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Caceres vs Ponferrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-60
24-8 21-11 23-20 18-21
Position#13
Record7-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#14
Record10-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game76.7
SpainSegunda FEBRound 16
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caceres v Ponferrada
31 Jan 2026
CACE86
PONF60
05 Apr 2025
CACE87
PONF81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caceres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ponferrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
108-64
108
64
+44
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A14/12
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A20/12
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
H03/01
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A18/01
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
29-20
17-19
25-29
21-21
21-16
19-21
27-21
11-17
17-21
18-10
16-19
30-20
25-14
26-18
27-12
15-18
11-19
16-31
25-10
23-22
16-7
24-20
24-13
23-32
19-20
18-22
20-20
22-24
18-15
25-21
21-26
31-15
17-17
27-24
24-21
29-18
25-20
21-25
27-31
166.8Avg total
87.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.877.1158.9+4.747%
Season at home (7)73.778.6152.3-4.914%
Season away (8)88.975.8164.6+13.175%
Last 10 (10)87.279.6166.8+7.650%
Last 5 (5)92.684.6177.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.769.0129.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.378.5154.8-2.229%
vs Weaker (10)84.474.4158.8+10.070%
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leonesa
#19
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A09/11
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H16/11
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A07/12
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H20/12
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/01
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
25-29
20-31
24-25
21-21
20-21
29-15
19-10
21-27
22-23
22-15
23-13
19-20
18-16
31-27
27-25
19-20
19-12
11-18
17-10
21-26
7-16
26-24
10-14
11-23
8-20
22-22
20-12
20-15
16-19
11-18
23-10
21-15
19-21
24-27
8-14
17-19
17-21
24-18
24-16
154.2Avg total
78.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.476.7156.1+2.767%
Season at home (8)81.173.4154.5+7.888%
Season away (7)77.480.4157.9-3.043%
Last 10 (10)78.076.2154.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)69.874.0143.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.572.5161.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.077.6155.6+0.456%
vs Weaker (10)78.971.2150.1+7.780%
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
CaceresPonferrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A14/12
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A20/12
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/01
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H11/01
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/01
Segunda FEB
78.9Avg total
41.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.075.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.837.372.1-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.778.1+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.378.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.082.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.736.366.0-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.039.575.5-3.535%-
vs Weaker (10)41.136.077.1+5.170%-
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leonesa
#19
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A09/11
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H16/11
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/12
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H20/12
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/01
Segunda FEB
76.3Avg total
36.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.475.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.774.9-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.176.5+2.473%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.876.3-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.070.4-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.738.275.9-0.544%-
vs Weaker (10)38.834.172.9+4.780%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Caceres wins
1
Ponferrada wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Ponferrada v Caceres89-77
05/04/25Caceres v Ponferrada87-81
15/12/24Ponferrada v Caceres64-66
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ALeonesa102-94
11/01/26HValle de Egues99-77
03/01/26HToledo95-96 OT
20/12/25ACBC Valladolid80-94
14/12/25ACordoba87-62
10/12/25HClavijo67-78
06/12/25AGijon108-64
22/11/25HMoron62-67
16/11/25ALogrono88-79
08/11/25HIraurgi SB84-85
Ponferradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HCordoba82-74
11/01/26AClavijo72-77
03/01/26AGijon70-62
20/12/25HMoron61-77
14/12/25ALogrono64-80
10/12/25HIraurgi SB66-60
07/12/25AJaen95-88
22/11/25HCaja 8788-78
16/11/25HCBC Valladolid89-67
09/11/25ALeonesa93-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caceres
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%14%75%
Points / game81.873.788.9
Allowed / game77.178.675.8
Point differential+4.7-4.9+13.1
Avg total158.9152.3164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Ponferrada
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game79.481.177.4
Allowed / game76.773.480.4
Point differential+2.7+7.8-3.0
Avg total156.1154.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Castello1512380%83.174.7+8.4
2 Caja 871511473%79.170.3+8.7
3 Gandia1511473%87.378.9+8.4
4 CBC Valladolid1511473%84.978.5+6.5
5 Sant Antoni1511473%82.075.6+6.4
6 Albacete1511473%83.978.2+5.7
7 Cordoba1511473%76.872.1+4.7
8 Iraurgi SB1510567%78.772.8+5.9
9 Ponferrada1510567%79.476.7+2.7
10 Spanish Basketball Academy159660%80.275.9+4.3
11 Huesca159660%84.581.8+2.7
12 Moron169756%78.176.1+2.0
13 Toledo158753%83.978.3+5.6
14 Clavijo158753%77.576.3+1.3
15 Lliria168850%77.877.9-0.2
16 Caceres157847%81.877.1+4.7
17 CB Zaragoza157847%82.979.6+3.3
18 CB Getafe157847%84.981.9+3.1
19 Benicarlo157847%78.178.9-0.8
20 Leonesa156940%83.986.8-2.9
21 Sol Girones Bisbal1661038%71.378.6-7.3
22 Logrono1651131%74.779.9-5.2
23 Valle de Egues1541127%75.287.5-12.3
24 Gijon1531220%78.586.7-8.1
25 Molina Basket1531220%76.287.8-11.6
26 Jaen1531220%72.886.2-13.4
27 Mataro1631319%75.184.6-9.5
28 Salou1631319%72.183.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caceres2421231886
Ponferrada811202160
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