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Bursaspor vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-69
19-20 17-18 26-9 22-22
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 4· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bursaspor v Manisa
18 Oct 2025
BUR84
MAI69
25 Jan 2025
BUR80
MAI96
14 Apr 2024
BUR102
MAI94
16 Dec 2022
BUR96
MAI85
22 Dec 2018
BUR94
MAI81
25 Sep 2018
BUR80
MAI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
96avg 78
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
60avg 78
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#43
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 78
H19/09
Champions League
PAOK
#20
W
92-73
92
73
+19
91avg 78
H21/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 78
A23/09
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 78
A29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
73-93
73
93
-20
64avg 78
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 78
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 78
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 78
H14/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
14-25
28-18
25-25
21-12
10-21
19-15
20-26
21-14
21-19
19-17
20-24
30-9
24-17
20-20
18-27
20-20
21-8
20-13
16-17
18-19
17-23
14-10
16-23
15-24
22-18
17-23
19-28
16-16
26-17
17-29
15-22
19-17
24-21
14-28
28-13
23-20
14-18
17-22
18-24
156.4Avg total
78.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.382.3156.7-8.033%
Season at home (1)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
Season away (2)75.077.0152.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.478.0156.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)73.883.0156.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.492.9174.2-11.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.185.8168.9-2.737%
vs Weaker (2)99.584.0183.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
90-109
90
109
-19
90avg 80
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
78-92
78
92
-14
52avg 80
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 80
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 80
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 80
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
107-84
107
84
+23
98avg 80
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 80
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 80
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
89-69
89
69
+20
88avg 80
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
75-95
75
95
-20
66avg 80
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
19-32
25-26
23-23
22-26
17-28
18-14
21-24
35-18
26-15
16-14
23-32
20-24
24-19
21-16
15-23
25-23
26-16
29-16
14-20
28-25
27-23
21-24
31-12
34-26
28-28
20-18
25-17
14-19
15-22
21-24
18-22
25-17
19-16
21-20
24-16
21-21
20-25
12-28
22-21
174.9Avg total
88.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.383.7161.0-6.333%
Season at home (2)71.591.0162.5-19.50%
Season away (1)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.886.1174.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)89.284.8174.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.090.2172.2-8.218%
vs Similar ◀ (13)93.291.2184.5+2.054%
vs Weaker (6)88.383.8172.2+4.567%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
BursasporManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#43
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H19/09
Champions League
PAOK
#20
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H21/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A23/09
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/10
Champions League
76.0Avg total
40.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.482.8+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.942.685.5+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.079.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.676.0+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.677.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.144.584.6-4.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.341.282.5+0.242%-
vs Weaker (2)47.035.582.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.9Avg total
46.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.645.690.2-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.845.590.3-0.731%-
Last 30 away (14)44.345.890.1-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)46.845.191.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.244.490.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.644.587.1-1.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.847.894.6-0.931%-
vs Weaker (6)43.243.286.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.2
50.6%
54.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
35.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
76.0%14.4
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.6
52.6%
54.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.0
31.0%
35.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.517.5
74.5%
76.0%17.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LWLLLWWWLW
Manisa
LWLWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#11
+1.8
Net rating
-9.9
102.7
Offensive rating
107.5
100.9
Defensive rating
117.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
31.0%
66.5%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 107.5Defence100.9 · 117.4Shooting51.4% · 50.4%3-point %35.1% · 31.0%Ball care20.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bursaspor wins
2
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Bursaspor v Manisa80-96
05/10/24Manisa v Bursaspor73-81
14/04/24Bursaspor v Manisa102-94 OT
17/12/23Manisa v Bursaspor98-95
22/04/23Manisa v Bursaspor82-87
16/12/22Bursaspor v Manisa96-85
06/04/19Manisa v Bursaspor77-81
22/12/18Bursaspor v Manisa94-81
25/09/18Bursaspor v Manisa80-79
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HCholet72-84
11/10/25ATrabzonspor85-79
08/10/25AHapoel Holon74-84
05/10/25HAnadolu Efes73-93
29/09/25AMerkezefendi65-75
23/09/25AAntwerp Giants77-58
21/09/25HPAOK92-73
19/09/25HBasketball Braunschweig81-74
24/05/25HTurk Telekom70-74
17/05/25APetkim Spor95-86
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/25HEsenler Erokspor75-95
05/10/25ABuyukcekmece89-69
28/09/25HMersin SK68-87
18/05/25HYalovaspor107-89
10/05/25ABuyukcekmece107-84
02/05/25HGalatasaray94-75
26/04/25ABesiktas80-82
19/04/25HKarsiyaka100-79
13/04/25AMerkezefendi78-92
05/04/25HBahcesehir Kol.90-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.373.075.0
Allowed / game82.393.077.0
Point differential-8.0-20.0-2.0
Avg total156.7166.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game77.371.589.0
Allowed / game83.791.069.0
Point differential-6.3-19.5+20.0
Avg total161.0162.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes330100%91.073.7+17.3
2 Besiktas440100%90.078.5+11.5
3 Bahcesehir Kol.440100%90.883.5+7.2
4 Fenerbahce32167%90.078.7+11.3
5 Trabzonspor32167%81.776.0+5.7
6 Tofas32167%85.381.3+4.0
7 Galatasaray32167%86.386.3+0.0
8 Mersin SK31233%80.779.7+1.0
9 Merkezefendi31233%72.077.0-5.0
10 Karsiyaka31233%74.080.3-6.3
11 Manisa31233%77.383.7-6.3
12 Bursaspor31233%74.382.3-8.0
13 Turk Telekom41325%82.081.2+0.8
14 Esenler Erokspor41325%79.580.2-0.8
15 Petkim Spor41325%76.085.8-9.8
16 Buyukcekmece4040%75.594.8-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor1917262284
Manisa201892269
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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