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Boise State vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-54
45-30 50-24
Position#70
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#334
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A16/03
NCAA
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H08/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A19/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H26/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H02/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Western Oregon
#562
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
35-37
46-32
43-23
32-24
31-34
38-41
30-44
41-44
34-38
28-29
37-32
27-35
29-35
34-24
29-36
30-29
39-35
53-34
56-36
140.4Avg total
72.4Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.067.2140.2+5.867%
Season at home (7)73.462.6136.0+10.986%
Season away (2)71.583.5155.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)72.468.0140.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)72.465.0137.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (18)72.071.1143.1+0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.263.6135.8+8.680%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A10/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
70-96
70
96
-26
H14/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H16/11
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
40-91
40
91
-51
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
40-44
58-15
43-39
40-48
31-40
36-48
34-48
33-34
32-44
32-36
42-44
35-31
40-47
39-28
31-46
14-40
26-51
25-36
49-47
150.8Avg total
71.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.180.2151.3-9.111%
Season at home (3)78.776.0154.7+2.733%
Season away (6)67.382.3149.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.179.7150.8-8.610%
Last 5 (5)66.681.2147.8-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.481.7149.1-14.30%
vs Similar (6)70.870.0140.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (14)81.069.4150.4+11.686%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -8.2-8.2
Boise StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/03
NCAA
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H26/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H02/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Western Oregon
#562
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H09/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.831.967.7+4.062%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.130.067.1+7.172%-
Last 30 away (11)33.734.968.6-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.069.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.264.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.024.058.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (17)34.634.368.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.428.364.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H16/11
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A09/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.769.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.031.869.8+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.335.169.4-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)34.334.769.0-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.034.263.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.937.067.9-6.120%-
vs Similar (6)36.032.268.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker (14)39.432.071.4+7.479%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HWestern Oregon109-70
06/12/23HNorth Texas69-64
02/12/23HSt. Marys (CA)63-60
26/11/23HButler56-70
25/11/23HVCU Rams65-61
24/11/23AVirginia Tech75-82
19/11/23AClemson68-85
12/11/23HSan Francisco63-58
08/11/23HVanguard Lions89-55
16/03/23ANorthwestern67-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASouthern Miss74-83
02/12/23ABaylor40-91
29/11/23ALouisiana Monroe70-74
18/11/23APresbyterian75-78
18/11/23ANorth Florida74-80
16/11/23HMaine Black Bears65-78
14/11/23HStephen F. Austin70-96
10/11/23ATulane71-88
07/11/23HDallas Christian101-54
08/03/23ATexas A&M-CC71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%86%0%
Points / game73.073.471.5
Allowed / game67.262.683.5
Point differential+5.8+10.9-12.0
Avg total140.2136.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %11%33%0%
Points / game71.178.767.3
Allowed / game80.276.082.3
Point differential-9.1+2.7-15.0
Avg total151.3154.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State109190%83.965.4+18.5
2 New Mexico109190%86.168.2+17.9
3 Colorado State109190%83.370.5+12.8
4 Grand Canyon98189%78.968.3+10.6
5 Nevada87188%79.965.8+14.1
6 San Diego State108280%76.167.9+8.2
7 Air Force107370%67.862.1+5.7
8 Wyoming96367%76.669.8+6.8
9 Boise State96367%73.067.2+5.8
10 Fresno State95456%74.173.4+0.7
11 San Jose State116555%75.369.1+6.2
12 UNLV73443%73.074.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State108280%82.257.3+24.9
2 Stephen F. Austin105550%74.570.4+4.1
3 TX A&M Commerce115645%72.175.4-3.3
4 Texas A&M-CC94544%74.868.2+6.6
5 Lamar94544%82.178.7+3.4
6 New Orleans104640%78.978.7+0.2
7 Nicholls State104640%74.378.1-3.8
8 Incarnate Word93633%77.879.1-1.3
9 UTRGV103730%73.779.1-5.4
10 SE Louisiana102820%68.777.2-8.5
11 Houston Christian81712%69.284.4-15.1
12 Northwestern St.91811%71.180.2-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State455095
Northwestern St.302454
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