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Buffalo vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-82
23-44 42-38
Position#362
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#84
Record6-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#380
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
68-102
68
102
-34
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H02/12
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
46-56
44-54
42-38
29-33
27-37
51-42
38-41
26-59
42-43
21-33
39-35
24-47
40-42
24-37
42-44
21-39
44-41
26-35
33-37
152.8Avg total
69.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.181.9150.0-13.811%
Season at home (5)72.885.4158.2-12.620%
Season away (4)62.277.5139.8-15.20%
Last 10 (10)69.083.8152.8-14.810%
Last 5 (5)62.878.0140.8-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.882.1150.9-13.211%
vs Similar (6)80.275.2155.3+5.067%
vs Weaker (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#459
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Canisius
#264
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H25/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H26/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#449
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-30
31-45
37-31
53-33
29-27
32-44
43-34
43-47
57-43
38-32
37-30
35-35
37-33
40-52
38-31
29-46
52-33
49-44
36-43
43-26
151.8Avg total
77.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.973.8154.7+7.167%
Season at home (6)84.874.5159.3+10.367%
Season away (3)73.072.3145.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)77.973.9151.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.372.6131.9-13.314%
vs Similar (15)72.872.2145.0+0.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.075.0154.0+4.067%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.7-12.71st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -12.7-12.71st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
BuffaloWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#380
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
26-59
26
59
-33
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H02/12
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
29.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.072.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.876.3+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)31.338.269.5-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)29.742.472.1-12.710%-
Last 5 (5)23.238.261.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.740.971.6-10.217%-
vs Similar (6)38.033.871.8+4.250%-
vs Weaker (4)37.232.269.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#459
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#457
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#449
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
38.6Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.267.7+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.434.972.3+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)31.131.262.4-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.572.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.074.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.633.159.7-6.614%-
vs Similar (15)34.433.567.9+0.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.532.873.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buffalo wins
0
Western Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
09/12/21Western Kentucky v Buffalo67-77
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AButler59-72
02/12/23HSt. Bonaventure65-80
30/11/23AJames Madison66-81
22/11/23AIona64-89
21/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette60-68
21/11/23HHofstra68-102
16/11/23HRoberts Wesleyan89-83
11/11/23HSouth Alabama56-70
07/11/23HFairleigh Dickinson86-92
09/03/23AAkron77-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HEastern Kentucky79-69
30/11/23HCampbellsville101-77
26/11/23HUNC Asheville67-77
25/11/23HCanisius77-85
25/11/23ABowling Green72-65
19/11/23HKentucky State95-75
15/11/23AMurray State86-81
10/11/23AWichita State61-71
07/11/23HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers90-64
09/03/23AFlorida Atlantic51-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game68.172.862.2
Allowed / game81.985.477.5
Point differential-13.8-12.6-15.2
Avg total150.0158.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.984.873.0
Allowed / game73.874.572.3
Point differential+7.1+10.3+0.7
Avg total154.7159.3145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State97278%75.864.2+11.6
2 UMass75271%83.772.0+11.7
3 Kent State96367%84.472.0+12.4
4 Akron85362%75.265.5+9.8
5 Ohio85362%79.974.9+5.0
6 Northern Illinois85362%82.480.0+2.4
7 Bowling Green85362%69.867.5+2.2
8 Miami (Ohio)74357%71.768.3+3.4
9 Eastern Michigan95456%66.973.4-6.6
10 Toledo84450%79.276.8+2.5
11 Central Michigan83538%65.175.2-10.1
12 Western Michigan92722%65.072.1-7.1
13 Buffalo91811%68.181.9-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty97278%79.362.6+16.8
2 Louisiana Tech97278%75.360.6+14.8
3 UTEP96367%81.968.1+13.8
4 Kennesaw State96367%85.777.0+8.7
5 Delaware96367%77.470.1+7.3
6 Western Kentucky96367%80.973.8+7.1
7 Missouri State96367%74.269.0+5.2
8 Sam Houston St.95456%75.272.7+2.6
9 Middle Tenn. St.105550%66.266.1+0.1
10 Jacksonville State104640%67.461.5+5.9
11 New Mexico State104640%71.874.7-2.9
12 Florida International103730%72.075.6-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo234265
Western Kentucky443882
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