Brown hosts Boston University on 6 November 2026 in an NCAA contest that the Pythia model predicts to be a low-scoring affair, with both teams averaging modest points per game and defensive pressure likely to keep the total under the 152.5-point line. Brown's single game this season ends 0-1, 55.0 points scored and 59.0 points allowed, and the team has lost its last five outings, including a 55-59 defeat to New Hampshire Wildcats at home on 2 November 2026, a 61-82 loss to Penn at home on 6 March 2026 and a 80-86 loss away to Cornell on 28 February 2026. Boston University, meanwhile, stands 1-0 with 93.0 points scored and 85.0 points allowed, winning four of its last five games, including a 93-85 home victory over Northeastern on 2 November 2026, a 60-74 loss to Lehigh away on 11 March 2026 and a 73-72 win over Navy away on 8 March 2026. In the only previous meeting, Boston University beat Brown 90-77 on 12 November 2025. The model favours Brown with a 69% chance of winning, projecting a 75-70 score for a 145.2-point total; Brown's -4.0 line carries a 57% probability of covering, while the over on 152.5 has a 32% chance, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on Brown's defensive play against Boston University's higher-scoring offence.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brown winLost
68.9%fair 1.45
Best odds1.76
Implied55.4%
Edge+13.5pp
Boston University winWon
31.1%fair 3.21
Best odds2.53
Implied44.6%
Edge-13.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
43.8%
@ 1.92-5.5pp
Under 147.5
56.2%
@ 2.72+5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.00
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
32.3%
@ 2.27-17.7pp
Under 152.5
67.7%
@ 2.00+17.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Under
WilliamHill
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.65
Betano
1.55
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
22.5%
@ 2.35-24.3pp
Under 157.5
77.5%
@ 1.83+24.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.35
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Be
1.70
Bet365
1.54
📊 3. Team Totals
Brown total 70.5Actual: Brown under 70.5
Over 70.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
Under 70.5
no forecast
@ 6.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betano
2.87
Brown total 75 · main lineActual: Brown under 75
Over 75
51.5%
@ 1.88+1.9pp
Under 75
48.5%
@ 1.85-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Brown total 79Actual: Brown under 79
Over 79
35.5%
@ 1.88-14.1pp
Under 79
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Boston University total 69Actual: Boston University over 69
Over 69
52.8%
Under 69
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boston University total 73 · main lineActual: Boston University under 73
Over 73
37.0%
@ 1.85-13.3pp
Under 73
63.0%
@ 1.87+13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Boston University total 77Actual: Boston University under 77
Over 77
23.4%
@ 1.85-26.6pp
Under 77
76.6%
@ 1.85+26.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Brown -7Actual: Boston University +7
BROW -7
45.3%
@ 2.40+6.5pp
BOST +7
54.7%
@ 1.52-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
Bet365
2.40
BOST
Bet365
1.52
Spread Brown -4 · main lineActual: Boston University +4
BROW -4
57.2%
@ 1.95+8.7pp
BOST +4
42.8%
@ 1.84-8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.87
BOST
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Spread Brown -1Actual: Boston University +1
BROW -1
68.1%
@ 1.55+8.3pp
BOST +1
31.9%
@ 2.30-8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
Bet365
1.55
BOST
Bet365
2.30
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
BrownBoston University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Boston University win
BROW win
no forecast
@ 1.75
BOST win
no forecast
@ 2.10
2nd half Spread Brown -2.5 · main lineActual: Boston University +2.5
BROW -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
BOST +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Brown 2nd half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Brown under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Boston University 2nd half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Boston University over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Spread Brown -1.5Actual: Boston University +1.5
BROW -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
BOST +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Boston University (regulation)
BROW
no forecast
@ 1.80
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
BOST
no forecast
@ 2.15
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 160
82.2%
1.67
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.38
-
-
+31.0pp
Won
Under 161
83.7%
1.60
1xBet
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.34
-
-
+30.2pp
Won
Under 160.5
82.5%
1.60
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.72
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
+28.9pp
Won
Under 159
80.6%
1.66
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.44
-
-
+28.2pp
Won
Boston University under 77.5
77.3%
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.37
-
+27.3pp
Won
Under 159.5
80.9%
1.60
1xBet
1.80
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.65
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
+27.3pp
Won
Boston University under 77
76.6%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
+26.6pp
Won
Brown under 82.5
76.0%
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.33
-
-
+26.3pp
Won
Under 158.5
79.3%
1.66
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.47
+26.0pp
Won
Under 157
77.1%
1.72
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.74
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Under 158
78.9%
1.65
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+25.1pp
Won
Brown under 82
75.2%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
-
-
+24.9pp
Won
Boston University under 76.5
74.4%
1.77
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.44
-
+24.8pp
Won
Under 157.5
77.5%
1.68
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.54
+24.3pp
Won
Under 161.5
84.0%
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.32
-
+23.9pp
Won
Boston University under 76
73.5%
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Brown under 81.5
72.8%
1.74
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.40
-
+22.8pp
Won
Under 165
88.8%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+22.6pp
Won
Under 156
75.3%
1.72
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.64
-
-
+22.6pp
Won
Under 156.5
75.7%
1.68
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.79
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.58
+22.1pp
Won
Under 165.5
89.0%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Won
Brown under 81
71.8%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
-
-
+21.3pp
Won
Under 155.5
73.8%
1.71
1xBet
1.88
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.66
+21.3pp
Won
Boston University under 75.5
71.2%
1.79
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
Betano
1.53
+21.2pp
Won
Under 162
85.1%
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Won
Under 166
89.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Won
Boston University under 75
70.2%
1.85
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Under 163
86.5%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Under 154.5
71.8%
1.74
1xBet
1.95
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.70
+19.6pp
Won
Under 155
73.3%
1.76
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.66
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
Under 164.5
87.8%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
Under 154
71.2%
1.77
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.74
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Won
Under 163.5
86.6%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Won
Under 166.5
90.0%
1.31
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Won
Under 162.5
85.3%
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.37
-
-
+18.8pp
Won
Brown under 87.5
88.5%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Won
Under 164
87.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Boston University under 79.5
82.6%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Won
Boston University under 80.5
84.9%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+17.2pp
Won
Under 168.5
91.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Brown under 86.5
86.5%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Brown under 85.5
84.2%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
Brown under 84.5
81.7%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Won
Under 173.5
95.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
Brown under 83.5
79.0%
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
94.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Boston University under 78.5
80.0%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Brown +5.5
82.4%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Under 178.5
97.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Brown +2.5
74.8%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Lost
Brown +3.5
77.3%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Lost
Brown +1.5
71.3%
1.47
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Lost
Under 176.5
96.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Brown +6.5
84.6%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Brown +4.5
80.0%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Lost
Under 183.5
98.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Brown +1
70.6%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Lost
Under 181.5
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Brown +4
79.4%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Brown +2
73.9%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Lost
Brown +3
76.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
Brown +15.5
96.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Overtime: no
95.2%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+4.9pp
-
Brown +20.5
98.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Boston University +24.5
94.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Brown +10.5
91.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Boston University +19.5
88.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Boston University +14.5
78.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Boston University +13.5
75.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Boston University +13
75.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Boston University +12
72.3%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Boston University +12.5
73.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Boston University +11.5
70.1%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Boston University over 56.5
90.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Boston University over 57.5
88.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Boston University over 58.5
86.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Boston University over 59.5
84.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.1pp
Won
Boston University over 60.5
81.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Boston University over 61.5
78.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-11.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
79.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
Boston University over 62.5
75.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-13.1pp
Won
Boston University over 63.5
72.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-15.9pp
Won
Over 133.5
75.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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