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Canada vs Bahamas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 94-88
23-11 29-25 23-26 19-26
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game75.0
Canada 🏆
vs
Position#42
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game111.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Maple Leaf Gardens
Other2027
Meetings · Canada v Bahamas
02 Dec 2025
CANA94
BAHA88
28 Nov 2021
CANA115
BAHA73
25 Nov 2017
CANA93
BAHA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahamas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
W
107-76
107
76
+31
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#2
W
113-112 OT
113
112
+1
H13/08
DBB Supercup
France
#8
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H25/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
128-73
128
73
+55
A27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H29/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/09
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A08/09
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
W
111-75
111
75
+36
A29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
39-14
18-24
22-14
20-26
25-23
33-38
23-14
14-18
29-22
25-8
27-17
29-13
37-17
34-18
28-25
13-23
30-19
24-15
34-18
13-16
24-11
15-18
13-24
21-21
17-27
23-25
27-12
26-24
24-26
30-21
20-18
15-23
24-29
24-23
23-20
34-24
24-14
28-17
25-20
180.8Avg total
99.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)111.075.0186.0+36.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)111.075.0186.0+36.0100%
Last 10 (10)99.481.4180.8+18.080%
Last 5 (5)90.082.6172.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.090.0174.0-6.033%
vs Similar (2)83.077.5160.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)96.974.3171.2+22.684%
This opponent (Bahamas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahamasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H27/02
World Cup
United States Virgin Islands
#82
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A01/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A04/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H26/08
World Cup
Argentina
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A30/08
World Cup
Panama
#61
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H12/11
World Cup
Argentina
#16
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H14/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A23/02
World Cup
Panama
#61
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A27/02
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
9-24
12-21
20-26
24-24
28-15
25-23
20-18
17-26
16-20
21-24
26-18
29-21
13-14
18-24
21-27
15-21
29-22
15-25
18-27
24-23
21-14
18-26
20-16
18-19
12-23
17-21
29-17
21-33
16-34
14-25
19-23
20-21
14-22
15-25
17-20
24-34
14-24
17-28
20-25
168.2Avg total
77.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.0111.0186.0-36.00%
Season at home (1)75.0111.0186.0-36.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.091.2168.2-14.220%
Last 5 (5)74.094.6168.6-20.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.495.4169.7-21.012%
vs Similar (4)79.881.8161.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (2)91.577.0168.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Canada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
CanadaBahamas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H13/08
DBB Supercup
France
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
66-30
66
30
+36
A27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H29/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H01/09
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A03/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/09
World Cup
Bahamas
#42
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A29/11
World Cup
90.0Avg total
48.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.037.983.9+8.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.438.586.9+9.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.537.380.9+6.247%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.490.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.341.776.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (2)36.033.569.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.237.886.0+10.372%-
This opponent (Bahamas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahamasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#12
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/02
World Cup
United States Virgin Islands
#82
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A01/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/08
World Cup
Argentina
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/08
World Cup
Panama
#61
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/11
World Cup
Argentina
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A23/02
World Cup
Panama
#61
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/02
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H29/11
World Cup
84.1Avg total
38.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.944.182.0-6.339%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.543.181.6-4.633%-
Last 30 away (11)37.245.382.5-8.145%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.384.1-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.849.486.2-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.445.982.3-9.629%-
vs Similar (4)40.841.081.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Canada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.028.0
62.2%
-56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.5
42.6%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
-19.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahamastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Canada wins
0
Bahamas wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Bahamas v Canada75-111
29/11/21Bahamas v Canada77-113
28/11/21Canada v Bahamas115-73
26/02/18Bahamas v Canada67-113
25/11/17Canada v Bahamas93-69
Canadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25ABahamas111-75
08/09/23ASerbia86-95
06/09/23HSlovenia100-89
03/09/23ASpain88-85
01/09/23HBrazil65-69
29/08/23HLatvia101-75
27/08/23ALebanon128-73
25/08/23HFrance95-65
13/08/23HGermany113-112 OT
12/08/23HNew Zealand107-76
Bahamaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HCanada75-111
27/02/23APanama66-88
23/02/23AVenezuela70-115
14/11/22HArgentina76-80
12/11/22HPanama83-79
30/08/22AArgentina77-95
26/08/22HVenezuela81-86
04/07/22ADominican Republic80-88
01/07/22AUnited States Virgin Islands97-80
27/02/22HDominican Republic65-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game111.0-111.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+36.0-+36.0
Avg total186.0-186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bahamas
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game111.0111.0-
Point differential-36.0-36.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
2 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
3 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
4 Philippines220100%91.058.5+32.5
5 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
8 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
9 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
10 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
11 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
12 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
13 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
14 Japan220100%85.068.5+16.5
15 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
16 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
17 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
18 South Korea220100%85.076.0+9.0
19 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
20 Poland220100%87.580.5+7.0
21 Australia220100%81.578.0+3.5
22 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
23 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
24 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
25 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
26 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Hungary64267%82.874.8+8.0
29 Netherlands64267%80.375.0+5.3
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
32 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
33 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
34 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
35 Austria105550%86.078.6+7.4
36 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
37 Latvia21150%82.077.0+5.0
38 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
39 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
40 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
41 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
42 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
43 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
44 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
45 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
46 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
47 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
50 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
51 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
52 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
53 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
54 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
55 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
56 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
57 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
58 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
59 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
60 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
61 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
62 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
63 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
64 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
65 New Zealand2020%78.081.5-3.5
66 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
67 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
68 China2020%76.085.0-9.0
69 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
70 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
71 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
72 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
73 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
74 Chinese Taipei2020%68.585.0-16.5
75 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
76 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
77 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
78 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
79 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
80 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
81 Guam2020%58.591.0-32.5
82 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
83 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
84 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada2329231994
Bahamas1125262688
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