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Borac Zemun vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 84-94
22-18 23-27 14-25 25-24
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.0
Borac Zemun
Serbia
Vs
50%
50%
■ BORA 50%■ ZLA 50%
Pythia win probability
Projected 89-89
Projected total 177.5
Zlatibor 🏆
Serbia
Position#9
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.5
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 5· Pinki Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Borac Zemun v Zlatibor
01 Nov 2026
BORA84
ZLA94
17 Apr 2026
BORA76
ZLA72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Borac Zemun host Zlatibor in the First League. Pythia makes Zlatibor the favourite at 50% and projects 89-89, about 177 points in all. On the market's main spread (Borac Zemun +2.5) Pythia gives Borac Zemun 57% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Borac Zemun are 2-2 this season (84.8 scored, 81.0 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Zlatibor are 1-3 this season (91.0 scored, 86.5 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Zemun winLost
49.9%fair 2.00
Best odds2.90
Implied32.5%
Edge+17.4pp
Zlatibor winWon
50.1%fair 2.00
Best odds1.62
Implied67.5%
Edge-17.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Borac ZemunSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZemun
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
89avg 78
H22/03
First League
Vrsac
#15
L
68-99
68
99
-31
58avg 78
A28/03
First League
Tamis
#11
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 78
H04/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 78
A11/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
72avg 78
H17/04
First League
Sloga
#4
L
89-96
89
96
-7
82avg 78
A25/04
First League
Tamis
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
79avg 78
A04/10
First League
Cacak 94
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 78
A12/10
First League
Sloga
#14
L
87-99
87
99
-12
71avg 78
H18/10
First League
Hercegovac
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 78
A25/10
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-20
25-17
20-26
17-21
17-25
16-23
18-30
23-21
11-20
31-22
23-20
16-21
7-16
19-29
24-11
20-31
17-16
17-16
22-9
18-27
28-25
19-25
24-19
24-26
19-16
21-12
22-16
26-23
20-23
22-18
13-20
9-21
26-20
27-29
25-29
19-23
27-18
18-15
21-15
165.3Avg total
81.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.881.0165.8+3.850%
Season at home (1)87.099.0186.0-12.00%
Season away (3)84.075.0159.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)81.583.8165.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.684.0169.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.888.1170.9-5.327%
vs Similar (16)86.987.8174.6-0.962%
vs Weaker (3)87.385.0172.3+2.367%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Sloga
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 87
A03/04
First League
Cacak 94
#12
W
107-106
107
106
+1
108avg 87
H11/04
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 87
A17/04
First League
Hercegovac
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 87
H24/04
First League
Radnicki
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 87
A04/10
First League
KK Nis
#6
W
97-65
97
65
+32
90avg 87
H09/10
First League
Basket Zivinice
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 87
H13/10
ABA League 2
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
74avg 87
A17/10
First League
Tamis
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 87
H23/10
First League
Primorje
#6
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
91avg 87
H28/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-18
23-24
22-13
23-31
26-25
38-29
20-21
31-20
16-17
16-17
9-22
23-17
19-24
27-23
28-28
26-31
20-19
19-24
23-19
28-23
31-9
18-20
20-13
22-16
27-15
17-24
33-25
19-22
26-29
28-22
11-11
29-36
18-20
23-15
18-24
16-23
27-19
20-20
14-15
180.2Avg total
92.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.086.5177.5+4.525%
Season at home (2)92.580.0172.5+12.550%
Season away (2)89.593.0182.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)92.787.5180.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)95.286.2181.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (2)84.077.0161.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.184.1177.1+9.078%
This opponent (Borac Zemun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
73.3%
Under 167
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.25 · main lineActual: Over 172.25
Over 172.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 172.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 177Actual: Over 177
Over 177
50.1%
Under 177
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Borac Zemun total 79Actual: Borac Zemun over 79
Over 79
83.3%
Under 79
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Zemun total 83 · main lineActual: Borac Zemun over 83
Over 83
71.3%
@ 1.73+21.6pp
Under 83
28.7%
@ 1.71-21.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
1.71
Borac Zemun total 87Actual: Borac Zemun under 87
Over 87
56.4%
@ 1.82+9.0pp
Under 87
43.6%
@ 1.64-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.64
Zlatibor total 81.5Actual: Zlatibor over 81.5
Over 81.5
75.5%
@ 1.42+14.0pp
Under 81.5
24.5%
@ 2.27-14.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.27
Zlatibor total 85.5 · main lineActual: Zlatibor over 85.5
Over 85.5
61.9%
@ 1.82+5.9pp
Under 85.5
38.1%
@ 2.29-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.29
Betano
1.82
Zlatibor total 89.5Actual: Zlatibor over 89.5
Over 89.5
46.7%
@ 1.77-2.0pp
Under 89.5
53.3%
@ 1.68+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Under
1xBet
1.68

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Borac Zemun -0.5Actual: Zlatibor +0.5
BORA -0.5
49.9%
ZLA +0.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
BORA
No market prices yet.
ZLA
No market prices yet.
Spread Borac Zemun +2.5 · main lineActual: Zlatibor -2.5
BORA +2.5
57.2%
@ 2.42+7.2pp
ZLA -2.5
42.8%
@ 1.84-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
BORA
1xBet
2.42
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
ZLA
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Betfair
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.80
Spread Borac Zemun +5.5Actual: Zlatibor -5.5
BORA +5.5
67.6%
@ 2.04+22.0pp
ZLA -5.5
32.4%
@ 1.80-22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BORA
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.88
ZLA
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.67

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Borac ZemunZlatibor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Borac ZemunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/03
First League
Vrsac
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/03
First League
Tamis
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A11/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/04
First League
Sloga
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/04
First League
Tamis
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/10
First League
Cacak 94
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A12/10
First League
Sloga
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/10
First League
Hercegovac
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A25/10
First League
82.5Avg total
38.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)42.344.786.9-2.433%47%
Last 30 at home (15)46.144.290.3+1.940%53%
Last 30 away (15)38.545.183.6-6.727%40%
Last 10 (10)38.843.782.5-4.920%40%
Last 5 (5)43.244.487.6-1.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.144.783.8-5.618%36%
vs Similar (16)44.544.989.4-0.438%56%
vs Weaker (3)42.043.085.0-1.067%33%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/04
First League
Cacak 94
#12
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H11/04
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A17/04
First League
Hercegovac
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/04
First League
Radnicki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/10
First League
KK Nis
#6
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H09/10
First League
Basket Zivinice
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/10
ABA League 2
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/10
First League
Tamis
#8
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H23/10
First League
Primorje
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H28/10
ABA League 2
90.5Avg total
46.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)45.240.886.0+4.463%40%
Last 30 at home (15)47.540.287.7+7.373%47%
Last 30 away (15)42.941.384.3+1.653%33%
Last 10 (10)46.943.690.5+3.360%50%
Last 5 (5)48.642.491.0+6.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.051.096.0-6.00%100%
vs Similar (2)41.543.084.5-1.550%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.540.285.7+5.367%37%
This opponent (Borac Zemun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Zlatibor win
BORA win
no forecast
@ 2.12
ZLA win
no forecast
@ 1.68
1st half Spread Borac Zemun +1.5 · main lineActual: Borac Zemun +1.5
BORA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
ZLA -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Over 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Borac Zemun 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Borac Zemun over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Zlatibor 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Zlatibor over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Borac Zemun +0.5Actual: Borac Zemun +0.5
BORA +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
ZLA -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Borac Zemun +2.5Actual: Borac Zemun +2.5
BORA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
ZLA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Zlatibor (regulation)
BORA
no forecast
@ 2.52
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
ZLA
no forecast
@ 1.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BORA win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
ZLA win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BORA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Borac Zemun +9.579.4%1.64
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.44		---+23.7ppLost
Borac Zemun over 8371.3%1.73
1xBet
1.73		----+21.6ppWon
Borac Zemun over 8274.7%1.62
1xBet
1.62		----+21.5ppWon
Borac Zemun +773.1%1.79
Pinnacle
1.80
SBO
1.78		---+21.2ppLost
Borac Zemun +6.570.9%1.83
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.86
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.77		-+21.1ppLost
Borac Zemun over 82.572.3%1.68
1xBet
1.68		----+21.0ppWon
Borac Zemun over 81.575.5%1.58
1xBet
1.58		----+20.7ppWon
Borac Zemun +876.1%1.67
Pinnacle
1.67		----+20.5ppLost
Borac Zemun over 80.578.4%1.50
1xBet
1.50		----+20.4ppWon
Borac Zemun +978.9%1.57
Pinnacle
1.57		----+20.0ppLost
Borac Zemun +7.573.9%1.72
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.72
SBO
1.71
1xBet
1.63		-+19.9ppLost
Borac Zemun over 79.581.2%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+19.9ppWon
Borac Zemun +8.576.8%1.58
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.53		---+19.4ppLost
Borac Zemun over 78.583.7%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+19.2ppWon
Borac Zemun over 77.586.0%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+18.4ppWon
Borac Zemun +10.581.8%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+17.0ppWon
Borac Zemun +11.584.0%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+15.7ppWon
Zlatibor over 81.575.5%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+14.0ppWon
Zlatibor over 80.578.5%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+13.8ppWon
Zlatibor over 82.572.4%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+8.3ppWon
Zlatibor +6.571.0%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+7.5ppWon
Zlatibor under 94.571.3%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+3.9ppWon
Zlatibor under 95.574.4%1.24
1xBet
1.24		----+3.7ppWon
Overtime: no94.5%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.3pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Borac Zemuntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Zemun: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.9
57.8%
55.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.0
32.2%
31.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.313.7
67.5%
70.0%13.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
55.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.5
36.3%
31.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
70.0%18.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Borac Zemun
WLLWLWLWLW
Zlatibor
WLLWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#9
-2.7
Net rating
+5.8
95.8
Offensive rating
106.6
98.5
Defensive rating
100.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.2%
3-point %
36.3%
61.2%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 106.6Defence98.5 · 100.8Shooting53.1% · 56.8%3-point %32.2% · 36.3%Ball care13.9% · 13.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Borac Zemun   ■ Zlatibor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Borac Zemun wins
1
Zlatibor wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Borac Zemun v Zlatibor76-72
04/01/26Zlatibor v Borac Zemun98-91
Borac Zemunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AHercegovac85-71
18/10/26HSloga87-99
12/10/26ACacak 9481-84
04/10/26ATamis86-70
25/04/26ASloga89-96
17/04/26HZlatibor76-72
11/04/26AVojvodina Novi Sad66-77
04/04/26HTamis88-83
28/03/26AVrsac68-99
22/03/26HRadnicki89-87
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPrimorje101-98 OT
23/10/26HTamis88-95
17/10/26ASloboda Uzice91-93 OT
13/10/26HBasket Zivinice99-80
09/10/26HKK Nis97-65
04/10/26ARadnicki88-93
24/04/26HHercegovac97-92
17/04/26ABorac Zemun72-76
11/04/26HCacak 94107-106
03/04/26ASloga87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Borac Zemun
First League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game84.887.084.0
Allowed / game81.099.075.0
Point differential+3.8-12.0+9.0
Avg total165.8186.0159.0
Over 172.2525%100%0%
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zlatibor
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game91.092.589.5
Allowed / game86.580.093.0
Point differential+4.5+12.5-3.5
Avg total177.5172.5182.5
Over 172.2575%50%100%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice550100%89.477.0+12.4
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad440100%81.071.5+9.5
3 Cacak 9454180%88.284.2+4.0
4 Mladost Zemun53260%81.678.0+3.6
5 KK Metalac53260%80.278.0+2.2
6 KK Nis53260%79.680.0-0.4
7 Radnicki53260%87.489.0-1.6
8 Tamis53260%93.094.6-1.6
9 Borac Zemun42250%84.881.0+3.8
10 Kolubara52340%78.278.2+0.0
11 Hercegovac52340%77.878.4-0.6
12 Sloga52340%88.291.6-3.4
13 Zlatibor41325%91.086.5+4.5
14 Dynamic41325%75.582.0-6.5
15 OKK Beograd5050%87.298.0-10.8
16 BKK Radnicki5050%70.683.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Borac Zemun2223142584
Zlatibor1827252494
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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