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Cal Poly vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 72-49
35-31 37-18
Position#355
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game64.9
vs
Position#283
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#125
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#478
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H08/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
L
43-80
43
80
-37
A19/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#282
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H21/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H24/11
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A29/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
33-29
30-38
50-38
24-27
29-36
51-21
43-38
27-24
21-36
19-47
24-33
26-30
42-43
39-36
43-35
23-32
39-26
32-32
32-21
130.6Avg total
65.9Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.964.9130.7+1.057%
Season at home (4)77.064.0141.0+13.075%
Season away (3)51.066.0117.0-15.033%
Last 10 (10)65.964.7130.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)63.867.0130.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)59.566.7126.2-7.232%
vs Similar (7)64.368.4132.7-4.129%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#152
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#683
W
113-40
113
40
+73
H17/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A25/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Portland Bible
#689
W
114-31
114
31
+83
H01/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
39-54
42-42
49-56
34-43
37-40
44-19
69-21
37-33
42-33
31-55
47-47
36-53
35-36
45-34
38-37
63-9
51-22
30-29
38-35
157.7Avg total
84.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.371.6156.9+13.856%
Season at home (5)89.859.0148.8+30.880%
Season away (4)79.887.2167.0-7.525%
Last 10 (10)84.773.0157.7+11.750%
Last 5 (5)82.871.4154.2+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.981.5156.4-6.625%
vs Similar (10)76.780.3157.0-3.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.468.0144.4+8.490%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
Cal PolyPortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#125
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Bethesda
#478
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H08/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A11/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A19/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#282
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A29/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H04/12
NCAA
61.5Avg total
30.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.031.560.5-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.430.862.2+0.633%-
Last 30 away (18)27.431.959.3-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.331.261.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)27.835.463.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.432.360.6-3.932%-
vs Similar (7)28.030.458.4-2.429%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#152
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/03
NCAA
Portland
#263
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#683
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H17/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Portland Bible
#689
W
63-9
63
9
+54
H01/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H03/12
NCAA
75.1Avg total
40.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.471.2+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.230.967.1+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.538.475.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.975.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.238.972.1-5.625%-
vs Similar (10)36.635.472.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.533.970.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
0
Portland State wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21Portland State v Cal Poly58-61
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HCalifornia Baptist64-53
29/11/22APacific62-58
24/11/22HIdaho82-71
21/11/22HMount St. Mary's68-73
19/11/22AStanford43-80
11/11/22ASan Francisco48-60
08/11/22HBethesda94-59
09/03/22AUC Davis53-63
06/03/22HUC San Diego80-76
04/03/22HUC Irvine65-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HAir Force68-64
01/12/22HPortland Bible114-31
28/11/22HOregon State83-71
26/11/22HWest Virginia71-89
25/11/22AGonzaga78-102
20/11/22AOregon State79-66
17/11/22HEvergreen State113-40
13/11/22ASeattle71-83
12/11/22APortland91-98
12/03/22ANorthern Colorado79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game65.977.051.0
Allowed / game64.964.066.0
Point differential+1.0+13.0-15.0
Avg total130.7141.0117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portland State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.389.879.8
Allowed / game71.659.087.2
Point differential+13.8+30.8-7.5
Avg total156.9148.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara86275%71.065.0+6.0
2 UC Irvine107370%80.163.5+16.6
3 UC Davis96367%78.772.2+6.4
4 UC Riverside85362%72.866.4+6.4
5 Hawaii74357%65.960.4+5.4
6 Cal Poly74357%65.964.9+1.0
7 UC San Diego84450%66.971.5-4.6
8 CSU Bakersfield94544%61.158.8+2.3
9 Long Beach State94544%71.671.3+0.2
10 CS Fullerton104640%68.672.3-3.7
11 CS Northridge82625%68.863.0+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State95456%85.371.6+13.8
2 Montana State116555%72.968.5+4.4
3 Montana105550%66.566.5+0.0
4 Sacramento State105550%69.372.1-2.8
5 Idaho94544%76.267.1+9.1
6 Northern Colorado94544%71.682.0-10.4
7 East. Washington104640%66.370.0-3.7
8 Northern Arizona124833%72.373.1-0.8
9 Weber State103730%65.871.3-5.5
10 Idaho State113827%69.567.7+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly353772
Portland State311849
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