The B League clash on 9 November 2026 between the Brave Thunders and Altiri Chiba is a finely balanced affair, with no clear favourite as the records and recent form suggest a tight contest. The Thunders have gone 4-10 this season, averaging 79.0 points while conceding 83.9, and have struggled at home, posting a 1-7 record with 76.4 points for and 83.9 against; their last five games yielded only one win. Altiri Chiba, meanwhile, are 5-10 overall, scoring 80.5 and allowing 86.4, and have managed a 3-6 road record with 79.9 points for and 85.1 against, winning two of their last five outings. Their head-to-head history favours them 3-1, though the Thunders secured a 82-74 victory in the most recent meeting on 4 October. Pythia assigns a 48% chance to the Thunders and 52% to Altiri Chiba, with a projected 82-83 score and 165.1 total points; the home line is 3.5 with a 58% probability of covering, and the over/under line is 164.0 with a 52% chance of the over. The game carries a 5% overtime probability, and the Thunders' last win came against Yokohama on 31 October.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 79.0 | 83.9 | 162.9 | -4.9 | 29% |
| Season at home (8) | 76.4 | 83.9 | 160.2 | -7.5 | 12% |
| Season away (6) | 82.5 | 84.0 | 166.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.3 | 81.9 | 161.2 | -2.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 83.0 | 159.0 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 74.3 | 86.4 | 160.7 | -12.1 | 16% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 80.9 | 82.4 | 163.3 | -1.5 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 101.0 | 67.0 | 168.0 | +34.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 80.5 | 86.4 | 166.9 | -5.9 | 33% |
| Season at home (6) | 81.5 | 88.3 | 169.8 | -6.8 | 33% |
| Season away (9) | 79.9 | 85.1 | 165.0 | -5.2 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.8 | 87.6 | 170.4 | -4.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.8 | 88.8 | 176.6 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 74.6 | 89.2 | 163.8 | -14.5 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 80.6 | 83.6 | 164.1 | -3.0 | 36% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.0 | 76.3 | 161.3 | +8.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 42.0 | 81.3 | -2.8 | 23% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 37.5 | 40.1 | 77.5 | -2.6 | 23% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.6 | 43.5 | 84.2 | -2.9 | 24% | 59% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 40.4 | 81.4 | +0.6 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 41.2 | 78.8 | -3.6 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 38.3 | 43.8 | 82.2 | -5.5 | 16% | 42% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 39.4 | 39.7 | 79.1 | -0.3 | 30% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 56.0 | 31.0 | 87.0 | +25.0 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 43.5 | 83.3 | -3.7 | 30% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 39.0 | 42.7 | 81.7 | -3.7 | 38% | 46% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.4 | 44.1 | 84.5 | -3.6 | 24% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.2 | 43.5 | 87.7 | +0.7 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 43.2 | 89.4 | +3.0 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 38.9 | 48.2 | 87.1 | -9.2 | 8% | 62% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 40.0 | 40.9 | 80.9 | -0.9 | 36% | 36% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.7 | 35.3 | 78.0 | +7.3 | 100% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brave Thunders +10.5 | 80.4% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +9.5 | 77.8% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +7 | 71.2% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Lost |
| Brave Thunders +8 | 74.3% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Lost |
| Brave Thunders +7.5 | 72.1% | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.39 | - | - | +10.9pp | Lost |
| Brave Thunders +8.5 | 75.1% | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Brave Thunders +14.5 | 88.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 73.5 | 79.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 75.5 | 73.9% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +11.5 | 82.7% | 1.24 | 1.30 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +19.5 | 94.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 69.5 | 89.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 70.5 | 87.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 76.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.39 | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Altiri Chiba under 94.5 | 86.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 95.5 | 88.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +24.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 71.5 | 84.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 91.5 | 79.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 93.5 | 84.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 97.5 | 92.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 89.5 | 74.1% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 74.5 | 77.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba under 88.5 | 70.9% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +21.5 | 95.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +23.5 | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +18.5 | 94.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 72.5 | 82.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders over 68.5 | 90.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 83.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 98.5 | 93.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +8.5 | 78.5% | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders +16.5 | 91.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +20.5 | 96.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +13.5 | 88.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 93.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 90.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +7.5 | 75.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +6.5 | 72.9% | 1.32 | 1.44 | 1.32 | 1.20 | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 75.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 96.5 | 91.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 82.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 94.5 | 88.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 89.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 97.5 | 92.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 92.5 | 83.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba over 69.5 | 90.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +15.5 | 91.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 91.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 87.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 80.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 73.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba over 73.5 | 81.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 95.5 | 89.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba over 71.5 | 86.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 88.5 | 73.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 72.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 86.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba over 74.5 | 79.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 93.5 | 86.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba over 75.5 | 76.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 79.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 90.5 | 78.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 91.5 | 81.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 70.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Brave Thunders under 89.5 | 76.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Altiri Chiba +10.5 | 83.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.0 | 22.2 | 53.6% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.1 | 7.6 | 32.9% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.1 | 73.8% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.2 | 19.9 | 53.6% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.4 | 10.1 | 32.9% | 30.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.8 | 11.0 | 73.8% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/10/26 | Altiri Chiba v Brave Thunders | 74-82 |
| 03/10/26 | Altiri Chiba v Brave Thunders | 99-90 |
| 09/11/25 | Altiri Chiba v Brave Thunders | 88-76 |
| 08/11/25 | Altiri Chiba v Brave Thunders | 101-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Shiga | 75-81 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Yokohama | 66-77 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 65-75 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 92-89 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Sendai | 82-93 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Osaka | 101-67 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Shimane | 69-80 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 74-82 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Alvark | 82-94 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Akita | 87-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Chiba | 87-89 OT |
| 01/11/26 | A | Akita | 102-83 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Akita | 89-85 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Gunma | 74-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 87-102 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Ryukyu | 65-94 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 82-65 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Hiroshima D. | 71-89 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Toyama | 74-94 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Osaka | 97-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 29% |
| Home | LWLLL | 12% |
| Away | WWLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 8 | 6 |
| Win % | 29% | 12% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.0 | 76.4 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.9 | 83.9 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | -4.9 | -7.5 | -1.5 |
| Avg total | 162.9 | 160.2 | 166.5 |
| Over 164.25 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 7% | 12% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 33% |
| Home | LWLLL | 33% |
| Away | LLWWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 6 | 9 |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Points / game | 80.5 | 81.5 | 79.9 |
| Allowed / game | 86.4 | 88.3 | 85.1 |
| Point differential | -5.9 | -6.8 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 166.9 | 169.8 | 165.0 |
| Over 164.25 | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Win by 10+ | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | - | 33% (3) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 74.2 | +18.4 | |
| 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 93.2 | 82.9 | +10.4 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 90.3 | 80.2 | +10.1 | |
| 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 86.3 | 79.3 | +7.1 | |
| 6 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 82.4 | 73.6 | +8.8 | |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 85.3 | 81.4 | +3.9 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 15 | 10 | 5 | 67% | 89.5 | 79.8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 84.8 | 78.0 | +6.8 | |
| 10 | Levanga Hokkaido | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 97.4 | 95.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.4 | 86.2 | -2.8 | |
| 12 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 84.4 | 82.0 | +2.4 | |
| 13 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 83.8 | 78.9 | +4.9 | |
| 14 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 78.5 | 83.4 | -4.9 | |
| 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 85.6 | 88.8 | -3.2 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 81.1 | 84.6 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 84.4 | 86.6 | -2.2 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 76.7 | 80.3 | -3.5 | |
| 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 91.8 | 96.7 | -4.9 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 81.2 | 82.8 | -1.6 | |
| 21 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 33% | 80.5 | 86.4 | -5.9 | |
| 22 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.0 | 83.9 | -4.9 | |
| 23 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 79.5 | 84.9 | -5.4 | |
| 24 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 82.7 | 90.1 | -7.4 | |
| 25 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 | |
| 26 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 67.9 | 89.9 | -22.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 76 | |
| 16 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 85 |
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