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Bora vs Golden Eagle Ylli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 83-76
Projected total 159.0
Final 81-65
16-23 18-12 24-17 23-13
Position#1
Record6-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game69.6
Bora 🏆
Kosovo
Vs
75%
25%
■ BORA 75%■ GEY 25%
Pythia win probability
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.4
KosovoSuperligaRound 9· Pallati i Rinise dhe Sporteve
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bora v Golden Eagle Ylli
10 Mar 2027
BORA v GEY
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
BORA81
GEY65
03 Apr 2026
BORA79
GEY83
21 Dec 2025
BORA71
GEY86
08 Jan 2025
BORA93
GEY80
15 Sep 2024
BORA67
GEY74
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Bora faces Golden Eagle Ylli in the Superliga on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model rates Bora as the clear favourite, giving them a 75% chance of victory largely because of their 6-2 season record and a points-per-game advantage of 77.2 over 69.6 allowed, placing them third in the league; Golden Eagle Ylli, while competitive with a 5-3 record, averages 84.5 points per game but concedes 85.4, a slight negative balance that keeps them fourth. Bora's home form is solid, 3-1 at home with 79.5 points scored and 67.0 allowed, and their last five games include wins over Vellaznimi, Peja, and Sigal Prishtina, though they also lost to an opponent in that span; Golden Eagle Ylli's road record is 2-2, with 79.8 points scored and 91.0 allowed, and their last five games feature four wins and a loss to Trepca. Historically the teams have met nine times, Bora holding a 5-4 edge, most recently defeating Golden Eagle Ylli 75-64 on 27 September 2026. Pythia projects an 83-76 scoreline, a total of 159.0 points, and a 62% probability that Bora will cover the -4.5 line; the over on the 155.5 total has a 58% chance, with a 4% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Bora can maintain their defensive edge against Golden Eagle Ylli's higher scoring output.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bora winWon
74.5%fair 1.34
Best odds1.50
Implied69.3%
Edge+5.2pp
Golden Eagle Ylli winLost
25.5%fair 3.93
Best odds3.00
Implied30.7%
Edge-5.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BoraKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBora
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#2
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
100avg 72
H02/05
Superliga
Bashkimi
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
60avg 72
A06/05
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
90-67
90
67
+23
88avg 72
H19/09
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
75-64
75
64
+11
64avg 72
A27/09
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
76avg 72
H05/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
L
58-78
58
78
-20
43avg 72
A10/10
Superliga
Trepca
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 72
H18/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
76-57
76
57
+19
74avg 72
H24/10
Superliga
Peja
#6
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 72
A01/11
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A07/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
22-28
16-23
19-24
23-19
21-28
19-28
13-25
26-13
17-14
28-14
19-26
20-12
21-21
15-11
19-20
19-21
25-16
19-23
21-5
17-15
11-27
14-24
16-12
15-10
20-18
17-31
16-20
16-16
28-9
15-18
17-14
22-17
28-14
17-22
21-22
18-20
18-13
18-16
25-23
155.4Avg total
79.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.269.6146.9+7.675%
Season at home (4)79.567.0146.5+12.575%
Season away (4)75.072.2147.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)79.875.6155.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)73.872.2146.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.585.2162.7-7.740%
vs Similar (8)76.677.5154.1-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.868.4152.2+15.392%
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYlli
Date
Competition
Peja
#5
L
81-99
81
99
-18
73avg 73
A15/04
Superliga
Peja
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
60avg 73
H18/04
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
L
60-96
60
96
-36
49avg 73
A20/09
Superliga
Bora
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
60avg 73
H27/09
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
86avg 73
A04/10
Superliga
Peja
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 73
H11/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
100-86
100
86
+14
95avg 73
A17/10
Superliga
Trepca
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
59avg 73
A25/10
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
81avg 73
H31/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
W
105-86
105
86
+19
no box
H08/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
28-27
17-30
21-23
18-27
16-28
18-14
18-13
13-27
13-23
17-30
17-16
12-20
21-21
11-15
20-19
23-18
25-25
19-22
21-17
27-20
22-24
20-22
26-13
23-25
29-22
20-20
28-19
12-23
22-31
16-21
21-25
24-24
19-15
20-17
30-23
25-19
28-21
20-21
32-25
169.1Avg total
82.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.585.4169.9-0.962%
Season at home (4)89.279.8169.0+9.575%
Season away (4)79.891.0170.8-11.250%
Last 10 (10)82.786.4169.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)92.886.0178.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.088.5162.5-14.510%
vs Similar (16)82.278.7160.9+3.569%
vs Weaker (4)92.281.8174.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Bora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
67.0%
Under 151.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.75 · main lineActual: Under 156.75
Over 156.75
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under 156.75
no forecast
@ 1.78
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.78
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
43.2%
Under 161.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bora total 76.5Actual: Bora over 76.5
Over 76.5
74.7%
@ 1.36+9.9pp
Under 76.5
25.3%
@ 2.50-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.50
Bora total 80.5 · main lineActual: Bora over 80.5
Over 80.5
60.6%
@ 1.83+9.8pp
Under 80.5
39.4%
@ 1.87-9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Bora total 84.5Actual: Bora under 84.5
Over 84.5
44.9%
@ 2.29+6.8pp
Under 84.5
55.1%
@ 1.41-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Under
1xBet
1.41
Golden Eagle Ylli total 71.5Actual: Golden Eagle Ylli under 71.5
Over 71.5
65.5%
@ 1.39+2.7pp
Under 71.5
34.5%
@ 2.35-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.35
Golden Eagle Ylli total 75.5 · main lineActual: Golden Eagle Ylli under 75.5
Over 75.5
50.3%
@ 1.91+1.8pp
Under 75.5
49.7%
@ 1.80-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.74
Under
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Golden Eagle Ylli total 79.5Actual: Golden Eagle Ylli under 79.5
Over 79.5
35.3%
@ 2.42-0.9pp
Under 79.5
64.7%
@ 1.37+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bora -9Actual: Bora -9
BORA -9
44.5%
GEY +9
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
BORA
No market prices yet.
GEY
No market prices yet.
Spread Bora -6 · main lineActual: Bora -6
BORA -6
56.1%
@ 1.86+6.5pp
GEY +6
43.9%
@ 1.84-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
BORA
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
GEY
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.82
Spread Bora -3Actual: Bora -3
BORA -3
67.3%
GEY +3
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
BORA
No market prices yet.
GEY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
BoraGolden Eagle Ylli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H02/05
Superliga
Bashkimi
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A06/05
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H19/09
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A10/10
Superliga
Trepca
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H24/10
Superliga
Peja
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A01/11
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/11
Superliga
75.6Avg total
41.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.767%60%
Last 30 at home (14)43.534.578.0+9.086%64%
Last 30 away (16)41.138.279.4+2.950%56%
Last 10 (10)41.534.175.6+7.480%40%
Last 5 (5)38.631.870.4+6.880%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.341.682.9-0.330%70%
vs Similar (8)39.837.076.8+2.862%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.731.976.6+12.7100%42%
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peja
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/04
Superliga
Peja
#5
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H18/04
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A20/09
Superliga
Bora
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/09
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/10
Superliga
Peja
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A17/10
Superliga
Trepca
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A25/10
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H31/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H08/11
Superliga
87.4Avg total
41.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)40.642.783.3-2.140%70%
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.482.3-0.547%73%
Last 30 away (15)40.344.184.4-3.733%67%
Last 10 (10)41.545.987.4-4.450%80%
Last 5 (5)46.244.891.0+1.480%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.947.885.7-9.910%80%
vs Similar (16)40.839.179.9+1.756%56%
vs Weaker (4)46.544.591.0+2.050%100%
This opponent (Bora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Golden Eagle Ylli win
BORA win
no forecast
@ 1.58
GEY win
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half Spread Bora -3 · main lineActual: Golden Eagle Ylli +3
BORA -3
no forecast
@ 1.83
GEY +3
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Bora 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Bora under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Golden Eagle Ylli 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Golden Eagle Ylli under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: BORA + total 77.5
BORA & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
BORA & under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half: Draw + total 77.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bora (regulation)
BORA
no forecast
@ 1.64
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
GEY
no forecast
@ 2.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BORA win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
GEY win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BORA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Bora -1.572.1%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+12.4ppWon
Bora (regulation)72.1%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+10.5ppWon
Bora over 76.574.7%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+9.9ppWon
Bora over 77.571.4%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+9.9ppWon
Bora over 75.577.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+9.7ppWon
Bora win74.5%1.37
Bet365
1.50
WilliamHill
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.34
+5.2ppWon
Overtime: no95.7%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+4.4ppWon
Golden Eagle Ylli over 69.572.5%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+3.2ppLost
Golden Eagle Ylli under 81.571.5%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+1.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bora: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.2
52.9%
54.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.5
33.0%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.412.3
63.4%
69.7%12.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden Eagle Yllitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden Eagle Ylli: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.6
55.7%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.4
32.1%
32.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
69.7%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bora
WWWLLWWWLW
Golden Eagle Ylli
WWLWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#4
+2.4
Net rating
-5.0
93.3
Offensive rating
91.7
91.0
Defensive rating
96.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
32.1%
55.4%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 91.7Defence91.0 · 96.8Shooting51.4% · 52.2%3-point %33.0% · 32.1%Ball care14.8% · 17.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bora   ■ Golden Eagle Ylli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bora wins
4
Golden Eagle Ylli wins
Boralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AVellaznimi79-72
01/11/26APeja88-75
24/10/26HSigal Prishtina76-57
18/10/26HTrepca68-79
10/10/26ABashkimi58-78
05/10/26HRahoveci84-65
27/09/26AGolden Eagle Ylli75-64
19/09/26HVellaznimi90-67
06/05/26ABashkimi76-100
02/05/26HBashkimi104-99 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBashkimi105-86
31/10/26HRahoveci93-79
25/10/26ATrepca71-100
17/10/26AVellaznimi100-86
11/10/26HPeja95-79
04/10/26ASigal Prishtina88-82
27/09/26HBora64-75
20/09/26ABashkimi60-96
18/04/26HPeja70-82
15/04/26APeja81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bora
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.279.575.0
Allowed / game69.667.072.2
Point differential+7.6+12.5+2.8
Avg total146.9146.5147.2
Over 156.7525%25%25%
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden Eagle Ylli
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game84.589.279.8
Allowed / game85.479.891.0
Point differential-0.9+9.5-11.2
Avg total169.9169.0170.8
Over 156.7575%75%75%
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trepca86275%89.677.2+12.4
2 Bashkimi86275%87.577.6+9.9
3 Bora86275%77.269.6+7.6
4 Golden Eagle Ylli85362%84.585.4-0.9
5 Sigal Prishtina94544%68.873.3-4.6
6 Peja82625%75.579.4-3.9
7 Rahoveci82625%85.995.8-9.9
8 Vellaznimi92722%78.987.9-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bora1618242381
Golden Eagle Ylli2312171365
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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