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Boca W vs Union Bahia W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Projected 78-57
Projected total 134.5
Final 77-42
29-9 14-7 17-14 17-12
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game58.8
Vs
96%
■ BOCA 96%■ UNIO 4%
Pythia win probability
Position#19
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game52.7
Allowed / game64.8
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women
Women2027
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Boca W hosts Union Bahia W in the Liga Femenina Women on 6 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Boca W as the clear favourite at 96% to win versus 4% for Union Bahia W, a reflection of Boca W's 5-1 record, 75.0 points per game and 58.8 allowed per game, placing them second in the league, compared to Union Bahia W's 1-5 record, 52.7 points per game and 64.8 allowed per game, positioned eighteenth. Boca W's home form is solid, 2-1 at home with 77.7 points per game and 67.7 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 69-59 victory over El Bigua W and a 76-47 away win over Penarol W, while Union Bahia W has struggled on the road, 0-3 with 50.3 points per game and 66.3 allowed, losing all three recent outings including a 41-63 loss to Velez Sarsfield W. The teams have met once before, with Boca W winning 67-38. Pythia projects a score of 78-57 for Boca W, a total of 134.5 points, and a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca W winWon
96.0%fair 1.04
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Union Bahia W winLost
4.0%fair 24.91
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Bahia W
#19
W
67-38
67
38
+29
A15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#17
W
76-47
76
47
+29
A25/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#15
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
26-11
18-17
26-30
20-10
16-11
22-6
9-11
16-10
25-21
21-17
12-17
18-8
16-9
24-15
18-15
20-17
21-13
12-20
16-9
19-24
20-11
12-20
18-17
133.8Avg total
75.0Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.058.8133.8+16.283%
Season at home (3)77.767.7145.3+10.067%
Season away (3)72.350.0122.3+22.3100%
Last 10 (6)75.058.8133.8+16.283%
Last 5 (5)71.056.2127.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)75.058.8133.8+16.283%
This opponent (Union Bahia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union Bahia WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca W
#2
L
38-67
38
67
-29
H15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#17
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#15
L
62-66 OT
62
66
-4
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#4
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#7
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
11-16
6-22
11-9
21-19
18-14
14-17
18-8
16-13
17-9
10-20
15-16
14-14
12-20
9-16
13-20
9-22
16-16
14-11
17-16
13-15
15-20
3-14
10-14
117.5Avg total
52.7Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)52.764.8117.5-12.217%
Season at home (3)55.063.3118.3-8.333%
Season away (3)50.366.3116.7-16.00%
Last 10 (6)52.764.8117.5-12.217%
Last 5 (5)55.664.4120.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)52.764.8117.5-12.217%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121Actual: Under 121
Over 121
80.4%
Under 121
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
70.5%
Under 126
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
58.7%
Under 131
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Boca W total 60.5Actual: Boca W over 60.5
Over 60.5
95.7%
Under 60.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boca W total 64.5Actual: Boca W over 64.5
Over 64.5
90.7%
Under 64.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boca W total 68.5Actual: Boca W over 68.5
Over 68.5
82.1%
Under 68.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Bahia W total 58Actual: Union Bahia W under 58
Over 58
45.2%
Under 58
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Bahia W total 62Actual: Union Bahia W under 62
Over 62
29.6%
Under 62
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Bahia W total 66Actual: Union Bahia W under 66
Over 66
17.2%
Under 66
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Boca W -3Actual: Boca W -3
BOCA -3
94.3%
UNIO +3
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
BOCA
No market prices yet.
UNIO
No market prices yet.
Spread Boca W 0Actual: Boca W 0
BOCA 0
96.0%
UNIO 0
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
BOCA
No market prices yet.
UNIO
No market prices yet.
Spread Boca W +3Actual: Boca W +3
BOCA +3
97.5%
UNIO -3
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
BOCA
No market prices yet.
UNIO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
Boca WUnion Bahia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Bahia W
#19
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#17
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A25/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H30/10
Liga Femenina Women
66.8Avg total
40.3Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)40.326.566.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 at home (3)43.730.073.7+13.7100%-
Last 30 away (3)37.023.060.0+14.0100%-
Last 10 (6)40.326.566.8+13.8100%-
Last 5 (5)38.226.865.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.326.566.8+13.8100%-
This opponent (Union Bahia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union Bahia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca W
#2
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H15/10
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#15
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#4
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Quilmes W
#7
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
61.7Avg total
28.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)28.733.061.7-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (3)28.335.764.0-7.333%-
Last 30 away (3)29.030.359.3-1.333%-
Last 10 (6)28.733.061.7-4.333%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.462.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.733.061.7-4.333%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Boca W wins
0
Union Bahia W wins
DateGameScore
15/10/26Union Bahia W v Boca W38-67
Boca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HIndependiente Neuquen W69-72
29/10/26HEl Bigua W69-59
25/10/26APenarol W76-47
23/10/26AQuilmes W74-65
15/10/26AUnion Bahia W67-38
10/10/26HVelez Sarsfield W95-72
Union Bahia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AVelez Sarsfield W41-63
31/10/26HQuilmes W56-65
24/10/26AIndependiente Neuquen W48-70
23/10/26AEl Bigua W62-66 OT
17/10/26HPenarol W71-58
15/10/26HBoca W38-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game75.077.772.3
Allowed / game58.867.750.0
Point differential+16.2+10.0+22.3
Avg total133.8145.3122.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Union Bahia W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game52.755.050.3
Allowed / game64.863.366.3
Point differential-12.2-8.3-16.0
Avg total117.5118.3116.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Boca W65183%75.058.8+16.2
3 Obras Sanitarias W65183%71.267.2+4.0
4 Independiente Neuquen W54180%62.659.2+3.4
5 El Talar W43175%72.560.2+12.2
6 Hindu W64267%69.853.3+16.5
7 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
8 Velez Sarsfield W64267%60.254.8+5.3
9 Berazategui W53260%75.065.0+10.0
10 Ferro W74357%73.961.4+12.4
11 San Jose W42250%54.549.8+4.8
12 Instituto W42250%65.063.8+1.2
13 Union Florida W52340%64.667.2-2.6
14 Deportivo Chanares W51420%63.062.4+0.6
15 Avellaneda W51420%58.869.2-10.4
16 Penarol W51420%52.264.6-12.4
17 El Bigua W61517%58.567.5-9.0
18 Union Bahia W61517%52.764.8-12.2
19 Regatas San Nicolas W61517%54.778.8-24.2
20 Sociedad Espanola W4040%26.582.2-55.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca W2914171777
Union Bahia W97141242
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