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Butler vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-39
37-31 41-8
Position#266
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game67.0
Butler 🏆
USA
vs
Position#164
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.8
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#108
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A25/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H29/02
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A02/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#16
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H20/03
NIT
Missouri State
#334
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-37
0-0
32-39
0-0
33-39
0-0
26-43
0-0
45-27
0-0
37-36
0-0
37-24
0-0
35-42
0-0
31-32
0-0
41-44
0-0
38-36
0-0
34-37
0-0
39-36
0-0
33-29
0-0
34-39
0-0
32-29
0-0
39-37
0-0
46-28
0-0
36-33
0-0
45-37
142.9Avg total
72.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.067.0143.0+9.075%
Season at home (4)76.067.0143.0+9.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.570.4142.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)75.268.2143.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.478.0152.4-3.643%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.776.8150.5-3.140%
vs Weaker (6)81.567.0148.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H23/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A02/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
38-35
34-24
40-31
42-41
43-48
43-39
29-27
28-20
33-31
25-29
22-25
28-22
37-29
17-38
25-25
35-33
22-35
30-37
33-37
126.8Avg total
63.7Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)56.864.0120.8-7.225%
Season at home (2)61.059.5120.5+1.550%
Season away (2)52.568.5121.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)63.763.1126.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)54.862.0116.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.065.5123.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.264.4128.6-0.244%
vs Weaker (12)72.462.9135.3+9.592%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
ButlerMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#108
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H29/02
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/03
NIT
Missouri State
#334
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
36.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.435.071.5+1.452%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.733.169.8+3.668%-
Last 30 away (10)35.938.774.6-2.820%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.070.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.036.471.4-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.137.372.4-2.333%-
vs Weaker (5)40.227.267.4+13.0100%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.829.661.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.228.262.4+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)29.131.260.3-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.530.862.3+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)27.031.858.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.533.057.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.029.660.6+1.462%-
vs Weaker (12)34.129.063.1+5.167%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Butler wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HSMU Mustangs81-70
12/11/24HWestern Michigan85-65
08/11/24HAustin Peay66-68
04/11/24HMissouri State72-65
20/03/24HMinnesota72-73
13/03/24HXavier72-76
07/03/24HXavier72-66
02/03/24ADePaul82-63
29/02/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)59-82
25/02/24ASeton Hall64-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24ARutgers63-74
17/11/24HPrinceton57-68
14/11/24AVCU Rams42-63
10/11/24HVermont65-51
12/03/24HWagner47-54
09/03/24HLe Moyne61-51
07/03/24HLIU Sharks72-66
02/03/24ASacred Heart85-89
01/03/24AFairleigh Dickinson74-55
23/02/24HSt. Francis (PA)71-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game56.861.052.5
Allowed / game64.059.568.5
Point differential-7.2+1.5-16.0
Avg total120.8120.5121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn440100%88.851.0+37.8
2 Creighton440100%88.063.8+24.2
3 DePaul550100%85.865.6+20.2
4 Marquette550100%81.663.8+17.8
5 Xavier660100%80.562.8+17.7
6 Providence550100%70.453.6+16.8
7 St. John's (N.Y.)54180%87.469.6+17.8
8 Butler43175%76.067.0+9.0
9 Georgetown43175%74.067.2+6.8
10 Villanova63350%79.268.2+11.0
11 Seton Hall63350%57.354.8+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist43175%77.875.2+2.5
2 Quinnipiac53260%67.669.8-2.2
3 Siena53260%70.275.0-4.8
4 Rider53260%66.073.4-7.4
5 Manhattan42250%74.277.8-3.5
6 Mount St. Mary's63350%68.079.2-11.2
7 St. Peters52340%75.465.0+10.4
8 Fairfield52340%66.266.4-0.2
9 Sacred Heart72529%70.677.4-6.9
10 Merrimack Warriors41325%56.864.0-7.2
11 Niagara51420%75.879.4-3.6
12 Iona51420%63.876.0-12.2
13 Canisius6060%59.786.3-26.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler374178
Merrimack Warriors31839
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