position
#7
-21.5
Net rating
+3.1
74.6
Offensive rating
90.5
96.2
Defensive rating
87.4
43.0%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
16.7%
3-point %
29.1%
67.3%
Assist %
66.6%
0%
Form (last 2/10)
60%

Profile

Offence74.6 · 90.5Defence96.2 · 87.4Shooting43.0% · 49.0%3-point %16.7% · 29.1%Ball care17.6% · 11.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 2/10)0% · 60%
■ Black Fortress   ■ TSU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Black Fortress wins
0
TSU wins
No previous meetings.
Black Fortresslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HIverioni70-75
04/10/26ACIU84-108
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AMargveti86-79
03/10/26HRustavi88-77
28/05/26ABatumi81-90 OT
26/05/26ABatumi76-81
23/05/26HBatumi63-91
21/05/26HBatumi82-76
15/05/26AOrbi96-71
13/05/26AOrbi89-68
10/05/26HOrbi85-91
08/05/26HOrbi92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Black Fortress
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.070.084.0
Allowed / game91.575.0108.0
Point differential-14.5-5.0-24.0
Avg total168.5145.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
TSU
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.088.086.0
Allowed / game78.077.079.0
Point differential+9.0+11.0+7.0
Avg total165.0165.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU220100%102.574.5+28.0
2 TSU220100%87.078.0+9.0
3 Orbi110100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Batumi220100%77.573.5+4.0
5 Iverioni32167%78.078.3-0.3
6 Margveti21150%85.085.0+0.0
7 Rustavi21150%87.091.0-4.0
8 Telavi2020%87.592.0-4.5
9 Akhaltsikhe1010%70.075.0-5.0
10 Kutaisi3030%72.084.0-12.0
11 Black Fortress2020%77.091.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Black Fortress2221201982
TSU2226132889
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