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Buducnost vs Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-70 (OT)
19-11 12-16 15-21 18-16 17-6
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#8
Record8-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2011
Meetings · Buducnost v Zagreb
14 Jan 2012
BUD81
ZAG70
08 Mar 2011
BUD77
ZAG80
09 Jan 2010
BUD82
ZAG73
26 Feb 2009
BUD76
ZAG67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#24
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A29/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H04/12
ABA League
Belfius Mons
#24
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
H06/12
Eurocup
Vrsac
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A10/12
ABA League
Turow Zgorzelec
#28
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A13/12
Eurocup
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H17/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H20/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H07/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
10-17
11-15
19-18
17-17
22-16
18-20
19-15
9-18
18-18
20-21
22-12
23-20
22-18
20-16
13-23
24-16
13-18
13-17
28-22
18-19
23-21
26-18
14-17
10-20
18-14
18-25
11-13
14-10
19-7
20-18
10-21
23-13
16-12
22-18
20-21
10-19
12-11
18-18
17-15
140.1Avg total
70.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.471.7146.1+2.767%
Season at home (9)77.368.6145.9+8.889%
Season away (6)70.076.5146.5-6.533%
Last 10 (10)70.969.2140.1+1.770%
Last 5 (5)67.866.0133.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.375.0142.3-7.729%
vs Similar (11)74.873.4148.2+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.071.5150.5+7.591%
This opponent (Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZagrebLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#8
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A30/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#11
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H03/12
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A07/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H10/12
ABA League
Unicaja
#27
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#26
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A21/12
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A03/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A07/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H11/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
27-24
13-23
14-23
26-23
20-25
20-16
19-16
23-18
11-25
24-17
16-27
28-19
11-19
19-19
23-17
22-20
17-25
13-20
15-17
17-14
18-22
20-23
27-18
18-28
11-18
21-20
26-21
22-26
19-25
18-21
19-17
20-27
21-29
28-19
16-19
22-10
20-22
25-16
10-19
161.2Avg total
78.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.781.7161.4-2.153%
Season at home (8)80.675.6156.2+5.088%
Season away (7)78.688.7167.3-10.114%
Last 10 (10)78.183.1161.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.086.1159.1-13.129%
vs Similar (8)87.080.6167.6+6.462%
vs Weaker (5)82.873.4156.2+9.4100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
BuducnostZagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#24
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A29/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/12
ABA League
Belfius Mons
#24
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H06/12
Eurocup
Vrsac
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A10/12
ABA League
Turow Zgorzelec
#28
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/12
Eurocup
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H20/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A10/01
ABA League
65.4Avg total
33.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.172.1+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.335.474.8+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.334.769.0-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)33.432.065.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.629.261.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.733.766.4-1.029%-
vs Similar (11)35.536.572.0-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.634.175.7+7.591%-
This opponent (Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/12
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Unicaja
#27
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#26
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/12
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/01
ABA League
83.8Avg total
39.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.141.679.7-3.541%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.776.6-0.957%-
Last 30 away (13)38.344.783.0-6.423%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.383.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.281.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.644.079.6-8.429%-
vs Similar (6)45.041.086.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (4)38.032.270.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Buducnost wins
3
Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
15/10/11Zagreb v Buducnost81-72
08/03/11Buducnost v Zagreb77-80
11/12/10Zagreb v Buducnost75-85
09/01/10Buducnost v Zagreb82-73
13/10/09Zagreb v Buducnost80-75
26/02/09Buducnost v Zagreb76-67
29/11/08Zagreb v Buducnost78-82
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/12ACrvena zvezda57-63
07/01/12HCedevita81-64
25/12/11HPetrol Olimpija63-56
20/12/11HAlba Berlin57-72
17/12/11HZlatorog Lasko81-75
13/12/11ATurow Zgorzelec78-73
10/12/11AVrsac78-77
06/12/11HBelfius Mons85-78 OT
04/12/11HPartizan76-68
29/11/11ABelfius Mons53-66
Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/12HVrsac77-67
07/01/12APartizan85-94
03/01/12ASiroki Brijeg78-89
21/12/11AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
18/12/11HCibona82-77
14/12/11HUnicaja67-82
10/12/11HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-74
07/12/11ACSKA Moscow74-87
03/12/11HKK Krka Novo mesto85-80
30/11/11APanathinaikos76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2011
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%89%33%
Points / game74.477.370.0
Allowed / game71.768.676.5
Point differential+2.7+8.8-6.5
Avg total146.1145.9146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Zagreb
ABA League 2011
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%88%14%
Points / game79.780.678.6
Allowed / game81.775.688.7
Point differential-2.1+5.0-10.1
Avg total161.4156.2167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv1615194%85.669.2+16.4
2 Cedevita1411379%85.673.1+12.4
3 Partizan1511473%80.071.0+9.0
4 Buducnost1510567%74.471.7+2.7
5 Petrol Olimpija159660%76.177.7-1.5
6 Siroki Brijeg158753%77.573.5+3.9
7 Radnicki158753%81.481.9-0.5
8 Zagreb158753%79.781.7-2.1
9 Cibona168850%80.582.8-2.2
10 Crvena zvezda1551033%80.982.0-1.1
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1641225%72.578.0-5.5
12 Vrsac1641225%74.780.2-5.6
13 Helios Domzale1641225%70.882.2-11.4
14 Zlatorog Lasko1521313%69.482.5-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Buducnost191215181781
Zagreb11162116670
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