Brasilia vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 79-77

22-10 10-26 26-21 21-20

Position#5

Record14-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game75.1

Brasilia 🏆

Sorocabana

Position#14

Record4-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.2

Allowed / game77.7

NBBRound 21

Other2016-17

Meetings · Brasilia v Sorocabana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sorocabana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

70-77

-7

A20/12

NBB

Bauru

79-62

+17

A22/12

NBB

Minas

#13

92-79

+13

H07/01

NBB

Macae

#12

74-72

H12/01

NBB

Flamengo

95-83

+12

H14/01

NBB

Vasco

76-85

-9

A19/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#15

81-76

A26/01

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

70-78

-8

H01/02

NBB

Cearense

#11

88-52

+36

H03/02

NBB

Paulistano

85-76

H14/02

NBB

11-18

15-18

29-22

15-19

20-15

22-14

20-17

17-16

21-21

26-18

24-18

21-22

18-11

15-17

17-24

24-20

25-21

21-16

30-26

19-20

16-16

13-24

24-22

23-23

14-18

25-16

22-23

20-19

17-19

15-20

22-15

16-24

25-8

26-16

24-15

13-13

14-17

22-9

17-23

32-27

155.0Avg total

81.0Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.9	75.1	158.0	+7.8	74%
Season at home (11)	86.2	75.2	161.4	+11.0	82%
Season away (8)	78.4	75.0	153.4	+3.4	62%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	74.0	155.0	+7.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	73.4	153.4	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	76.1	87.3	163.4	-11.1	14%
vs Similar (10)	83.6	77.6	161.2	+6.0	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.9	72.6	157.5	+12.3	85%

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sorocabana Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

74-70

H20/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#15

83-70

+13

H22/12

NBB

Paulistano

71-92

-21

H07/01

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

69-74

-5

A11/01

NBB

Cearense

#11

85-86 OT

-1

A13/01

NBB

Mogi

60-90

-30

H25/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

64-74

-10

H27/01

NBB

Franca

68-90

-22

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

55-87

-32

A02/02

NBB

Minas

#13

61-68

-7

A14/02

NBB

20-19

11-17

21-12

22-22

28-20

22-14

12-24

21-12

20-29

14-18

14-23

23-22

13-11

15-24

13-16

28-23

17-21

15-17

20-13

22-23

4-9

16-28

16-26

24-27

15-20

12-11

20-17

17-26

20-23

13-18

11-25

24-24

13-18

14-23

17-25

11-21

13-18

9-8

19-19

20-23

149.1Avg total

69.0Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	70.2	77.7	147.9	-7.5	21%
Season at home (9)	70.9	76.4	147.3	-5.6	33%
Season away (10)	69.6	78.8	148.4	-9.2	10%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	80.1	149.1	-11.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	61.6	81.8	143.4	-20.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	70.3	80.4	150.7	-10.2	17%
vs Similar (7)	75.0	75.0	150.0	+0.0	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaSorocabana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.4	34.5	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.6	32.8	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.7	46%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.9	36.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.8	35.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	17.6	30.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.3	37.7	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.7	36.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	71%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.5	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	18.5	34.7	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.3	18.2	33.5	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	17.8	31.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	17.6	30.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.0	18.9	34.9	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

26-36

-10

A20/12

NBB

Bauru

42-29

+13

A22/12

NBB

Minas

#13

47-39

H07/01

NBB

Macae

#12

33-28

H12/01

NBB

Flamengo

46-37

H14/01

NBB

Vasco

29-40

-11

A19/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#15

39-34

A26/01

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

32-39

-7

H01/02

NBB

Cearense

#11

51-24

+27

H03/02

NBB

Paulistano

36-26

+10

H14/02

NBB

71.3Avg total

38.1Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	36.0	75.5	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	33.9	74.5	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.2	71.3	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	32.6	70.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.4	40.3	79.7	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.7	34.7	72.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.8	34.7	75.5	+6.2	77%	-

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SorocabanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

31-36

-5

H20/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#15

50-34

+16

H22/12

NBB

Paulistano

34-47

-13

H07/01

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

28-35

-7

A11/01

NBB

Cearense

#11

32-38

-6

A13/01

NBB

Mogi

20-37

-17

H25/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

27-31

-4

H27/01

NBB

Franca

33-41

-8

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

27-41

-14

A02/02

NBB

Minas

#13

22-26

-4

A14/02

NBB

67.0Avg total

30.4Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.5	37.3	70.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.1	37.1	70.2	-3.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	37.6	71.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.4	36.6	67.0	-6.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	35.2	61.0	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	32.7	37.5	70.1	-4.8	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.3	36.9	73.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	23.7	42.1	-5.3	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.5	17.9	41.5	+5.6	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.7	37.0	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	18.3	35.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.4	39.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	20.9	40.1	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	23.3	41.6	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.9	22.9	46.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.3	23.1	43.5	-2.8	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.7	84.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.4	83.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	42.0	85.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.8	83.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.8	83.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.7	47.0	83.7	-10.3	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.9	42.9	88.8	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.1	37.9	82.0	+6.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.4	78.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	40.1	77.4	-2.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	42.6	80.2	-5.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	42.3	79.8	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	46.6	82.4	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.1	42.4	79.6	-5.3	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	38.1	76.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Sorocabana wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/16	Sorocabana v Brasilia	66-73
21/02/16	Brasilia v Sorocabana	94-73
17/01/16	Sorocabana v Brasilia	73-93
01/04/15	Sorocabana v Brasilia	91-76
07/01/15	Brasilia v Sorocabana	84-76
08/03/14	Brasilia v Sorocabana	102-65
21/12/13	Sorocabana v Brasilia	83-84 OT
16/02/13	Sorocabana v Brasilia	70-100
21/01/13	Brasilia v Sorocabana	86-75
29/03/12	Sorocabana v Brasilia	87-88

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/17	H	Paulistano	85-76
03/02/17	H	Cearense	88-52
01/02/17	H	Universo/Vitoria	70-78
26/01/17	A	Caxias do Sul	81-76
19/01/17	A	Vasco	76-85
14/01/17	H	Flamengo	95-83
12/01/17	H	Macae	74-72
07/01/17	H	Minas	92-79
22/12/16	A	Bauru	79-62
20/12/16	A	Franca	70-77

Sorocabanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/17	A	Minas	61-68
02/02/17	A	Bauru	55-87
31/01/17	A	Franca	68-90
27/01/17	H	Campo Mourao	64-74
25/01/17	H	Mogi	60-90
13/01/17	A	Cearense	85-86 OT
11/01/17	A	Universo/Vitoria	69-74
07/01/17	H	Paulistano	71-92
22/12/16	H	Caxias do Sul	83-70
20/12/16	H	Vasco	74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	74%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	WLWLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	11	8
Win %	74%	82%	62%
Points / game	82.9	86.2	78.4
Allowed / game	75.1	75.2	75.0
Point differential	+7.8	+11.0	+3.4
Avg total	158.0	161.4	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	55%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sorocabana

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	21%
Home	WWLLL	33%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	21%	33%	10%
Points / game	70.2	70.9	69.6
Allowed / game	77.7	76.4	78.8
Point differential	-7.5	-5.6	-9.2
Avg total	147.9	147.3	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (1)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	19	14	5	74%	87.2	77.9	+9.3
2	Brasilia	19	14	5	74%	82.9	75.1	+7.8
3	Bauru	19	13	6	68%	79.2	73.7	+5.5
4	Mogi	20	13	7	65%	81.3	75.9	+5.4
5	Universo/Vitoria	17	11	6	65%	76.6	74.8	+1.8
6	Franca	18	11	7	61%	78.3	78.8	-0.4
7	Pinheiros	19	11	8	58%	81.6	80.5	+1.2
8	Campo Mourao	19	11	8	58%	77.3	78.4	-1.1
9	Vasco	19	11	8	58%	75.4	77.0	-1.6
10	Paulistano	20	9	11	45%	80.7	78.7	+2.0
11	Cearense	17	7	10	41%	75.0	77.4	-2.4
12	Minas	20	7	13	35%	76.3	79.1	-2.8
13	Sorocabana	19	4	15	21%	70.2	77.7	-7.5
14	Caxias do Sul	19	3	16	16%	71.3	81.9	-10.6
15	Macae	20	3	17	15%	73.8	80.2	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	22	10	26	21	79
Sorocabana	10	26	21	20	77

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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