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California Baptist vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-62
36-31 30-31
Position#217
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#118
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game59.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#110
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A27/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A09/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#406
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-28
43-35
22-29
23-27
24-32
34-48
50-36
38-34
39-44
32-37
36-30
33-32
17-33
34-31
32-31
42-26
34-39
46-27
34-29
29-37
134.8Avg total
68.3Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.363.0135.3+9.367%
Season at home (3)72.363.0135.3+9.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.366.5134.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)67.463.0130.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)54.565.5120.0-11.00%
vs Similar (16)70.168.9139.1+1.244%
vs Weaker (8)65.656.1121.8+9.588%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#305
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
100-54
100
54
+46
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
39-23
36-29
46-40
31-28
33-45
38-40
36-42
30-34
37-26
33-32
32-38
34-35
32-36
27-26
27-27
54-22
46-32
22-31
38-30
134.1Avg total
70.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.059.8129.8+10.250%
Season at home (3)71.356.0127.3+15.367%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)70.563.6134.1+6.950%
Last 5 (5)69.061.8130.8+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)66.970.2137.1-3.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.967.9143.9+8.065%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
California BaptistSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#110
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A27/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A09/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#406
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H18/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.431.264.7+2.248%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.930.567.5+6.471%-
Last 30 away (12)28.532.260.8-3.817%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.166.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.463.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)23.831.855.5-8.025%-
vs Similar (16)34.332.867.1+1.644%-
vs Weaker (7)32.628.461.0+4.157%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#305
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H12/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H18/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.131.766.9+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.028.966.9+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)32.334.566.8-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.929.763.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.263.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (9)30.231.361.6-1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.731.468.1+5.453%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California Baptist wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HPortland State63-66
11/11/23HJackson State80-66
07/11/23HSan Francisco State74-57
09/03/23ASam Houston St.51-64
07/03/23HAbilene Christian69-62
04/03/23ASouthern Utah71-81
02/03/23HUTRGV88-70
27/02/23AStephen F. Austin58-80
24/02/23ASam Houston St.45-56
16/02/23HSeattle84-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HCal Poly60-61
12/11/23HNorth Central Rams100-54
11/11/23HIdaho State54-53
07/11/23ACalifornia66-71
07/03/23AOral Roberts65-70
06/03/23AWestern Illinois67-60
25/02/23ANorth Dakota74-82
24/02/23ANorth Dakota St64-73
19/02/23HWestern Illinois82-69
12/02/23HUMKC73-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game72.372.3-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+9.3+9.3-
Avg total135.3135.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game70.071.366.0
Allowed / game59.856.071.0
Point differential+10.2+15.3-5.0
Avg total129.8127.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Arlington32167%83.372.3+11.0
2 California Baptist32167%72.363.0+9.3
3 Utah Valley State32167%68.369.3-1.0
4 Tarleton42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Utah Tech42250%74.875.0-0.2
6 Abilene Christian42250%69.873.2-3.5
7 Southern Utah31233%88.079.7+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota32167%82.080.3+1.7
2 South Dakota Coyotes53260%82.275.6+6.6
3 North Dakota St53260%72.873.6-0.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)42250%70.059.8+10.2
5 UMKC42250%74.068.2+5.8
6 Denver52340%84.883.0+1.8
7 Nebraska O.52340%73.673.0+0.6
8 South Dakota St.31233%75.375.7-0.3
9 Oral Roberts41325%70.075.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist363066
St. Thomas (Minn.)313162
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