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Cairns Marlins vs Red City Roar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 109-81
28-19 24-13 30-21 27-28
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#14
Record4-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game89.5
AustraliaNBL1 NorthRound 12
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Red City Roar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#16
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H14/05
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H21/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H28/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H03/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H10/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A17/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
W
118-81
118
81
+37
A25/06
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A01/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A02/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H09/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
25-21
18-21
17-19
28-18
34-21
21-33
25-27
17-25
29-20
34-28
23-24
24-23
28-23
20-21
20-20
13-23
26-16
15-22
27-23
13-16
26-25
20-23
25-27
28-10
24-28
36-22
30-21
17-20
29-35
23-15
24-17
20-25
20-22
22-18
31-20
25-14
22-27
26-23
17-15
183.5Avg total
95.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.688.2180.8+4.462%
Season at home (7)93.188.3181.4+4.971%
Season away (6)92.088.2180.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)95.288.3183.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)95.684.6180.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.882.7166.5+1.233%
vs Similar (16)88.185.9174.0+2.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.681.1171.8+9.562%
This opponent (Red City Roar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Red City RoarAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#15
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H21/05
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
L
66-108
66
108
-42
A28/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
91-98
91
98
-7
H11/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A18/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#11
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H19/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H01/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
107-101
107
101
+6
A02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H08/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A09/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
24-25
21-21
22-21
13-26
14-36
18-24
21-22
22-21
16-24
27-31
26-22
13-16
21-23
26-24
13-23
18-27
17-24
21-30
23-19
15-16
17-18
29-21
24-31
11-15
18-17
21-13
16-24
16-15
37-33
27-25
27-28
21-18
31-22
22-22
28-16
19-31
18-25
20-22
25-24
175.6Avg total
84.3Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.889.5173.4-5.731%
Season at home (7)86.785.3172.0+1.443%
Season away (6)80.594.5175.0-14.017%
Last 10 (10)84.391.3175.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)88.487.2175.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)83.395.8179.1-12.415%
vs Similar (2)99.591.0190.5+8.5100%
vs Weaker (2)97.081.5178.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
Cairns MarlinsRed City Roar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H14/05
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H21/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H03/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A25/06
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A01/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/07
NBL1 North
90.1Avg total
46.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.386.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.942.889.7+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.883.5-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.290.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.341.284.5+2.250%-
vs Similar (16)43.343.686.9-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.440.586.9+5.988%-
This opponent (Red City Roar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Red City RoarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/05
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A28/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#11
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H01/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A09/07
NBL1 North
83.6Avg total
38.6Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.945.386.2-4.529%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.441.784.1+0.738%-
Last 30 away (11)39.149.688.7-10.518%-
Last 10 (10)38.645.083.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.946.185.0-7.315%-
vs Similar (2)51.541.092.5+10.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)50.541.592.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cairns Marlins wins
0
Red City Roar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/22HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks90-79
02/07/22AUSC Rip City93-85
01/07/22ASuncoast Clippers93-87
25/06/22ATownsville Heat118-81
17/06/22ADarwin Salties84-91
10/06/22HLogan Thunder81-84
03/06/22HGold Coast Rollers92-87
28/05/22HRockhampton Rockets103-97
21/05/22HDarwin Salties108-99
14/05/22HSouth West Metro Pirates90-93 OT
Red City Roarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/22AUSC Rip City82-102
08/07/22HSouth West Metro Pirates102-78
02/07/22ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks107-101
01/07/22HNorthside Wizards66-69
25/06/22HIpswich Force85-86
19/06/22HBrisbane Capitals79-100
18/06/22AGold Coast Rollers73-86
11/06/22HMackay Meteors91-98
28/05/22ASuncoast Clippers66-108
21/05/22HSouthern District92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game92.693.192.0
Allowed / game88.288.388.2
Point differential+4.4+4.9+3.8
Avg total180.8181.4180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Red City Roar
NBL1 North 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL31%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game83.886.780.5
Allowed / game89.585.394.5
Point differential-5.7+1.4-14.0
Avg total173.4172.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gold Coast Rollers1411379%94.986.4+8.5
2 Mackay Meteors1410471%87.480.6+6.8
3 Darwin Salties139469%91.588.5+2.9
4 USC Rip City128467%94.887.2+7.7
5 Logan Thunder138562%94.089.2+4.8
6 Cairns Marlins138562%92.688.2+4.4
7 Northside Wizards127558%89.286.4+2.8
8 Brisbane Capitals158753%89.284.3+4.9
9 Ipswich Force158753%88.485.6+2.8
10 Suncoast Clippers147750%90.385.2+5.1
11 Rockhampton Rockets146843%91.692.3-0.7
12 Townsville Heat145936%86.890.2-3.4
13 South West Metro Pirates124833%81.793.5-11.8
14 Red City Roar134931%83.889.5-5.7
15 North Gold Coast Seahawks1441029%88.596.6-8.1
16 Southern District141137%82.6103.8-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins28243027109
Red City Roar1913212881
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