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Cairns Marlins vs Darwin Salties Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 74-103
18-28 20-26 16-26 20-23
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game93.3
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Darwin Salties
03 May 2024
CAIR74
DARW103
28 Apr 2023
CAIR90
DARW73
21 May 2022
CAIR108
DARW99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darwin Salties winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#2
L
68-108
68
108
-40
A17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A18/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
110-93
110
93
+17
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H07/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
123-102
123
102
+21
H15/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A22/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A13/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H20/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A27/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-36
16-24
16-25
41-21
30-28
24-25
16-24
21-22
35-24
22-24
32-23
39-20
18-37
23-20
11-13
19-24
18-22
36-20
13-22
29-30
32-26
30-23
32-23
18-23
26-25
12-20
36-31
20-26
28-14
12-20
30-17
33-20
26-21
26-17
19-28
23-27
12-16
16-24
15-22
187.1Avg total
94.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.784.0170.7+2.767%
Season at home (1)104.086.0190.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)94.193.0187.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)95.090.6185.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)91.893.7185.5-1.960%
vs Similar (14)83.590.1173.6-6.643%
vs Weaker (6)95.282.0177.2+13.283%
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Darwin SaltiesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A11/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H24/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
117-93
117
93
+24
A30/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
105-106
105
106
-1
A01/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
A02/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
107-87
107
87
+20
H08/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H13/04
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H20/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
115-97
115
97
+18
H27/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
21-23
19-17
24-25
29-25
24-21
20-30
21-16
29-22
31-24
27-15
30-32
22-25
21-25
30-26
32-30
19-22
16-26
18-30
22-19
27-24
30-16
29-24
21-23
16-25
24-21
8-17
18-18
26-20
14-28
20-12
17-30
32-21
26-30
26-26
17-16
29-27
28-23
25-23
33-24
187.3Avg total
93.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.793.3191.0+4.367%
Season at home (3)97.793.3191.0+4.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.993.4187.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)93.289.6182.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.390.8179.2-2.533%
vs Similar (12)99.294.7193.8+4.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)95.292.2187.5+3.058%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Cairns MarlinsDarwin Salties
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#2
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A18/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H15/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H20/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/04
NBL1 North
98.9Avg total
50.4Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.189.5-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.545.093.5+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)41.245.286.4-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)50.448.598.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.695.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)47.150.197.2-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.442.283.6-0.943%-
vs Weaker (6)47.043.590.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Darwin SaltiesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A11/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H24/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A30/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H08/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A22/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H13/04
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H20/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H27/04
NBL1 North
96.3Avg total
48.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.446.696.0+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.245.398.5+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)46.147.793.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)48.248.196.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.447.097.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.844.589.3+0.350%-
vs Similar (12)50.246.096.2+4.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.848.299.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cairns Marlins wins
1
Darwin Salties wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ATownsville Heat66-89
20/04/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks104-86
13/04/24ADarwin Salties90-77
22/07/23AIpswich Force92-99
15/07/23HUSC Rip City123-102
07/07/23HNorthside Wizards86-88
01/07/23HRockhampton Rockets91-90
24/06/23HTownsville Heat110-93
18/06/23AIpswich Force111-98
17/06/23ALogan Thunder68-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HGold Coast Rollers115-97
20/04/24HLogan Thunder101-93
13/04/24HCairns Marlins77-90
22/07/23ALogan Thunder66-81
08/07/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix107-87
02/07/23ALogan Thunder75-97
01/07/23AIpswich Force105-106
30/06/23ARed City Roar117-93
24/06/23HNorthside Wizards94-92
11/06/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks82-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.7104.078.0
Allowed / game84.086.083.0
Point differential+2.7+18.0-5.0
Avg total170.7190.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darwin Salties
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game97.797.7-
Allowed / game93.393.3-
Point differential+4.3+4.3-
Avg total191.0191.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors330100%100.388.0+12.3
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix43175%82.279.0+3.2
3 Logan Thunder32167%96.380.3+16.0
4 Darwin Salties32167%97.793.3+4.3
5 Cairns Marlins32167%86.784.0+2.7
6 South West Metro Pirates32167%97.7100.3-2.7
7 Gold Coast Rollers42250%102.099.2+2.8
8 Townsville Heat42250%93.090.8+2.2
9 Northside Wizards42250%83.584.0-0.5
10 Ipswich Force42250%88.891.8-3.0
11 Southern District41325%78.581.0-2.5
12 Brisbane Capitals41325%86.893.5-6.8
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks41325%83.899.2-15.5
14 Rockhampton Rockets3030%94.3100.3-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins1820162074
Darwin Salties28262623103
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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